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Oregon vs Washington Odds, Preview and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in College Football

Updated Nov 4, 2021 · 10:27 AM PDT

Washington football stadium
The moon rises over fans in the stands at Husky Stadium during the first half of an NCAA college football game between Washington and UCLA, Saturday, Oct. 16, 2021, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Ted S. Warren)
  • The Oregon Ducks are 6.5-point favorites over the Washington Huskies in their NCAA football game on Saturday, November 6th
  • Oregon is 7-1 on the season and 14-2 in their last 16 games versus Washington; that includes a 35-31 road win in 2019
  • See the odds, breakdown, and betting advice below

The Oregon Ducks (7-1) still have some issues, but do keep winning games. Considering that they are ranked #4 in the playoff rankings is borderline miraculous and has won three games by a touchdown or less this year. Meanwhile, Washington (4-4) is just trying to stay alive in the Pac-12 race.

Oregon holds a 47-60-5 record in the series with Washington. However, the two teams did not play each other last year.

Still, it’s Oregon who finds ways to beat Washington often. Even with a 6.5 to 7 point spread on the road, the Ducks are carrying only 18% of the betting money ATS but 88% of the moneyline. The Ducks are 7-1 on the moneyline on the road in the last eight games at Washington.

Oregon vs Washington Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Oregon Ducks -275 -7 (-110) O 51 (-110)
Washington Huskies +220 +7 (-110) U 51 (-110)

Odds as of November 4th at DraftKings

DraftKings

Excludes MA.

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Saturday’s game is set for a 7:30 pm ET kickoff at Husky Stadium. Rainy conditions and temperatures in the 40’s are in the forecast. ABC is carrying the broadcast. After opening up at 51, the total has stayed mostly around 51 to 52  for the majority of the week.

Depending upon the sportsbook, the opening line showed Oregon opening around a one-touchdown favorite. This line has not budged much.

In terms of public betting, 82% of the public bets are still on the Over despite the expected inclement weather conditions.

Oregon and Those “Close” Games?

Oregon was once a team that could be trusted to cover spreads reliably – but it has been quite a struggle in 2021. There’s a multitude of problems plaguing Mario Cristobal’s squad this season, including the offensive line, off the field suspensions, and poor situational play late in games

Even with a decent offense, Oregon likely will have difficulty against Washington on Saturday. Part of that reasoning could be somewhat rectified.

The offensive line has caused Anthony Brown some issues but he does have 17 touchdowns on the season and just seven turnovers. It just seems like Brown could have a few more touchdowns through the air, but he does make some mistakes that a quarterback of his caliber should not.

In scoring offense, Oregon is #23 overall. They are scoring only 36.3 points per game. They are not the top five or ten offense they used to be. Their defense is only ranked #50 and has struggled at times.

Washington Has Issues Too

Will Washington be able to keep up scoring-wise with Oregon? The theory is that they could depending on how bad the weather actually is. The Huskies do average 22.8 points per game on the season. They allow just a mere 18.9 points per contest at least.

The Huskies allow 178.6 yards rushing per contest on defense. Their passing defense is excellent as that yields just under 150 yards per game. A good chunk of those yards has been gained from mobile quarterbacks and power runners.

Like we mentioned above, no one passes on Washington, they run and nearly 40 times a game as well. The problem for both teams could be handling a wet football.

Oregon vs Washington Betting Trends and Pick

As we mentioned previously, Oregon and Washington play most of these games very close. The last three Oregon wins were all by six points or less. However, the Washington wins were blowouts.

Against the spread has been a scary prospect at times for Oregon. They are just 2-6 ATS on the season and one of those was the win at Ohio State. The more frightening thing is Washington is also 2-6 ATS in 2021. Talk about a heck of a dilemma on Saturday night.

  • Add this one stat in. Oregon is 0 for their last 8 covering as a favorite.

The Ducks do not have the coaching issues that Washington has but the argument is that their issues are significant.

Oregon and Washington tend to lean toward the over. The teams have combined for 57 or more points in six of the last eight meetings. The Huskies should cover late as the chilly, sloppy weather should play somewhat of a role

  • Pick: Washington +7 (-110)
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