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Bears vs Saints Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Wild Card Weekend

Eric Thompson

by Eric Thompson in NFL Football

Updated Jan 9, 2021 · 5:30 PM PST

Allen Robinson Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson (12) makes a catch for a touchdown in front of New Orleans Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore (23) in the first half of an NFL football game in Chicago, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2020. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • The Chicago Bears visit the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon in the first NFL game broadcast on Nickelodeon (4:40 pm EST)
  • The Saints have won their last six meetings with the Bears
  • See some of the best Bears-Saints player props below

In what should be the farewell ride for Drew Brees, the New Orleans Saints are all-in on winning a Super Bowl this season. The Chicago Bears barely snuck into this postseason. It’s the biggest mismatch of the Wild Card Weekend, as the Saints are whopping 10-point favorites over the Bears in the Superdome.

The line suggests this could be ugly, but Saints fans know not to take anything for granted after witnessing their team endure some truly bizarre exits from the NFL Playoffs over the last three years. Now, in a spot where Spongebob Squarepants will be doing the pregame show and the enigmatic Mitch Trubisky is playing quarterback for the opposition, things could get weird again in New Orleans.

Who will perform well and probably get slimed as a result? Let’s find out!

Bears vs Saints Player Props

Passers Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) 22.5 (Ov +102 | Un -127) 244.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -120)
Drew Brees (NO) 23.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 267.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -235 | Un +180)
Rushers Rush Attempts Rush Yards Receiving and Rush Yards
David Montgomery (CHI) 16.5 (Ov +105 | Un -132) 62.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 92.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124)
Mitch Trubisky (CHI) N/A 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Alvin Kamara (NO) 14.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108) 63.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 101.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Latavius Murray (NO) N/A 35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Receivers Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Allen Robinson (CHI) 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105) 70.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)
Michael Thomas (NO) 5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 69.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 47.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Jared Cook (NO) 2.5 (Ov -117 | Un -107) 29.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)

All props taken Jan. 9th from DraftKings/FanDuel

COVID-Cleared Kamara Carries the Offense

Brees has not looked great in the Saints last few playoff outings. The usually careful quarterback has turned the ball over in his last five postseason games and his yards per attempt in losses to the Rams and Vikings were well below his career average. It got bad enough last year that people were hoping Taysom Hill would keep running the Saints offense.

The best way to combat a potential let down from their almost 42-year-old QB is to put the ball in Alvin Kamara’s hands and let him go to work.

It looked like New Orleans might have to be without their star, after he tested positive for COVID-19 on Jan. 1. But the schedule broke the Saints way — the earliest Kamara could come back under the league’s COVID protocols was this Sunday — and all signs point to the stud running back suiting up on Sunday.

Against a reeling Bears defense that could be without their All-Pro middle linebacker, Roquan Smith, Kamara should have an even more productive day than when these teams met in Week 8 and he racked up 163 total yards.

Pick: 1 unit on Kamara OVER 101.5 rushing and receiving yards (-112)

Here’s To You Mr. Robinson

Matt Nagy lamented not getting Allen Robinson more involved in Chicago’s Week 17 game against the Packers. Just the fourth Bears player to record 100 or more receptions in a season, Robinson had just five targets on that afternoon, as rookie Darnell Mooney was the focus of the offense.

The Bears only chance to win this game is if their best players can carry the load. That means a lot of David Montgomery and a lot of play action shots off of that.

Robinson had 87 yards in their first meeting this season and should see even more work with Mooney likely sidelined. With free agency looming, the wide receiver is going to want to put his best foot forward in what will likely be his last game of the year.

What’s nice about this bet is that even if it does turn into a Saints blowout, Robinson has thrived in garbage time this year, so the OVER will always be in play.

Pick: Allen Robinson OVER 70.5 receiving yards (-112)

Bears vs Saints Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Alvin Kamara (NO) +400 -225
Michael Thomas (NO) +650 +100
David Montgomery (CHI) +900 +125
Allen Robinson (CHI) +1200 +180
Jared Cook (NO) +1300 +210
Latavius Murray (NO) +1400 +220
Taysom Hill (NO) +1400 +225
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) +1500 +250
Jimmy Graham (CHI) +1800 +275
Cole Kmet (CHI) +1800 +275

Cooking Up a Victory

There’s no great approach for how the Bears defense can play the Saints. If they sit back in zone, Brees will pick them apart. If they try and play tight man and let that underperforming pass rush get home, New Orleans will have a mismatch on either Kamara, or tight end Jared Cook.

Again, Smith’s status will be huge for how the Bears fare in this one. If he can’t go, Chicago has no linebackers capable of playing decent coverage, meaning the middle of the field will be ripe for the picking, something the Packers easily exploited last week.

Cook led the Saints in receiving TD this season, and even with Michael Thomas back in the fold, he should get a few opportunities to make plays in this one.

Pick: 1 unit on Jared Cook to score a TD anytime (+210) 

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