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Alvin Kamara Given Best NFL MVP Odds Among Non-QBs; Is There Value?

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NFL Football

Updated Mar 30, 2020 · 6:47 PM PDT

Alvin Kamara
New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara is getting +3300 odds to win the NFL MVP Award. (Photo by Roy K. Miller/Icon Sportswire)
  • Alvin Kamara had 1,592 total yards and 18 TD last season
  • Adrian Peterson is the only non-QB to win the NFL MVP in the last 12 years
  • Andrew Luck returned to MVP form last season and is a serious threat to be the first Colts player to win the award since Peyton Manning

Alvin Kamara is getting respect from oddsmakers as evidenced by the latest NFL MVP odds.

2019 NFL MVP Odds

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes +400
Drew Brees +700
Aaron Rodgers +800
Andrew Luck +800
Tom Brady +1000
Baker Mayfield +1400
Russell Wilson +1600
Carson Wentz +2000
Philip Rivers +2200
Deshaun Watson +2500
Alvin Kamara +3300

*Odds taken 05/31/19

I’m sure you’re wondering why I’m claiming it’s Kamara getting respect when he’s on the bottom of the list, allow me to explain. In the last dozen years, only one non-quarterback has captured the MVP and it was Adrian Peterson back in 2012. Kamara has the best odds of any non-QB this year and he is providing great value.

Kamara Could Be Better Than Peterson

The one MVP by a non-QB in the last 12 years took an otherworldly performance from Peterson. He totaled 2,097 yards rushing which was only nine shy of breaking the NFL record. While Kamara will never reach that number simply as a rusher, his combination of running and receiving could equal a total in that neighborhood.

Kamara ran for 883 yards with 14 TD last year and added 709 more yards receiving and four more TD.

Kamara has the ability to play at an elite level at two different positions.  As Drew Brees gets older and throws the ball deep down the field less, it will add more touches to Kamara’s plate which is exactly what you want to hear if you take advantage of the +3300 odds.  It will surely be an uphill climb but with that value it’s definitely worth some action.

Could Andrew Luck Win His First MVP?

Peyton Manning won five MVP awards, four of which were with the Indianapolis Colts. Could Andrew Luck be the next winner in Indy? Last season he finished second behind Patrick Mahomes with 39 TD and was also top 5 with 4,593 passing yards. After injury concerns earlier in his career, it was evident he has returned as a top notch QB and he should take another step forward this year.

Luck finished last season second behind Patrick Mahomes with 39 TD and was also top 5 with 4,593 passing yards.

Mahomes has seen his Chiefs roster take a hit due to off-field issues with offensive players on the roster and Luck is in prime position to take advantage should the reigning MVP take a step back.

Indianapolis has a chance to win the division next year and that would add to any MVP push for Luck. I love his chances to build on the MVP-like numbers he put up last season, especially with the Colts’ offense looking to make some minor changes in the run game that will open up more opportunities for him to shine.

I wouldn’t expect Luck to stay at +800 for very long once the season kicks off, so if you like him as well, bet early.

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