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Bears vs Eagles Picks & Betting Preview – Public Siding with Bears, Sharps Love Eagles

Jake Mitchell

by Jake Mitchell in NFL Football

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 10:00 AM PDT

Mitch Trubisky throwing a pass
Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears are taking on the Eagles in Week 9, in a matchup of two NFC teams that need a win to get into the playoff picture. Photo from @Sportsgriduk (Twitter).
  • The 3-4 Bears will travel to Philadelphia for matchup with the 4-4 Eagles
  • 54% of ATS money is on Chicago, while 78% of sharp ATS money is on Philadelphia
  • Read on to find betting odds, analysis and a prediction for this NFC matchup

The 4-4 Eagles will play host to the 3-4 Bears on Sunday, in a matchup of underperforming NFC teams. The season is far from over, and for Chicago and Philadelphia, a win here could be huge in building momentum for the back half of the season.

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Bears +4 (-103) +176 O 41 (-109)
Philadelphia Eagles -4 (-117) -210 U 41 (-111)

*Odds taken 11/2/19

Chicago is 2-5 against the spread this year, while the Eagles are 3-5. At home, Philadelphia is only 1-2 against the spread, while the Bears are 1-2 against the spread when they go on the road.

Sharps Against the Public

This game features a classic matchup of the public against the sharps. According to sportsbooks, 54% of against the spread money has come in on the Bears, while 78% of the sharp against the spread money is on Philadelphia.

Overall, 74% of all against the spread bets have come in on the Eagles.

Bears’ Offensive Woes

In Chicago, the biggest story has been the struggling offense, led by Mitch Trubisky. He’s thrown only five touchdowns this season, and while he’s completing a solid 64.6% of his passes, he’s averaging 5.6 yards per attempt. That’s the lowest in the three seasons he’s been in the NFL.

The offensive numbers have suffered along with him. The Bears are averaging only 18.3 points and 281.4 yards per game. With 388 yards of total offense against the Chargers last Sunday, it was the first time all season that the Bears eclipsed the 300-yard mark.

What’s the Best Bet?

While Trubisky and the Bears’ offense has had a tough 2019 up to this point, this could be a spot where things turn around. The Eagle defense is 14th in yards allowed per game (346.6), and only 21st in points allowed per game (24.9).

Meanwhile, the Bear offense has actually been better on the road than it has at home. The running game averages nearly a full yard per carry more, from 3.2 to 4.1 away from Soldier Field.

Trubisky is better on the road as well. At home, he completes only 62% of his passes and has a passer rating of 75.1. When they travel, he has completion percentage of 70.1% and a passer rating of 96.3.

It’s not often that playing on the road is a positive, but for a quarterback and offense that are facing mounting pressure to produce, and a home fan base that has been vocal about their frustrations, Trubisky and co. have proven to be better when they’re away from the Chicago pressure-cooker.

Pick: Bears +4 (-103)

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