Bengals vs Chiefs Public Money Breakdown – See Which Team Bettors Are Backing in AFC Championship
- The Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC championship game as 7-point favorites
- The Chiefs have attracted 75% of the betting handle against the spread, while 75% of wagers in totals betting have backed the OVER
- Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s matchup at Arrowhead Stadium
A berth in Super Bowl 56 will be on the line when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in this season’s AFC championship game. Game time is set for Sunday afternoon at 3:00pm ET at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs return to the AFC championship game for a fourth straight year after surviving last weekend’s epic clash with the Buffalo Bills in AFC Divisional Playoff action. With their 42-36 victory, the Chiefs now ride a three-game overall win streak and have claimed victory in eight straight on home turf. Kansas City’s home dominance played a key role in their finish atop the AFC West standings, and as the No. 2 seed in the conference.
The Bengals get set to make their first appearance in the AFC championship game since 1988. Basement dwellers in the AFC North in each of the past three seasons, the Bengals returned to the top of the division this season with a 10-7 record, and earned the No. 4 seed. Cincinnati has also enjoyed success on the road, and earned their berth in Sunday’s contest with a narrow 19-16 road win over top-seeded Tennessee
Perched as 7-point favorites, the Chiefs have commanded 60% of bets laid against the spread and 75% of the betting handle. The Bengals have failed to attract sports bettor attention despite enjoying a steady 6-0 ATS run that features three outright wins as underdogs, including a 34-31 home victory over Kansas City in Week 17.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati Bengals | +7 | 25 | 40 | OVER 54.5 | 82 | 75 | +280 | 41 | 40 |
Kansas City Chiefs | -7 | 75 | 60 | UNDER 54.5 | 18 | 25 | -365 | 59 | 60 |
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Can the Chiefs be Stopped at Home?
Despite the overwhelming support of sports bettors, the Chiefs have held steady since opening as 7-point home chalk. SU winners in nine home games to date this season, the Chiefs have also been a reliable bet on home turf. Kansas City has covered in its two playoff wins to date, and enjoys a steady six-game ATS win streak at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs were the only home team to win in the Divisional Round. pic.twitter.com/Ga6ouOI1Gd
— 🎙 (@LanceTHESPOKEN) January 24, 2022
The Chiefs have been particularly dominant during their home surge, with five of their past six home wins coming by double-digit margins, and three of their past four victories coming by at least 21 points.
Scoring a Concern for Bengals on the Road
Steady performances on the road have played a huge role in the Bengals’ return to contention this season. Including last week’s victory in Tennessee, the Bengals have earned the win in six of nine road contests this season. Cincinnati has fared particularly well while pegged as a road underdog, winning outright in four of six, including two of their past three. However, scoring has come at a premium in recent away contests.
Joe Burrow completed 25 of 31 passes for 325 yards when not under pressure in the #Bengals 19-16 victory over the Titans (10.5 YPA).
Burrow averaged 8.6 yards per attempt without pressure during the regular season, 2nd-most in the NFL.#CINvsTEN | #RuleTheJungle pic.twitter.com/PMvkvfS4qZ
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 23, 2022
The Bengals have mustered just 16.7 points per game over their past three road contests, but have been equally stingy while allowing just 15.7 points per game over that stretch. Indeed, low scoring has been commonplace when the Bengals have played this season.
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The UNDER has prevailed in each of their past three outings, and in 11 of their 19 overall contests to date. Despite those trends, the total has made gains since opening at 53.5, climbing to 54.5 with 82% of the handle backing the OVER.
In Week 17, the @Bengals defeated the Chiefs 34-31 at the last second.
After the game, Patrick Mahomes told Joe Burrow, "See y'all in the playoffs."
Here we are.
AFC Championship | Sun. 3 pm ET | CBS & @paramountplus pic.twitter.com/Iez2gMEW5x
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) January 25, 2022
The trends towards low scoring has not limited the opportunity for sports bettors loyal to the Bengals to cash in on props action. While Joe Burrow failed to reach the end zone for just the second time this season in last weekend’s win in Tennessee, the Bengals pivot’s ability to light up the scoreboard cannot be underestimated. Burrow tossed 10 total TDs in his three previous outings, including a four-score performance against the Chiefs, and sports short -185 odds to connect on OVER 1.5 scoring passes in the Bengals vs Chiefs props.
Bengals Fading on Moneyline
While the point spread has seen little movement, the Bengals have seen their moneyline odds dip considerably since opening as +240 underdogs. With the support of just 40% of bets laid, Cincinnati has steadily dropped to their current position at +280.
Bengals QB's with playoff wins on the road:
1. Joe Burrow
That's the list. pic.twitter.com/NXBpBwWdyp
— Covers (@Covers) January 23, 2022
Accordingly, the Chiefs have made substantial gains. Kansas City opened as -315 chalk, but has since shortened considerably to a -365 bet.
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