Upcoming Match-ups

Bengals vs Chiefs Public Money Breakdown – See Which Team Bettors Are Backing in AFC Championship

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in NFL Football

Updated Jan 30, 2022 · 7:00 AM PST

Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow celebrates after the Bengals defeated the Kansas City Chiefs 34-31 in an NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC championship game as 7-point favorites
  • The Chiefs have attracted 75% of the betting handle against the spread, while 75% of wagers in totals betting have backed the OVER
  • Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s matchup at Arrowhead Stadium

A berth in Super Bowl 56 will be on the line when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in this season’s AFC championship game. Game time is set for Sunday afternoon at 3:00pm ET at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs return to the AFC championship game for a fourth straight year after surviving last weekend’s epic clash with the Buffalo Bills in AFC Divisional Playoff action. With their 42-36 victory, the Chiefs now ride a three-game overall win streak and have claimed victory in eight straight on home turf. Kansas City’s home dominance played a key role in their finish atop the AFC West standings, and as the No. 2 seed in the conference.

 

The Bengals get set to make their first appearance in the AFC championship game since 1988. Basement dwellers in the AFC North in each of the past three seasons, the Bengals returned to the top of the division this season with a 10-7 record, and earned the No. 4 seed. Cincinnati has also enjoyed success on the road, and earned their berth in Sunday’s contest with a narrow 19-16 road win over top-seeded Tennessee

Perched as 7-point favorites, the Chiefs have commanded 60% of bets laid against the spread and 75% of the betting handle. The Bengals have failed to attract sports bettor attention despite enjoying a steady 6-0 ATS run that features three outright wins as underdogs, including a 34-31 home victory over Kansas City in Week 17.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet%
Cincinnati Bengals +7 25 40 OVER 54.5 82 75 +280 41 40
Kansas City Chiefs -7 75 60 UNDER 54.5 18 25 -365 59 60

Can the Chiefs be Stopped at Home?

Despite the overwhelming support of sports bettors, the Chiefs have held steady since opening as 7-point home chalk. SU winners in nine home games to date this season, the Chiefs have also been a reliable bet on home turf. Kansas City has covered in its two playoff wins to date, and enjoys a steady six-game ATS win streak at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs have been particularly dominant during their home surge, with five of their past six home wins coming by double-digit margins, and three of their past four victories coming by at least 21 points.

Scoring a Concern for Bengals on the Road

Steady performances on the road have played a huge role in the Bengals’ return to contention this season. Including last week’s victory in Tennessee, the Bengals have earned the win in six of nine road contests this season. Cincinnati has fared particularly well while pegged as a road underdog, winning outright in four of six, including two of their past three. However, scoring has come at a premium in recent away contests.

The Bengals have mustered just 16.7 points per game over their past three road contests, but have been equally stingy while allowing just 15.7 points per game over that stretch. Indeed, low scoring has been commonplace when the Bengals have played this season.

 

The UNDER has prevailed in each of their past three outings, and in 11 of their 19 overall contests to date. Despite those trends, the total has made gains since opening at 53.5, climbing to 54.5 with 82% of the handle backing the OVER.

The trends towards low scoring has not limited the opportunity for sports bettors loyal to the Bengals to cash in on props action. While Joe Burrow failed to reach the end zone for just the second time this season in last weekend’s win in Tennessee, the Bengals pivot’s ability to light up the scoreboard cannot be underestimated. Burrow tossed 10 total TDs in his three previous outings, including a four-score performance against the Chiefs, and sports short -185 odds to connect on OVER 1.5 scoring passes in the Bengals vs Chiefs props.

Bengals Fading on Moneyline

While the point spread has seen little movement, the Bengals have seen their moneyline odds dip considerably since opening as +240 underdogs. With the support of just 40% of bets laid, Cincinnati has steadily dropped to their current position at +280.

Accordingly, the Chiefs have made substantial gains. Kansas City opened as -315 chalk, but has since shortened considerably to a -365 bet.

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