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Bills vs Titans Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for MNF Week 6

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Oct 17, 2021 · 6:58 PM PDT

Stefon Diggs runs through the smoke machine
Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs runs on the field during introductions before an NFL football game against the Houston Texans, Sunday, Oct. 3, 2021, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)
  • The Buffalo Bills clash with the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football in Week 6 (Oct. 18th, 8:15 pm ET)
  • Stefon Diggs has a 31.8% target share through five weeks
  • Read below for analysis and our favorite Bills-Titans player prop bets

Week 6 in the NFL wraps up on Monday Night Football in Tennessee (Oct. 18th, 8:15 pm ET), as the Titans host the Buffalo Bills.

With big names like Josh Allen, Derrick Henry, Stefon Diggs and AJ Brown all suiting up, the AFC clash has the potential to be the most entertaining game on the Week 6 slate. There’s plenty of different ways to attack the matchup from a wagering standpoint, but it’s hard to find softer lines then what’s available in the player props market.

Bills vs Titans Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Josh Allen (BUF) 25.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 292.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -230)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 236.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Receiving Yards
Zack Moss (BUF) 10.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 36.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 56.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115)
Derrick Henry (TEN) N/A 98.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 114.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Stefon Diggs (BUF)  6.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 81.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Emmanuel Sanders (BUF)  4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 54.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
AJ Brown (TEN)  4.5 (Ov -188 | Un +156) 57.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) N/A
Anthony Firkser (TEN) 2.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Odds as of Oct. 17th at FanDuel and DraftKings.

Buffalo is currently a 6-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 53. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET at Nissan Stadium, and with a perfect evening for football on deck, it’s going to be wheels up for the Buffalo passing game.

Prop #1: Stefon Diggs Over 81.5 Receiving Yards

Diggs is off to a slow start by his standards in 2021, but there’s an explosion game coming. Diggs boasts a 31.8% share of his team’s targets, and ranks second in the NFL in Air Yards.

After leading the league in receiving yards a season ago, Diggs and Allen have been a bit off so far this season, but that’s about to change. The Titans rank 25th versus the pass per DVOA and have coughed up huge receiving games to DeAndre Hopkins, Tyler Lockett and Corey Davis through five weeks. Diggs posted nine 100+ yard receiving games in 2020, and is in line for his second of this season on Monday Night.

Pick: Stefon Diggs Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-113 at FanDuel)

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Prop #2: Derrick Henry Under 98.5 Rushing Yards

Fade King Henry, are you serious? We all know that Henry can run wild on any opponent when playing from ahead, but what about when trailing? Tennessee is a 6-point underdog in this matchup, which could lead to a more pass heavy game script should they fall behind.

Henry has rushed for more than 99 yards in only one of the Titans’ last five losses, and tallied just 57 yards on the ground when these two teams met last season.

Buffalo ranks number one in rush defense DVOA and hasn’t allowed any enemy rusher to eclipse 61 rushing yards all season.

Pick: Derrick Henry Under 98.5 Rushing Yards (-113 at FanDuel)

Bills vs Titans Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Derrick Henry (TEN) +500 -215
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +800 +100
Josh Allen (BUF) +900 +110
Zack Moss (BUF) +1000 +120
Dawson Knox (BUF) +1000 +120
Emmanuel Sanders (BUF) +1200 +150
AJ Brown (TEN) +1200 +150
Julio Jones (TEN) +1400 +175
Devin Singletary (BUF) +1600 +225
Cole Beasley (BUF) +1600 +225
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) +2200 +300
Jeremy McNichols (TEN) +2800 +380
Gabriel Davis (BUF) +3500 +450
Josh Reynolds (TEN) +4000 +600
MyCole Pruitt (TEN) +5000 +650
Marcus Johnson (TEN) +5000 +650
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) +6500 +850
Nick Westbrook (TEN) +8000 +1000
Geoff Swaim (TEN) +8000 +900

Prop #3: Knox Strikes First

You’d never know it by his 2021 performance, but Dawson Knox didn’t catch a single touchdown in four years of collegiate football. The Bills tight end was reduced to a blocking role at Ole Miss, but has flourished alongside Allen in Buffalo.

Knox has racked up five touchdowns in his past four games, and has scored in six of his past eight contests dating back to last year’s playoffs. He boasts a 75% catch rate, the highest among all Bills pass catchers, and leads the team in touchdowns, and targets inside the 10-yard line.

His playing time has increased each week, and he’s fresh off playing a season-high 96% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps in Week 5. He’s a great bet to find the end zone again on Monday.

Pick: Dawson Knox First TD (+1000), Anytime TD (+120)

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