Brady vs Garoppolo: Odds to Record More Passing Yards in Week 1
- Books have released odds on which QB will throw for more passing yards in Week 1: Brady or Garoppolo
- Despite losing some receivers, can Tom Terrific find enough weapons in Week 1 to have a big day?
- Will Jimmy Garoppolo continue to have success even in a hostile environment in Minnesota?
They may not be facing each other on the field in 2018, barring a Super Bowl 53 matchup, but that doesn’t mean you can’t cash in on some Jimmy Garoppolo vs Tom Brady fun. Sportsbooks have released odds on which of the ex-teammates will throw for more yards in Week 1.
Will Garoppolo have more passing yards than Brady in Week 1?
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +150 |
| No | -200 |
Can Garoppolo find Success in Minnesota?
The last time these two met came during last year’s preseason where Minnesota came out victorious, 32-31. However, Jimmy G was not a part of the 49ers, nor was Kirk Cousins with Minnesota.
The Vikings’ last five games in 2017, including playoffs, saw them give up 352, 294, 178, 130 and 113 passing yards to opposing QBs.
On the season, Minnesota ranked 2nd against the pass, allowing just 192.4 yards through the air per game.
Garoppolo could be in for a long day against the Vikes. However, his pass attempts could see an increase considering starting RB Jerick McKinnon will not be available all season.
Can Brady Overcome a Lack of Offensive Weapons?
These teams met last September (Week 3), in what turned out to be a shootout, which New England won 36-33 at home.
Tom Brady and Deshaun Watson went back and forth all game with Brady finishing 25/35 for 378 yards and five TDs.
Brady threw for 378 yards against the Texans in Week 3 of the 2017 NFL season
Looking at the Texans’ past five regular season games in 2017, they allowed 114, 226, 326, 314 and 150 yards to opposing QBs. On the season Houston ranked 24th against the pass, allowing 237.4 yards per game.
Tom Brady has confirmed he'll play five more seasons in the NFL.
He'll be 45 years old:https://t.co/uNiNY3L0El pic.twitter.com/EEApiTgKWV
— 247Sports (@247Sports) September 5, 2018
Brady will also be missing some weapons with Danny Amendola and Brandin Cooks no longer with the team and Julian Edelman suspended.
Garoppolo vs Brady Passing Yards in Last 5 Games
| 292 | Week 17 | 190 |
| 242 | Week 16 | 224 |
| 381 | Week 15 | 298 |
| 334 | Week 14 | 233 |
| 293 | Week 13 | 258 |
*2017 regular season stats
As you can see, Garoppolo has thrown for more yards than Brady in each of the last five weeks of the 2017 regular season. Brady did participate in the playoffs, though, and had 337, 290 and 505 yards.
Best Bet for More Passing Yards in Week 1
My handicap of this prop comes down to each player’s opposition more than the individual player.
Jimmy G will travel on the road against one of the toughest defenses in the league, who have now had a whole offseason to prepare for him.
If the Patriots and Texans game is anything like their matchup in 2017, Brady could be in for a big day at home. Win or lose, if the Texans can score enough points once again, Brady will be forced to air it out and will put up some solid passing numbers.
In the past five seasons Brady’s lowest total for passing yards in his first game of the season was 249 and it came on the road. He’s averaged 320 at home in his first game the past three years.
Best Bet: No (Tom Brady) -200
Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
