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Buccaneers’ Super Bowl Odds Fade to +1000 After Being Blown Out by Saints in Week 9

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Mar 3, 2021 · 11:57 AM PST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) throws a pass against the Atlanta Falcons during an NFL football game Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, in Tampa, Fla. The Buccaneers won the game 44-27. (Jeff Haynes/AP Images for Panini)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ odds to win Super Bowl 55 lengthened from +550 to +1000 following Sunday night’s 38-3 loss to the New Orleans Saints
  • Tom Brady was intercepted three times and sacked three times by the Saints while failing to generate a touchdown
  • The Buccaneers’ defense has allowed 777 total yards and 61 points in the last two games

Sunday night’s showdown for first place in the NFC South turned into a beatdown for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers were routed 38-3 by the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. The Saints took control of the game early and never gave Tom Brady a chance to engineer a comeback.

New Orleans (6-2) moved atop the division standings by half-game over Tampa Bay (6-3).

Going into the game, the Buccaneers were the third choice in the Super Bowl odds at +550. Tampa Bay is now tied for the fifth choice at +1000.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 55

Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +350
Pittsburgh Steelers +550
New Orleans Saints +750
Baltimore Ravens +950
Green Bay Packers +1000
Seattle Seahawks +1000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1000
Buffalo Bills +2000
Los Angeles Rams +2200
Tennessee Titans +2400

Odds taken Nov. 9 from FanDuel

Bucs Get Beaten Up

The Saints, who were three-point underdogs, made things tough on Brady as they intercepted him three times and had three sacks. He completed 22 of 38 passes for 209 yards.

Brady also had an incredibly ugly pick.

Tampa Bay’s vaunted defense was shredded as the Saints scored touchdowns on four of their first five possessions to take a 28-0 lead midway through the second quarter. By that point, New Orleans had a 241-36 advantage in total yards.

The Saints extended their lead to 31-0 by halftime. Only a 48-yard field goal by Ryan Succop with 5:52 remaining kept the Buccaneers from being shut out.

Drew Brees completed 26 of 32 passes for 222 yards and four touchdowns.

Saints Pull Off Sweep of Buccaneers

The Saints swept the season series as they also beat the Buccaneers 34-23 at New Orleans in Week 1. Thus, if the teams tie for the division title, the Saints will hold the tiebreaker.

Brady also had problems with the Saints’ defense in that one, throwing two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown by Janoris Jenkins.

Brady was 23 of 36 for 239 yards and two touchdowns.

However, Brady had played much better since opening day. In the seven games prior to Sunday, he had thrown 18 touchdown passes and just two interceptions.

Then things fell apart.

Paths to NFC South Title

The Buccaneers have a slightly tougher NFL second half SOS.

Tampa Bay has home games against the Los Angeles Rams (5-3), Kansas City Chiefs (8-1), Minnesota Vikings (3-5) and Atlanta Falcons (3-6). The Buccaneers go on the road to face the Carolina Panthers (3-6), Falcons and Detroit Lions (3-5).

The Saints play at home against the San Francisco 49ers (4-5), Falcons, Chiefs and Vikings. New Orleans plays at the Denver Broncos (3-5), Falcons, Philadelphia Eagles (3-4-1) and Panthers.

The Buccaneers face teams with a combined .467 winning percentage. Saints opponents’ have a .442 mark.

Both teams are likely to be favored in all but one game, their matchups against the Chiefs.

Defense Springs Leak

Through Week 7, the Buccaneers were third in the NFL in total defense, allowing 291.3 yards a game. They were also eighth in points allowed with a 20.3 average.

However, that defense has had problems in the last two games. In addition to allowing the Saints to drop 38 points on them, the Buccaneers struggled to beat the lowly New York Giants 25-23 on the road in Week 8.

In those two games, Tampa Bay has allowed averages of 388.5 yards and 30.5 points.

Yet it might be too soon to become worried about the Buccaneers’ defense. This is a unit, after all, that held the high-powered Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers to 201 total yards and 10 points in a Week 6 victory.

Are Buccaneers Still Contenders?

Unquestionably, Brady and the Buccaneers laid an egg in primetime against the Saints. That has many pundits questioning the legitimacy of Tampa Bay’s hopes of winning the Super Bowl.

Yet it is still realistic to think the Buccaneers could finish the regular season 12-4, though that still might not be enough to prevent the Saints from winning their fourth straight NFC South title.

It is always difficult to bet against Brady, who won six Super Bowls in 20 seasons with the New England Patriots before signing with the Buccaneers this year as a free agent.

Thus, the Buccaneers still present some value at +1000 but it would wise not to go overboard with a wager.

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