- Buccaneers beat Colts to stay at the top of the Super Bowl title odds
- Patriots win sixth straight, knock Titans out of AFC top seed spot
- Check out the updated Super Bowl odds after Sunday’s games
At this point of the NFL season, the Super Bowl hopefuls and dreamers have been pretty much drawn. Still, there’s not an overwhelming favorite, and jockeying continues after Sunday’s Week 12 games.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look like they’ve worked past their midseason malaise, as they handled a streaking Colts team in their own barn after taking their best swing in the first half.
The Bucs showed all the elements of strong championship play: steady quarterbacking from Tom Brady, a stellar defensive effort, and production from the running game.
Leonard Fournette was a wrecking ball, running for 100 yards while totaling a career-high four TD’s Sunday. That effort might not be replicable, but it proves Tampa is not one-dimensional.
Meanwhile, contenders collided head-to-head with some results worth unpacking, as the Packers hosted the LA Rams, and the surging Patriots welcomed in the Titans.
The Chiefs and the Cardinals are on their bye, but lets look at the main Sunday games that affected the latest Super Bowl odds.
2022 Super Bowl Odds
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+550|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+700|
|Green Bay Packers||+750|
|Los Angeles Rams||+1000|
|New England Patriots||+1100|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+2800|
|San Francisco 49ers||+4100|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+7500|
|New Orleans Saints||+10000|
|New York Giants||+85000|
|Washington Football Team||+85000|
|New York Jets||+100000|
*Odds as of Nov. 28 from FanDuel.
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Patriots Win Sixth Straight
At some point, you’re going to have to believe quarterback Mac Jones is ready for prime time or not. I have held firm that a rookie pivot just isn’t ready to handle the pressure cooker of the playoffs, but Jones could be the one to prove me dead wrong.
Mac Jones 🎯 Kendrick Bourne
— PFF (@PFF) November 28, 2021
He’s showing plenty of moxie at the moment, as the Patriots reeled off their sixth straight win with a 36-13 dismantling of the then AFC-leading Titans. Jones was 22-for-32 for 310 yards and a pair of TD scores against no interceptions.
Their defense, which was leading the NFL in scoring, held it down again, surrendering just 13 points. It’s the fifth time during this 6-game streak the Pats have held a team to 13 points or less.
— Pats Buzz (@PatsBuzz) November 28, 2021
They also forced four Titans turnovers, including a crucial goal line interception of Ryan Tannehill that would have cut the lead to single digits.
New England’s title odds entering Week 12 were +1200, they’ve improved to +1100 — the 7th-best figure in the NFL.
Titans Fall off AFC Perch
Perhaps the injuries have finally caught up to the Titans, who could not hold on to the AFC’s top seeding after losing to the Patriots. They’re still without Derrick Henry, but the offensive firepower was seriously lacking with both AJ Brown and Julio Jones sidelined with injuries.
Derrick Henry has not lost a fumble all season. Dontrell Hilliard and D'Onta Foreman have lost a combined 3 in two games
— Buck Reising (@BuckReising) November 28, 2021
A solid offensive line churned out a great running attack against the Patriots, as both Dontrell Hilliard and D’Onta Foreman cracked the 100-yard plateau, but each also coughed up the ball, part of three lost fumbles on the day.
Perhaps the most disappointing game came from Ryan Tannehill, who seems like the last healthy impact player on their roster. He was just 11-for-21 for 93 yards with a TD and a backbreaking interception inside the 5-yard line.
#Patriots CB JC Jackson is so ridiculous, yet another INT this season.
This one in the endzone.
Ryan Tannehill leads the league in INTs with 13.pic.twitter.com/ckUV7o6yIX
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 28, 2021
He’s now thrown at least one interception in six of his last seven outings. Tennessee fades to +2200 after starting the week at +1500 odds. They’ll need to get healthy to have a title shot, but if Tanehill can’t man the position better, it might not matter.
Rams vs Packers Outcome
Save for a win over the Buccaneers in Week 3, we need to start asking if the Rams are really title material. LA has hit the meaty part of their schedule and they are looking shaky — not exactly what you need down the home stretch of the regular season.
They dropped their third straight, falling to the Packers 36-28. A 7-1 squad with the inside track to the NFC’s top seed is now 7-4 and making sure they secure a Wild Card berth.
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) November 28, 2021
Matthew Stafford threw a pick-6 for the third straight game, and the Packers used the 49ers’ formula for victory: win the time of possession game, wear down that talented defense, and force the Rams’ offense to play catch up.
On the other side, the Packers remain in hot pursuit of those Cardinals and the top seed in the NFC. Aaron Rodgers may have a messed up toe, but his command of the offense is still otherworldly.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 28, 2021
He threw for 307 yards and a pair of scores, and also added one on the ground. The Packers rightly own the 3rd-best Super Bowl odds at +750, shooting up from the +1100 odds a week ago. The Rams slide the other way: from +750 odds to +1000, the sixth-best odds.
It might be just one game, but if you had to choose on who to wager on between these two teams, the difference in QB play from Rodgers to Stafford — who is have a great season — should be the difference maker.
Hoping you jumped on the pack when they had higher odds. They might hover around this figure the rest of the way.
Chargers Fall to Broncos
It was not a good day for the LA Chargers, who lost a crucial AFC West division showdown in Denver to the Broncos 28-13. Justin Herbert, who earlier this year looked like an MVP candidate, struggled in Week 12.
— NFL (@NFL) November 28, 2021
He threw two interceptions, both to rookie Patrick Surtain, who took one back 70 yards to the house.
The Chargers were playing a Denver team that lost starter Teddy Bridgewater to injury in the first quarter, though he did return in the second half nursing a lower right leg injury.
Incredibly, the Broncos now take on the Chiefs next week for a battle for top spot in the West. Still, Denver is a distant +10000 odds to win the Super Bowl.
The Chargers fall from +2700 to +2800 odds, and are looking more and more like a longshot bet.