Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Odds, Lines, Spread and Picks NFL Week 9
- Buffalo visits the New York Jets in an AFC East game Sunday, November 6
- The Bills are 11.5-point road favorites at MetLife Stadium
- Read below for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets odds, analysis and prediction
The Buffalo Bills (6-1, 0-1 AFC East) are robust 11.5-point favorites over the New York Jets in an NFC East game Sunday at 1 pm ET on CBS. The Bills are 6-1 or better for the eighth time in franchise history and the first time since the 1993 Super Bowl team. Read on for our Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets analysis.
The New York Jets (5-3, 1-1) had a four-game winning streak broken in a 22-17 loss to New England the last time out. If they win, the Jets would have as least six victories in their first nine games for the first time since 2010, when they started 7-2.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -11.5 (-110) | -580 | Over 46 (-110) |
| New York Jets | +11.5 (-110) | +440 | Under 46 (-110) |
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on Nov. 5.
The Bills are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the last four road meetings and 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS over a longer stretch. The Jets are 9-1 ATS as a home underdog in the series, although that has happened only four times since 2017. The Bills covered the only time they were a double-digit favorite, covering a 13.5-point. number in a 45-17 victory last season.
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The Bills are 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season, failing to cover only in their 27-17 home victory over Green Bay as a 10.5-point favorite last time out. The game has gone under the total in the last four meetings.
Buffalo Off to a Fast Start
The Bills have not had a better start to a season since the 1993 group led by Jim Kelly and Bruce Smith also opened 6-1 on its way to a 12-4 record and its fourth straight Super Bowl loss.
.@JoshAllenQB has a different handshake for every single one of his teammates and I absolutely love it.pic.twitter.com/4kihG8NCiS
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 2, 2022
Allen has thrown for 2,198 yards with 19 touchdowns and six interceptions, and he rushed for 306 yards and two more scores. He leads the NFL with 314 passing yards per game and is fifth in quarterback rating. Favorite target Stefon Diggs has 55 receptions for 764 yards and seven touchdowns, and the pair has combined for 25 touchdowns since Diggs signed with the Bills before the 2020 season.
The Bills are dominating both charts. They rank first in total offense and third in total defense, and they have given up only 98 points in seven games, the fewest in the league.
With another strong two-way effort against the Jets, the Bills could become the third team in league history to average 425 yards of offense and fewer than 300 yards on defense through eight games. New England (2007) and San Diego (2010) have done that.
Gabriel Davis, who had a breakout game against Kansas City in the 2021 AFC title game, has only 16 catches, but he is averaging 26.1 yards per catch with four scores.
Most REC TDs on throws 15+ yards:🚀
Stefon Diggs – 5
Gabe Davis – 4 pic.twitter.com/nNrzY5kGsE— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) November 4, 2022
Linebacker Von Miller, added in the offseason as the Bills girded for a big year, has six sacks. Rookie 2021 first-round draftee Gregory Rousseau has five. The Bills’ 21 sacks through seven games matches its most over the same span since 2016.
Jets Starting Quickly, Also
Quarterback Zach Wilson and wide receiver Garrett Wilson (no relation) were first-round picks in the last two drafts as the Jets looked to improve their offense, but their surge this season has come from a defense that is sixth in the league in total defense, albeit against a less-demanding schedule.
Did @CodyJBenjamin get the QB Power Rankings right? pic.twitter.com/a5bTalPH4i
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 2, 2022
Wilson missed the first three games while recovering from a knee injury suffered in the first exhibition game and returned to the lineup for the four-game winning streak, although he threw for only 693 yards in the four wins with one touchdown and two interceptions.
He passed for 335 yards in the loss to the Patriots last week with two touchdowns, but he completed only 48.8 percent of his throws and had three interceptions.
The Jets last week sorely missed injured Breece Hall (season-ending knee injury), gaining only 51 yards rushing in 15 carries against a Pats’ defense that dared them to pass. James Robinson, obtained from Carolina to fill the No. 1 running back void, had five carries for 17 yards.
Sauce Gardner vs Patriots:
• 45 coverage snaps
• 1 yard allowed
• 2 TFLThe Jets rookie CB was SHUTDOWN in New England 🔒 pic.twitter.com/0iQz1iPGcY
— NFL Rookie Watch (@NFLRookieWatxh) October 31, 2022
The defense has given up more than 300 yards in only one of its last five games, however, and rookie cornerback Sauce Gardner and veteran corner T.J. Reed have played major roles.
Linebacker C.J. Mosley is playing like the Pro Bowler he was before injury and defensive tackle Quinnen Williams has six of the Jets’ 21 sacks. Gardner was another 2022 first-rounder, and Williams was a first-rounder in 2019.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Injury Report
Bill safety Jordan Poyer (elbow) is out. Linebacker Matt Milano (oblique) is questionable after being unable to finish the Green Bay game last week.
Starting offensive tackle Spencer Brown (ankle) is questionable after missing the Green Bay game. Cornerback Tre’Davious White (knee) was activated to practice Tuesday after missing 11 months but will not play.
Jets wide receiver Corey Davis (knee) is out for the second straight game.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction
The Bills have won the last four games in the series by a combined score of 117-54. The two teams when both have a winning record for the first time 2011, and the Jets no doubt have built some confidence.
While Buffalo has at times appeared dominant, it is safe to say that New York has done it at least in part with mirrors and good fortune. The Jets beat Denver when Russell Wilson did not play and beat Miami without Tua Tagovailoa. Josh Allen is neither of those. Look for the Bills to continue their series dominance.
- Pick: Buffalo -11.5 (-110)
- Season: 30-32 ATS
Jack has covered college and professional sports for various Arizona media outlets since the 1980s and has written for the Associated Press, USA Today and Baseball America, among others. He staffed the 2015-17 World Series and has staffed four Super Bowls.
