Chiefs Open as 3.5-Point Favorites vs Broncos on Thursday Night Football Week 7
- The Denver Broncos are on a two-game winning streak
- The Kansas City Chiefs have lost two in a row
- Get the opening odds and information along with our pick below
The Denver Broncos are finally rolling, while the Kansas City Chiefs are in free fall.
As these two age-old AFC West rivals ready to clash yet again, should you roll with the form charts, or play the percentages?
One sportsbook is sticking with the latter. The sportsbook opens with Kansas City as the -3.5 chalk on the road in the Chiefs vs Broncos odds & stats.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -190 | -3.5 (-110) | Over 49.5 (-110) |
| Denver Broncos | +165 | +3.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110) |
*Odds taken 10/13/19
Kansas City is 7-0 straight up in the last seven games against the Broncos. That includes four consecutive wins at Denver.
Sunshine Banned in KC?
The gleam of a 4-0 start and talk of taking that next step to a Super Bowl appearance has suddenly faded as quickly as an October sunset in Kansas City.
When the Chiefs took the field a week ago at home against the Indianapolis Colts, the Chiefs had never scored fewer than 26 points with Patrick Mahomes as their quarterback. Now they’ve gone under that total two weeks in a row.
The Houston Texans defense said the best piece of preparation they did for this game was watching last year’s AFC championship game and watching what the Patriots did to slow down Mahomes and this offense. Tashaun Gipson said it was incredible prep
— Dianna Russini (@diannaESPN) October 13, 2019
The fact that both of those games ended up in setbacks once again raises the hue and cry about whether the Chiefs are strong enough defensively, or tough enough mentally to be taken seriously as a Super Bowl 54 contender.
Sunday’s 31-24 loss to the Texans started out with such promise. Thanks to a series of penalties, Mahomes actually threw for 116 yards in the first series of the game as he led the Chiefs to the end zone.
When Houston got the ball, Texans running back Carlos Hyde fumbled. Kansas City jumped into a 17-3 advantage but trailed 20-17 by halftime.
MAHOMES JUST PULLING OFF CRAZY MOVES WEEKLY HOW DOES HE DO IT pic.twitter.com/DJbYsIMa07
— NFL Humor (@NFLHumor) October 13, 2019
The Texans followed the KC blueprint established the previous two weeks by the Colts and Detroit Lions. A ball control offense allowed Houston to maintain possession for 39:48. Former Chief Hyde rambled for 116 yards, and Houston QB Deshaun Watson ran for two TDs.
Mahomes also turned the ball over twice, the first time he’s done that all season long.
Bucking (the Odds) Broncos
Shutting out the Tennessee Titans 16-0, the Broncos won for the second time both straight up and against the spread. Denver is 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS this season.
Broncos' defensive damage vs. Titans:
7 sacks for a loss of 42 yards
10 QB hits
3 interceptions
5 pass-breakups
1 forced fumble
39 net rushing yards allowed
3.3 net yards allowed per play
2-14 (14%) on opponent 3rd downs
— Nicki Jhabvala (@NickiJhabvala) October 14, 2019
The win over Tennessee snapped a four-game home-field losing streak for Denver as Kansas City comes to town. The Broncos haven’t beaten the Chiefs in Denver since the 2014 season. Denver is 1-7 in its last eight home games.
Denver’s defense won the day against the Titans. The Broncos recorded seven sacks and pair of interceptions.
Former Vols linebacker Alexander Johnson put on a show against the Titans today. Johnson led the Broncos with 9 tackles to go with 1.5 sacks, 1 TFL and 2 QB hits. #Vols pic.twitter.com/ixRnDom6do
— Marshall Hughes (@marshallhughes) October 13, 2019
The offense was another issue. Despite the win, it marked the fourth time in six games the Broncos scored 16 points of less.
Sixteen points won’t get it done against the Chiefs.
Trending Toward Chiefs
There might be no better opponent for the Chiefs to face when struggling than the Broncos. Along with the seven straight-up wins, KC is also 6-1 ATS against Denver in that span.
Teams to allow 180+ rushing yards in 4 straight games over the last 30 years:
2007 Broncos
2012 Bills
2019 CHIEFS— Kurtis "Stay-At-Home" Seaboldt (@KSeaboldt) October 13, 2019
Mahomes won his first NFL start against Denver and is 3-0 lifetime against the Broncos. He’s thrown for five TDs and never produced fewer than 27 points in a start against Denver.
Chris Harris #Broncos @1043TheFan "I dont want to talk about the Titans anymore. I'm hyped for the Chiefs."
— Cecil Lammey (@CecilLammey) October 13, 2019
The Chiefs have averaged 29.3 points per game during their seven-game winning streak against the Broncos. The total has gone over in four of the last six Chiefs-Broncos games. The over/under is 2-1-1 the last four times Kansas City played at Denver.
However, since 2012, the Broncos are 6-2 SU on Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs are just 3-4.
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs [-190, -3.5 (-110)].
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
