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Colts vs Titans Props – TNF Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 10

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Mar 3, 2021 · 11:54 AM PST

AFC South
FILE - In this Dec. 20, 2020, file photo, Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) carries ball against the Detroit Lions during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game in Nashville, Tenn. Henry as named The Associated Press Offensive Player of the Year on Saturday, Feb. 6, at the NFL Honors. (AP Photo/Brett Carlsen, File)
  • Colts battle Titans for top spot in AFC South on Thursday Night Football
  • Last week’s props results: 3-1; Season: 16-13; Total: +2.7 units 
  • Read below for our best prop bets for TNF Week 10

We’re back on track. We took some lumps in Week 8, but Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams against a 49ers ‘B’ team was the right remedy to limit our wagering woes to one week.

Let’s carry that momentum to a Thursday Night biggie in Week 10.

It’s a battle for first in the AFC South, as the 5-3 Indianapolis Colts are in Tennessee to battle the 6-2 Titans.

They’re expecting a clear, 65-degree night when they kick things off at 8:20pm in the Music City. Visit our Colts vs Titans page for all your game betting needs. For now, let’s make some hay with the prop bets below.

Colts vs Titans TNF Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 20.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 243.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)
Philip Rivers (IND) 23.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 265.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 1.5 (Ov -152 | Un +122)
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Derrick Henry (TEN) 20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 79.5 (Ov -118| Un -106) 90.5 (Ov -118| Un -105)
Nyheim Hines (IND) N/A 12.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 41.5 (Ov -110| Un -111)
Jordan Wilkins (IND) 8.5 (Ov -107 | Un -117) 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100) 39.5 (Ov -128 | Un +105)
Jonathan Taylor (IND) 10.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) 41.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 65.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) N/A 8.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) N/A
WR / TE / RB Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
AJ Brown (TEN) 4.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 62.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Jonnu Smith (TEN) 2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145) 29.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 14.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Corey Davis (TEN) 4.5 (Ov +133 | Un -167) 50.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Derrick Henry (TEN) N/A 7.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Nyheim Hines (IND) 3.5 (Ov +134 | Un -167) 25.5 (Ov -107 | Un -117) 12.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Jonathan Taylor (IND) N/A 11.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Trey Burton (IND) 2.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 11.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
TY Hilton (IND) 3.5 (Ov +136 | Un -175) 34.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 17.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Marcus Johnson (IND) 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -148) 30.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 16.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)
Zach Pascal (IND) 3.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 40.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 18.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Michael Pittman Jr (IND) 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105) 31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 16.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)

Odds taken on November 4 from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM

Points On The Pivots

Since taking over from Marcus Mariota last year, Ryan Tannehill has looked every part of the starter he was expected to be when selected eight overall in the 2012 NFL Draft by the Dolphins.

While he’s not getting Wilson, Mahomes, Rodgers and Brady headlines, he’s more than holding his own in leading the Titans to first in the South division. He has thrown for at least two touchdowns in every game but one all season and is fifth in the league with 19 TD passes.

And while the Colts are among the top defensive teams in the league, having surrendered multiple TD-passes in just two games, they’ll probably be preoccupied with stopping Derrick Henry. As well, Tannehill has thrown at least two TD scores at Nissan Stadium in 12 straight games. In on the baker’s dozen.

On the other side of the field, Philip Rivers has had an up and down year, but he’s done enough to keep Indy afloat while battling to keep the turnovers down. He’s in the middle of the pack in passing yards, but he’s found some comfort against the AFC South. In his last six games vs this division, he’s passed for at least 306 yards each game.

Considering the Titans are 27th in passing yards allowed, giving up 275 a contest, Rivers has a great opportunity to break the 300-yard passing threshold for the third time this season.

The picks:

  • Tannehill OVER 1.5 TD passes (1 unit to win 0.81 units) 
  • Rivers OVER 265.5 passing yards (1 unit to win 1 unit)

Watching Wilkins

For a team crowded at the running back position, the Colts have turned to oft-used Jordan Wilkins as of late. The fifth-round pick from 2018 has taken touches away from the team’s top draft pick this year, Jonathan Taylor.

In Week 8, he piled up 89 yards rushing on 20 carries with a TD against the Lions. And while his stats looked pedestrian against the Ravens in last week’s 24-10 loss, Wilkins led the team in rushing with 39 yards on 11 totes. That’s 14 more carries and 79 yards more than Taylor’s line in the last two weeks for those scoring at home.

Tennessee is 17th in rush defense, surrendering 119 yards a contest. I think Wilkins breaks this threshold with plenty of yardage to spare.

The pick: Wilkins OVER 31.5 yards rushing (1 unit to win 0.8 units)

Colts vs Titans Scoring Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Derrick Henry (TEN) +525 -162
AJ Brown (TEN) +800 +110
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +950 +135
Corey Davis (TEN) +1100 +165
Jordan Wilkins (IND) +1300 +200
TY Hilton (IND) +1400 +225
Jonnu Smith (TEN) +1600 +240
Zach Pascal (IND) +1600 +260
Nyheim Hines (IND) +1800 +275
Anthony Firsker (TEN) +2000 +325
Trey Burton (IND) +2000 +350
Michael Pittman Jr (IND) +2200 +375
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) +3000 +500

Who Finds Paydirt?

We finally busted the drought last week in this category, so let’s go for two in a row, offering two picks, both on the home side.

Derrick Henry may be challenged by this Colts defense, which surrenders just 3.3 yards a pop to backs, and has yet to give up a 100-yard game this season, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be a factor. He’s been hot of late, finding the endzone in five of his last six games. Expect him to be there again.

And teammate AJ Brown has been living in pay dirt, scoring six touchdowns in his last five games. Dating back to last season, Brown has scored a TD or more in eight of his last 10 games.

He’s been especially potent at home, scoring in each of his last seven appearances at Nissan Stadium. We’re betting the beat goes on with Brown, as his value for an anytime TD is nice.

The pick: Brown to score a TD (1 unit to win 1.1 units)

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