Upcoming Match-ups

Cowboys’ Super Bowl 56 Odds Open at +3000, Worse Than Chargers, Dolphins, and Browns

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Feb 7, 2021 · 7:00 PM PST

Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys
FILE - In this Oct. 11, 2020, file phot, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) lifts his fist to cheers from fans as he is carted off the field after suffering an injury while running the ball during the second half of the team's NFL football game against the New York Giants in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys are on the verge of a lost year, when they had hoped to contend, after a broken ankle ended the quarterback's season. (AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth, File)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have opened at +3000 to win Super Bowl 56
  • The Cowboys went 6-10 in 2020 and have not won a Super Bowl in 25 years
  • A look at the odds for the Cowboys and other championship contenders, along with analysis, can be found below

The Dallas Cowboys have now gone a quarter century since winning a Super Bowl, their last title coming at the end of the 1995 season.

The oddsmakers are not optimistic about the Cowboys ending that drought during the 2021-22 season. The Cowboys have opened at +3000 to win next year’s Super Bowl.

To put that into context, the Cowboys’ price is worse than the Cleveland Browns (+2200), Miami Dolphins (+2500) and Los Angeles Chargers (+2800) in the Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl 56 Odds

Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Green Bay Packers +900
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1100
Baltimore Ravens +1200
Buffalo Bills +1200
Los Angeles Rams +1200
San Francisco 49ers +1400
New Orleans Saints +1700
Cleveland Browns +2200
Seattle Seahawks +2200
Miami Dolphins +2500
Indianapolis Colts +2800
Los Angeles Chargers +2800
Tennessee Titans +2800
Dallas Cowboys +3000
New England Patriots +3000
Pittsburgh Steelers +3000
Minnesota Vikings +4000
Carolina Panthers +4500
Arizona Cardinals +5000
Atlanta Falcons +5000
Chicago Bears +5000
Las Vegas Raiders +5000
Philadelphia Eagles +5000

Odds taken Feb. 7 from DraftKings.

Worse Than Last Year

The Cowboys opening odds to win Super Bowl 55 were +1800. Thus, Dallas is thought to be further away from a title than they were before Mike McCarthy’s first season as coach.

The Cowboys had a 6-10 record in 2020, their worst since going 4-12 in 2015. Nevertheless, they stayed in contention to win the weak NFC East until the final day of the season when they lost on the road to the New York Giants, 23-19.

It was clear everyone was not always on the same page.

Many key injuries hampered the Cowboys, none more than quarterback Dak Prescott hurting his ankle in Week 5 and needing season-ending surgery. While veteran Andy Dalton did an OK job filling in, but Prescott was having an extraordinary season.

The fifth-year pro threw for 1,856 yards in just five games. He also had nine touchdowns passes, four interceptions and a career-best 68.0% competition rate.

Right tackle La’el Collins missed the season because of hip surgery. Tight end Blake Jarwin sustained a season-ending knee injury in the opener. Pro Bowl left tackle Tyron Smith was lost for the season after two games because of neck problems. All-Pro right guard Zack Martin sat out the last five games with a calf injury.

Who Could Leave?

The Cowboys have some key players eligible for free agency, but their biggest offseason task is determining Prescott’s future.

Owner/General Manager Jerry Jones has unsuccessfully tried to sign Prescott to a long-term extension each of the last two years. Prescott played on the franchise tag last season and the Cowboys have until March 9th to decide whether to tag the 27-year-old for next season.

Dalton’s one-year contract is expiring, and he wants to be a starter. Thus, he could end up elsewhere in 2021.

That might sadden the Washington Football Team.

Two longtime Cowboys, defensive lineman Tyrone Crawford and linebacker Sean Lee, might have played their final games with Dallas. Defensive end Aldon Smith can also become a free agent as well as cornerbacks Chidobe Awuzie and Jourdan Lewis and safety Xavier Woods.

Defensive Makeover Likely

With so many players on that side of the ball eligible for free agency, the Cowboys will likely have many new faces on defense next season. That might not be a bad thing.

Dallas’ defense was awful in 2020, giving up a franchise record 473 points – 29.6 a game – which was last in the NFL. The Cowboys were also 31st among the league’s 32 teams in run defense by allowing 158.8 yards a game.

That performance cost defensive coordinator Mike Nolan his job after only one season. He has been replaced by former Atlanta Falcons head coach Dan Quinn.

Yet this might have been Nolan’s lowlight of 2020.

Healthy Prescott Would Help

The Cowboys scored 24.7 points a game to rank 17th in the league. Should Prescott come back healthy, putting up points should not be a problem next season.

Getting Martin, Smith and Collins back on the line should help Ezekiel Elliott get back on track. He was limited to 974 rushing yards in 15 games, averaging just 4.0 yards a carry and scoring six touchdowns.

Some thought the Cowboys were better without Elliott.

It was the first time he did not have at least 1,357 yards in the four seasons in which he has played at least 15 games.

The Cowboys will also have their deep wide receiver corps back, a group that includes Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb.

How Much Better?

Good health alone should make the Cowboys better in 2021 and Jones is certain to remake the defense for Quinn.

It is certainly not a reach to project Dallas reaching the playoffs, especially playing in a division in which champion Washington had a 7-9 record this season. In fact, one can make the case the Cowboys has an easier path to the postseason than the Browns, Dolphins or Chargers.

It also instructive to note the Cowboys followed that 4-12 season in 2015 by going 13-3 in 2016.

Could it happen again in 2021? It’s worth a small wager to find out.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys (+3000)

Author Image