Cowboys vs Patriots Week 12 Picks & Odds – Spread Bet Money Evenly Split with Dallas as 6.5-Point Underdogs

• The Dallas Cowboys are 0-3 SU and ATS against teams with a winning record this season.
• The New England Patriots have won eight straight as a home favorite of 3.5 to seven points, covering the spread seven times in that span.
• While the point spread betting is about even, 60% of the moneyline bets are on the Patriots – read below for our analysis and prediction

The Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots will clash in one of the marquee matchups of Week 12. While the action on the point spread has been split about 50/50 in this contest, the moneyline wagering heavily favors the Patriots. Are they the right side here and maybe a good play for a teaser? Let’s take a closer look.

Cowboys vs Patriots Odds

Odds taken Nov. 23.

Cowboys have Struggled Against Winning Teams

The Cowboys have won three of their last four games, but few people are convinced that this team is among the top teams in the NFC. The Cowboys have consistently struggled against winning teams this season and that’s a concern as they go on the road to challenge the Patriots, who are 9-1.

The Cowboys’ six wins have come against the New York Giants (twice), Washington Redskins, Miami Dolphins, Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions. None of those teams have a winning record. Even some of those wins have been by narrow margins – including last week’s win over the Jeff Driskel-led Lions.

RT to congratulate @dak on being named NFC Offensive Player of the Week ?

tune into @FOXSports this Sunday for more action pic.twitter.com/1vfXZrglud

— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) November 20, 2019

The Cowboys have had a tendency to start slow in games, as they’ve trailed by at least six points in the first half in six of their last seven games. They often look like they’re unprepared early on, which will have to change if they want to contend on Sunday.

Injuries will Impact Sunday’s Affair

Both teams will have some key players sidelined on Sunday. The Cowboys will be without linebacker Leighton Vander Esch, while tackle La’el Collins and wideout Amari Cooper will play but both will be less than 100%. Cooper played only 55% of snaps last week, so the knee injury is clearly bothering him.

Meanwhile, the Patriots have some concerns of their own. Quarterback Tom Brady popped up on the injury report late in the week with an elbow ailment, but is expected to play. His wide receiving corps will be thinned out, though, as Mohammed Sanu is out and Phillip Dorsett is likely out too.

SUPER IMPRESSIVE: #Patriots coach Bill Belichick asked about Cowboys QB Dak Prescott.

Calls him “super impressive,” says his poise, accuracy stand out. @ABC6 pic.twitter.com/whhJQwO7HE

— Nick Coit (@NCoitABC6) November 20, 2019

The Patriots offense has labored this season as their 21-spot difference in the rankings from points per game (No. 3) to yards-per-play (No. 24) illustrates why looking at traditional stats can be misleading. Their defense has helped them a lot. If Brady is banged up and key wideouts are out, they’ll struggle again.

What’s the Best Bet?

In terms of the point spread, this just feels like a game where the Patriots will find a way. They have the better team, the better coach, the better defense and home-field advantage. Their opponent also usually fails when stepping up in competition.

Will Dak Prescott and the @dallascowboys get a win in Foxborough, or will Tom Brady and the @patriots continue to march towards the AFC’s top seed?

?: #DALvsNE — TOMORROW at 4:25pm ET on FOX
?: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app pic.twitter.com/vIRjHTQyQG

— NFL (@NFL) November 23, 2019

At the same time, the best bet for this contest might be the under. The Patriots defense should do their part, which means we might not see many points from Dallas. As for the Patriots offense, with Brady banged up and key receivers out, under might make a lot of sense here – especially since rain is expected throughout the game.