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Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 12

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Nov 26, 2022 · 3:45 PM PST

Tom Brady calling out plays
Nov 13, 2022; Munich, Germany; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) gestures in the fourth quarter against the Seattle Seahawks during an NFL International Series game at Allianz Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • Check out our Week 12 expert NFL picks against the spread covering picks on six teams
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tennessee Titans are some of our most popular picks this weekend
  • Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 12 below

Are the Bucs back? Will the Titans keep being an against the spread ATM? Our expert NFL picks against the spread are picking these teams and more in Week 12.

Last week’s top ATS picks went 4-5, leaving our season record now sits at 61-50-6.

Each week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.

Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 12

Matt McEwan Ryan Metivier Zach Reger Bob Duff
Bucs (-3) Titans (+3) Ravens (-3.5)
Chargers (-3) Jaguars (4) Titans (+3)
Seahawks (-3.5) Bucs (-3)
7-13-1 Season Record 15-16-2 Season Record 20-11-2 Season Record 19-10-1 Season Record

Odds as of November 25. Check out this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

Our expert NFL ATS picks cover six teams across eight picks above.

Ryan Metivier

The Bucs could be rounding into form finally. They just won 21-16 over Seattle and 16-13 over the Rams. They’re coming off their bye week and Tom Brady is 7-2-1 coming off a week off and being less than a touchdown favorite. He could improve that record against a Browns team struggling at 3-6 and who have lost their past three games 31-23 and 39-17. They actually have only one win in their past seven games.

It’s the Jacoby Brissett farewell tour as Deshaun Watson returns from suspension next week. Will he have the game of his life? Or throw caution to the wind? It may not matter as the Browns’ defense isn’t stopping anyone lately and here comes Brady who’s thrown for the fourth-most yards in the league.

  • Chargers (-3) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Kyler Murray should return for the Cardinals but will he be at full strength? Will it matter? The Cards are just 4-7 on the year. Six of those losses came with Murray under centre. Last week he wasn’t and Arizona got spanked 38-10 at home on MNF to the 49ers.

The Chargers got injured WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams back last week and while it wasn’t enough to topple the Chiegs, they went toe-to-toe with KC and lost 30-27. The Cardinals rank 23rd in passing yards allowed per game while LA and Justin Herbert bring a sixth-ranked passing game to University of Phoenix Stadium.

Wow, the Raiders won a game. But it came against the Broncos, they were losing, and they needed overtime. They had previously lost three in a row. One of those three losses came against a team with a first-time coach and one was a shutout.

Las Vegas gives up the ninth-most PPG and Seattle scores the fifth-most PPG in the league. The Raiders haven’t had a decent game in weeks. Even a 38-20 win over the Texans way back on October 23 was much closer than the final score looked. Geno Smith should be putting up the points throwing all over the Raiders to Tyler Lockett and DJ Metcalf.

Bob Duff

  • Ravens (-3.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

While the Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last six games, they’ve not been as impressive from a betting standpoint. Baltimore is just 2-4-1 ATS over the past seven games.

The Ravens are 4-1 ATS on the road this season. Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS in the past seven games and 0-4 ATS in the past four home games.

  • Titans (+3) at Caesars Sportsbook

Something must give in this game. The Titans are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games. They’re also 24-14 ATS as an underdog under head coach Mike Vrabel.

Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS over the past eight games. And the Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with Tennessee..

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