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Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 15

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Dec 16, 2022 · 8:58 PM PST

Josh Allen running
Bills quarterback Josh Allen looks to escape as the pocket collapses around him. He was sacked three times.
  • Our NFL experts predict their top picks against the spread for NFL Week 15
  • We have NFL ATS picks on eight different teams, including two expert picks on the Bills over the Jets
  • Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 15 below

The NFL regular season is winding down and entering Week 15 our expert NFL picks against the spread are still posting a winning record. Will the Bills and others get us into the win column this week?

Last week was a 4-5 week for the experts, leaving us at 71-66-6 for the season.

Each week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.

Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 15

Matt McEwan Ryan Metivier Zach Reger Bob Duff
— Buccaneers (+3.5) Bills (-7) Lions (+1.5)
— Titans (+3) Jaguars (+4) Bills (-7)
— Giants (+5) Bengals (-3.5) Panthers (-3)
7-13-1 Season Record 16-24-2 Season Record 24-16-2 Season Record 24-13-1 Season Record

Odds as of December 16. Check out this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

Our expert ATS picks above include picks on eight different games for Week 15 picks against the spread.

Zach Reger

  • Bills (-7) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Bills have been a frustrating team over the last few weeks. At times they look unstoppable, but then they turn the ball over. In comes the Miami Dolphins as a chance to right the ship. The Dolphins’ defense does not force turnovers. They are tied for 30th when it comes to turnovers forced. This is a great opportunity for Josh Allen to take care of the football.

Forecasts are calling for snow, and Tua has never played a game under 36 degrees. This is also the Dolphins’ third straight road game after dropping two games in a row on the West Coast. Lastly, it is a revenge spot for the Bills, as they allowed the Dolphins to come back and beat them in Miami earlier in the season. Give me the Bills big.

  • Jaguars (+4) at DraftKings Sportsbook

The Cowboys just squeaked by the Texans last week, and the Jaguars have been rolling. The reason for that has been former No. 1 overall pick, Trevor Lawrence. He has thrown 10 touchdowns in his last five games with zero interceptions. The Cowboys have had multiple slow starts this season, and the Jaguars’ defense has been just good enough for that to happen again on Sunday.

The Cowboys have been the better team this season, but the Jaguars are not far behind at this point in the year. Getting more than three points is plenty, as this should be a close one.

The Bengals have been hot, and the Bucs have looked terrible, so this could be a trap. However, the Bengals are 10-3 against the spread this season, and they have covered 18 of their last 21 games. I am done fading Cincinnati late in the year. The offense is rolling, and the defense is coming together. The Bengals should win this one in a rout.

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Bob Duff

  • Bills (-7) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Whipped two weeks in a row on the road, the Dolphins are 1-3 ATS over their past four away games.

Buffalo has won five in a row and nine of 10 straight up over Miami. The Bills are 7-2-1 ATS over that span.

  • Lions (+1.5) at BetMGM

Two weeks ago, the Jets lost to Minnesota. Last week the Lions whipped the Vikings. So naturally, as Detroit is facing the Jets this week, it’s the Jets who are favored.

What do these One Pride fellas gotta do to get a little respect? True, the Jets have won four of five from Detroit. But these Lions are 5-1 SU in the past six and 5-0 ATS in the last five.

  • Panthers (-3) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With Sunday’s win and cover at Seattle, the Panthers are 6-1 ATS in the past six games. They’re the +375 second betting choice to win the NFC South in the NFL Divisional odds. Pittsburgh, though is 5-0 ATS in the last five against Carolina.

Last week, the Ravens slashed the Steelers for 215 yards on the ground. The Panthers rolled through the Seahawks for 223 rushing yards.

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