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Eagles vs Falcons Picks, Odds & Preview – Sunday Night Football Week 2

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 9:24 AM PDT

Matt Ryan
Matt Ryan and the Falcons host the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. Photo from @FalconsKelsey. (Twitter.)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles and Atlanta Falcons square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, Sep. 15)
  • The Eagles are currently 1.5-point favorites in the second highest total game of the week
  • What’s the best bet for PHI-ATL?

The Philadelphia Eagles and Atlanta Falcons square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20 pm ET, Sep. 15) in what was supposed to be a clash of NFC heavyweights. Both teams got off to slow starts in their season openers, but while the Eagles were able to right the ship, the Falcons looked lost for 60 minutes in Minnesota. The look-ahead point spread for this game was Atlanta -1, but after their dismal effort in Week 1, Philadelphia is now a slight road favorite.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Philadelphia Eagles -120 -1.5 (-109) Over 52.5 (-109)
Atlanta Falcons +100 +1.5 (-109) Under 52.5 (-109)

*All odds taken 09/14/19

You can see the odds movement experienced at each sportsbook in our Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons odds.

Can Atlanta’s Offensive Line Hold Up?

Neither defense is particularly strong on the back end, but Philly’s pass rush does have a significant edge on Atlanta’s offensive line. The Eagles generated pressure on over 20% of opponent drop backs in 2018, and the Falcons are fresh off a game where they couldn’t protect Matt Ryan.

Atlanta surrendered four sacks in Week 1 and their left and right tackles combined to allow pressure on 22% of Ryan drop backs. If the Falcons have any shot at keeping up with the Eagles on the scoreboard they’ll need to keep Ryan clean, because Matty-ice is a completely different quarterback at home versus on the road.

Home Sweet Home

Ryan’s efficiency sky rockets in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, much like his winning percentage. For his career, he’s won 58% of his home starts compared to just 51% of his road outings, and he averages almost a full yard more per pass attempt at home than on the road.

His touchdown to interception ratio is half a touchdown higher at home, while his completion percentage is 4 points better. This Eagles secondary allowed Case Keenum to hang 380 yards and three touchdowns on them last week, and few receivers have had more success versus Philadelphia than Julio Jones.

Atlanta’s stud receiver averages 119.4 receiving yards per game versus the Eagles for his career, and should have a field day against Philly’s bottom-8 coverage unit.

The Home Dog Will Bark

The Eagles may have looked like the better team in Week 1, but I’m predicting a bounce back spot for the Falcons. If home field is worth three points, this line suggests Philadelphia is 4.5 points better on a neutral field which seems too high. Atlanta’s offensive line will be able to communicate much easier at home than last week in Minnesota, and Ryan’s effectiveness will benefit greatly.


There’s no doubt that this explosive Eagles offense will put up points, but the Falcons garnered a lot of preseason hype for a reason, and Sunday Night will be their coming out party.

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