Giants vs Chiefs Odds, Lines, Picks, and Predictions for Week 8 Monday Night Football
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 9.5-point home favorites over the New York Giants on Monday Night Football in Week 8 (November 1st, 8:15 pm ET)
- KC has dropped two of three and is off to its worst start during the Patrick Mahomes era
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
What if I told you before the season started that Patrick Mahomes’ first seven starts would produce only three Kansas City victories? At the time it would have seemed unfathomable, but here we are in Week 8 and the Chiefs are 3-4.
KC is fresh off a humiliating 27-3 loss to Tennessee, and will look to right its sinking ship on Monday Night Football against the New York Giants (Nov. 1st, 8:15 pm ET).
Giants vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants | +360 | +9.5 (-110) | O 52.5 (-106) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -460 | -9.5 (-110) | U 52.5 (-114) |
Odds as of Oct. 29th at FanDuel.
The Chiefs are 9.5-point favorites over the G-Men, in a game that features a total of 52.5. So far the spread betting action has been incredibly one-sided, with 78% of the handle, and 63% of the tickets backing KC per our NFL public betting trends.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, with a chilly night for football on deck. The forecast currently calls for 37 degree night time temperatures, along with 7 mph winds.
Can the Chiefs Bounce Back?
One of the most surprising things about the Chiefs’ disappointing start has been the amount of turnovers they’ve had. KC has coughed up the ball 17 times already, which is five more turnovers than any other squad entering the week. Mahomes has thrown nine interceptions, three more than he did during all of 2020, and has been picked off in six straight games.
Tough stretch for Patrick Mahomes
— Leads NFL with 9 INTs (tied with Zach Wilson)
— Six straight games with a pick (longest of career)
— 16 INTs in 16 games
— 2 turnovers today
— Down 27-0 at halftime to Titans pic.twitter.com/twecOqIUW3— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 24, 2021
Recent history suggests that positive regression is coming for KC in the turnover department, as no team averaged more than two turnovers per game in 2020.
A matchup versus New York certainly isn’t one to fear, as the Giants have accumulated only nine takeaways through seven games. New York ranks 24th in pass rush win rate per Pro Football Focus, and has been picked apart by the only two top-10 quarterbacks they’ve faced.
Dak Prescott threw for 302 yards and 3 TD versus them in a 44-20 Cowboys victory in Week 5, while Matthew Stafford torched the Giants for 251 passing yards and four scores two weeks ago, in a 38-11 Rams win.
TYREEK HILL IS GOING OFF 🤯
3rd touchdown of the day for Cheetah. 5th of the day for Mahomes.
(via @NFL)
pic.twitter.com/KUvHPF3bzi— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 3, 2021
Despite the Chiefs’ miserable performance last week against the Titans, KC still ranks first in the NFL in yards per drive, and fourth in points per drive.
Giants Set-Up For Success
On the other side of the ball, this is a smash spot for Daniel Jones and New York’s offense. The Chiefs rank last in sack rate, and pass rush productivity, while checking in as the 31st ranked pass defense per DVOA.
KC has surrendered at least 27 points in all but one contest this season, while allowing the fifth most yards in the league. The Chiefs have been especially vulnerable versus the run, allowing an average of 140 rushing yards per game to opposing RB’s, and more yards on the ground to enemy quarterbacks than any other team.
Daniel Jones with a Touchdown run!! Giants up! pic.twitter.com/Un9C0KKCab
— Bobby Skinner (@BobbySkinner_) September 17, 2021
Jones owns the third most rushing yards among QB’s, and should be getting some of his primary receivers back to elevate his passing outlook. Both Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney sat out Week 7, but are practicing this week and on track to play.
The Giants are no offensive juggernaut, but should be able to keep pace with the Chiefs in this matchup. New York has scored at least 25 points in three of its past six contests, while facing more talented defenses than what KC has to offer.
Giants vs Chiefs Pick
This is the lowest total of the year for a Chiefs game, and given the way these two teams have played defense in 2021, the over looks like a prime candidate to hit.
Last week notwithstanding, KC still boasts an ultra talented offense, while its defense is vulnerable through the air and on the ground. Chiefs home games have averaged 58 points per contest so far, with all three games eclipsing 53 points.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the 31st ranked defense, per PFF.
The Carolina Panthers have the 3rd ranked defense and the Giants scored 25.
We KNOW Dimes can do it, need some playmakers back but the Giants can put a 30 piece on the Chiefs.
— Alex Wilson (@AlexWilsonESM) October 29, 2021
KC has allowed every offense it has faced except for Washington to exceed its season scoring average, and New York will be latest team to do so as well.
After battling through a quad injury over the past few weeks, Tyreek Hill is off the injury report this week, boosting KC’s offensive outlook. Also working in favor of the Chiefs’ offense is the loss of Giants safety Jabrill Peppers, who would have been tasked with trying to slow down Travis Kelce.
Pick: Over 52.5 (-106)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
