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Mahomes Becomes Favorite to Lead NFL in Passing, But Is He the Best Bet? See Odds for All QBs

Patrick Mahomes
Pat Mahomes is now the favorite to lead the NFL in passing yardage for 2020. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire)
  • Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is the +450 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yardage during the 2020 season
  • Drew Brees, the previous favorite, saw his odds jump from +500 to +2500. Is he worth a look at that price?
  • Analysis of odds on all the top contenders, plus a look at some value bets are revealed below

Is 2020 going to be the NFL season in which the passing of the torch to Patrick Mahomes is complete?

Mahomes landed himself a Super Bowl ring last season. He led the Kansas City Chiefs to their first title in the big game since 1970. In 2018, Mahomes topped the league with 50 touchdown passes.

There’s just one major quarterbacking accomplishment left for Mahomes to achieve. He’s never been the NFL leader in passing yardage. But the oddsmakers are of the opinion that this could be the year to stand with Pat.

In the latest line, Mahomes is now the +450 chalk to be the 2020 NFL passing-yardage leader. He was originally the second betting choice at +600.

Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints opened as the +500 favorite to earn this title. Brees saw his odds plummet, though. He’s now listed with a betting line of +2500.

The QB who led the NFL in passing yardage last season – Jameis Winston – will back up Brees this season with the Saints.

Odds to Lead NFL in Passing Yardage for 2020 Season

Quarterback Team Odds
Patrick Mahomes Chiefs +450
Matt Ryan Falcons +500
Jared Goff Rams +700
Tom Brady Buccaneers +800
Dak Prescott Cowboys +800
Matthew Stafford Lions +1400
Ben Roethlisberger Steelers +2000
Deshaun Watson Texans +2000
Philip Rivers Colts +2200
Drew Brees Saints +2500
Kyler Murray Cardinals +2500
Russell Wilson Seahawks +2500
Carson Wentz Eagles +2500
Aaron Rodgers Packers +2800
Daniel Jones Giants +3000
Baker Mayfield Browns +3000
Joe Burrow Bengals +3300
Kirk Cousins Vikings +3300
Jimmy Garoppolo 49ers +3300
Sam Darnold Jets +4000
Teddy Bridgewater Panthers +5000
Drew Lock Broncos +5000
Gardner Minshew Jaguars +5000
Jarrett Stidham Patriots +5000
Ryan Tannehill Texans +5000
Derek Carr Raiders +6000
Josh Allen Bills +6600
Dwayne Haskins Redskins +6600
Lamar Jackson Ravens +6600
Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins +7500
Nick Foles Bears +10000
Justin Herbert Chargers +10000
Ryan Fitzpatrick Dolphins +15000
Mitchell Trubisky Bears +15000
Tyrod Taylor Chargers +15000

Odds taken June 16th

Brees has led or shared the NFL lead in passing yards seven times. No Chiefs QB has ever topped the league in passing yardage.

Mahomes Makes Mark

Despite missing two games last season through injury, Mahomes was still 10th in the NFL with 4,031 yards. He was seventh overall in the league, averaging 287.9 yards per game. His 318.6 YPG average in 2018 was second-best in the league.

The problem for Mahomes is simply that the Chiefs win too many games too easily. There’s no incentive or reason to keep flinging it when KC is running away from an opponent.

The addition of first-round draft pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the Chiefs’ backfield should beef up their running game as well. That’s another reason to suspect Mahomes won’t need to air it out as much.

Brees-ing on By

Maybe it was the facts that put the brakes on Brees for passing leader. Or perhaps it’s simply that people figured it would be hard to pass with his foot in his mouth.

Brees was lambasted after he made ignorant comments about why black NFL players were kneeling during the anthem despite the past three weeks of demonstrations in America. He said he still viewed it as disrespecting the flag when in fact it’s a statement against police brutality.

He rapidly back-pedalled and apologized when the heat came from fellow NFLers and Saints teammates.

On top of that, Brees hasn’t passed for 4,000 yards since 2017. He missed five games last season. And he’s in his 40s.

Matty Icing It

The QB to watch in the NFC South isn’t named Brees, or even Tom Brady. If someone from this division is going to lead the NFL in passing, it’s Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons.

Ryan will need to pass a lot because Atlanta figures to be behind a lot. Amazingly, he’s never earned this honor.

Don’t Be Passing on Dak

You know who finished just 207 yards behind Winston in the passing yardage race last season? Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys did.

You know who’s seeking a big-ticket contract? Dak is. And Dallas went out and got him CeeDee Lamb to go with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup.

Pick: Dak Prescott (+800).

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