Upcoming Match-ups

Baker Mayfield has the Same 2018 NFL MVP Odds as Deshaun Watson

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Jan 6, 2023 · 6:40 AM PST

Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns
Baker Mayfield is set to make his first career start in the NFL in Week 4, against the Raiders. Photo By Erik Drost (Wiki Commons) [CC License]
  • Can Baker Mayfield become the first rookie since Jim Brown to win NFL MVP?
  • Despite being 0-3, can Deshaun Watson rescue the Texans’ season and have a chance at the award?
  • Where’s the value on potential NFL MVP winners?

Back on September 12th – two weeks ago – Deshaun Watson had average 2018 NFL MVP odds of +1300 (the fourth-shortest in the NFL).

Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield was glued to the bench in Cleveland, watching his 2018 NFL OROY odds get longer by the week as his coach insisted they would stick with Tyrod Taylor.

Now, Watson and Mayfield have the same odds to win the 2018 NFL MVP in sportsbooks.

If you were wondering where we were at in Baker hype, here is your answer.

Odds to Win 2018 NFL MVP

Player Odds to win 2018 NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes +300
Aaron Rodgers +500
Drew Brees +650
Baker Mayfield +5000
Deshaun Watson +5000

*View the full list by following the link in the table

Let’s take a further look into the two.

Only 1 Rookie has Ever Won NFL MVP

Jim Brown is the only NFL player to win MVP during his rookie year, coming back in 1957. So for Mayfield to win it, he’d be duplicating a feat only accomplished by one of the greatest of all-time.

But hey, Mayfield got the Browns their first win in 635 days and was also the man to bring Cleveland fans free beer. So miracles can happen!

Baker vs Mahomes II in Week 9

After Kansas City’s 3-0 start, Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes is favored to win NFL MVP honors at +300.

A Week 9 matchup between the Browns and Chiefs could heavily impact the MVP odds.

But so could the other 13 weeks still to be played …

If nothing else, it could be a game of the year if it’s anything like the 66-59 Oklahoma win Mayfield led Oklahoma to over Mahomes and Texas Tech when these two last met in college.

Does Watson Have any Value for NFL MVP?

Deshaun Watson has taken a much different path to those +5000 odds.

Watson showed flashes of being the QB the Texans have been waiting years for before tearing his ACL last year. Now healed and part of a Texans’ team with a star-studded defense, expectations were high in Houston.

However, Watson has yet to look like his old self since returning from injury. The Texans’ offensive line hasn’t done him any favors either, as Watson is one of the league’s most sacked quarterbacks.

The Texans are now 0-3 straight up and ATS. Being winless after three weeks severely hinders their playoff and similarly Watson’s MVP chances.

Where is the Real Value in NFL MVP Betting?

If you’re a fan of one of these teams – Cleveland and/or Houston – and want to be holding a ticket on these guys for entertainment purposes, I get it.

But you’d be going against some pretty hefty historical trends. You could find better value with either team by heading over to Super Bowl 53 odds.

Considering the Rams have looked the most complete team so far and that a QB has won MVP ten of the past 11 seasons, Jared Goff at +2200 has value

You could make a case for many other options, but considering the Rams have looked the most complete team so far and that a QB has won MVP ten of the past 11 seasons, Jared Goff at +2200 has value.

Think Todd Gurley is the real straw that stirs the Rams’ drink? Well he can be had for +750.

And finally one longshot. He’s the man with an NFL record 400+ passing yards three weeks in a row. Take a flyer on FitzMagic at +6600.

Author Image