Upcoming Match-ups

Odds to Be a Top 5/10 Pick in 2020 NFL Draft

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in NFL Football

Updated Mar 30, 2021 · 7:38 AM PDT

jeff okudah
  • The 2020 NFL Draft’s first round will get underway on Thursday, April 23rd at 8:00 pm EST
  • The depth at cornerback isn’t great at this draft, so corners may start coming off the board sooner than later
  • See the odds and our top picks to be selected in the Top 5 and Top 10 below

The 2020 NFL Draft starts tonight but before the first picks are made, we’re examining new Top 5 and Top 10 props that are on the board. Sportsbooks have posted odds on who’ll be drafted in those ranges, so let’s take a closer look and see if there’s any value on the board.

Top 5/Top 10 NFL Draft Odds

Player Top 5 Pick Odds Top 10 Pick Odds
Jeffrey Okudah -200 N/A
Tua Tagovailoa -200 N/A
Jedrick Wills -167 -715
Justin Herbert -125 N/A
Tristan Wirfs +175 -590
Andrew Thomas +200 -250
Derrick Brown +300 -1000
Isaiah Simmons +300 -400
Mekhi Becton +500 -110
C.J. Henderson +800 +125
Jordan Love +2000 +800
Jerry Jeudy +3300 +150
Javon Kinlaw +3300 +140
CeeDee Lamb +4000 +150
Henry Ruggs III +5000 +250
K’Lavon Chiasson +10000 +400
A.J. Terrell N/A +700
Ezra Cleveland N/A +1400
Austin Jackson N/A +1400
Kenneth Murray N/A +2000
Patrick Queen N/A +2000
Josh Jones N/A +2500
Kristian Fulton N/A +3300
Justin Jefferson N/A +3300
Isaiah Wilson N/A +3300
D’Andre Swift N/A +500
Yetur Gross-Matos N/A +6600
Xavier McKinney N/A +6600
Jeff Gladney N/A +10000

All odds taken Apr. 23.

C.J. Henderson Worth a Top 10 Flier

One of the players that’s been flying up the draft board has been cornerback C.J. Henderson. Some people had him as a late-to-mid first-round pick originally but taking a look at an aggregate of mock drafts, he’s sneaking into the Top 10.

The issue here is that this isn’t a particularly deep draft for cornerbacks – especially elite ones. Jeffrey Okudah is the top corner on the block and Henderson starts the next tier. Teams like Carolina, Arizona, and Jacksonville could use a corner and I wouldn’t be surprised if Henderson lands with one of those teams – especially Jacksonville.

Okudah Should Go in the Top Five

Although I don’t like many of the lines in the Top 5, Okudah going in the Top 5 makes sense to me. He’s been most mocked to the Detroit Lions at No. 3 and that makes sense because they traded away Pro Bowl cornerback Darius Slay and need a replacement. They’re probably taking him at No. 3 or trading back to No. 5 to take him.

The other hot rumor is that the Atlanta Falcons are trying to trade up into the Top 5 to nab a defensive player who they believe could be a star. They could be eyeing Okudah too as they need help at the position. That’s likely going to put even more pressure on Okudah to go in the Top 5. I don’t like laying -200 but I think he’s a solid bet to go in the first five selections.

Can Lamb Sneak Into the Top 10?

For my money, CeeDee Lamb is the best wide receiver in the 2020 NFL Draft. While it’s generally thought that he’ll be the first receiver off the board – he’s a -110 favorite be – the thinking is that he doesn’t get off the board until the teens. However, someone may decide to trade up and get him.

The New York Jets are most mocked to land Lamb but they’re at No. 11. We also see plenty of mock drafts marrying the Las Vegas Raiders with a wide receiver, so maybe they move ahead of the Jets to get Lamb. There has been plenty of chatter that the Philadelphia Eagles are enamored with Lamb but for them to get a piece of the action, they’d have to trade into the Top 10.

The other key here is that we should have a number of willing participants to move back in the draft like the Arizona Cardinals (No. 8), Jacksonville Jaguars (No. 9) and Cleveland Browns (No. 10). That being the case, I’d take a small flier on Lamb making the Top 10 for plus money.

Pass on Kinlaw

Many early mock drafts have South Carolina’s Javon Kinlaw making the cut for the Top 10. However, as we take a look now, the aggregators are showing that Kinlaw has moved into the range somewhere of No. 15. It seems like some teams have soured on him as being part of the elite players in the draft and he’s viewed more as a second-tier guy. I’d pass on betting him to go in the Top 10.

Author Image