Opening Spread in Bears vs Packers Favors Green Bay By 5

• Aaron Rodgers has been held under 200 yards passing in three of his last five starts.
• Mitchell Trubisky is completing 77% of his passes over his last three games.
• The Chicago Bears have won three straight – read below for our prediction on how the point spread will move in this NFC North tilt.

The Green Bay Packers edged the Washington Redskins 20-15 on Sunday to improve to 10-3. Next Sunday, they’ll host the Chicago Bears, who are suddenly surging. Chicago has quietly won three in a row and four of five to get to 7-6. The Packers opened as a 6.5-point favorite, but that number has moved in the Bears’ favor.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Odds

Odds taken Dec. 8

Packers Earn Narrow Win Over Redskins

The Packers closed as a two-touchdown favorite over the Redskins and while they led Sunday’s game from wire-to-wire, it wasn’t exactly an impressive win. They totalled just 341 yards, and while they scored 14 points in the first quarter, they had just six points the rest of the way.

Win No. 10 ✅#GoPackGo pic.twitter.com/R3yx2N8AQJ

— Green Bay Packers (@packers) December 8, 2019

Their run defense is a concern as they gave up 121 yards to the Redskins even though Washington had no real semblance of a passing game. Three Redskins turnovers ended up being the difference as without those, the Redskins could have been a threat to win this game.

Bears Are On A Roll

Don’t look now but the Bears, who were criticized heavily following their loss to the Los Angeles Rams on November 17th, have won three in a row. They’re coming off a quality win over the Dallas Cowboys as they dominated the game even though they closed as the underdog.

Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has regained his confidence and has averaged 280.7 passing yards per game over his last three outings, while completing 77% of his passes. He has seven touchdowns and four picks in those games with a passer rating above 115 in his last two contests.

MITCH TRUBISKY.

? W H E E L S ?

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/3DceWMxTVe

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 6, 2019

It’s hard to tell whether the Bears actually turned it around or if they’ve merely beaten a few struggling teams like the Cowboys, Detroit Lions and New York Giants. We’ll find out this week if they’ve turned a corner or whether this was merely a late season mirage.

Which Way Will The Line Move?

We’ve already seen quite a bit of line movement in this contest. The Packers opened -6.5 but quickly climbed to -7. However, all of the money has come back on Chicago since then as the line has been pushed all the way down to -5. While it’s early in the week, I expect more movement in that direction.

.@TheRealZSmith ?? you, #Packers fans! #GoPackGo pic.twitter.com/0KMwKAUq2R

— Green Bay Packers (@packers) December 8, 2019

The Packers have some serious issues with their run defense and the Bears should be competitive in this spot if they’re able to run the ball. The Packers have the 25th-ranked run defense, allowing 123 rushing yards per game. Only four teams allow more than their 4.7 yards-per-carry average.

At the same time, the Packers offense also seems to be having some issues. Aaron Rodgers has now passed for 195 yards or less in three of his last five games. With the Bears playing well right now and having 10 days to prepare, I wouldn’t be surprised if bettors see some value by taking the points in a divisional matchup. Don’t expect the Packers to get back to -6 or -7 this week.