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Packers vs 49ers Picks & Odds For Sunday Night Football – Green Bay 7-3 ATS This Season

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 6:16 PM PDT

Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are a short underdog vs the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football in a battle of the NFC's top two teams. Photo By KA Sports (Flickr) [CC License].
  • The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20pm ET, Nov. 24)
  • The 8-2 Packers are 3-point road underdogs, despite being an NFL best 7-3 ATS
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

NFC supremacy will be on the line when the Green Bay Packers face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Green Bay comes into this game winners of five of their past six, while San Fran narrowly avoided a second straight loss in Week 11 against Arizona.

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Green Bay Packers +160 +3.0 (+101) Over 48.0 (-109)
San Francisco 49ers -180 -3.0 (-119) Under 48.0 (-109)

All odds taken Nov. 23

The line for this massive tilt opened Niners -3 and that’s where it stands, although the juice is heavily weighted in San Francisco’s direction. The Packers are tied for the NFL’s best mark against the spread at 7-3, while the 49ers have failed to cover in three straight games as a favorite.

Are the Niners Overvalued?

San Fran enters this game with a long list of injury concerns, while Green Bay is completely healthy. The Niners took the NFL by storm through the first eight weeks of the season, winning each of their games by an average of 18.5 points, but they’ve looked pedestrian in their last three contests.


They squeaked out a 3-point victory in Arizona in Week 9, before losing at home to Seattle in Week 10. Last week, they dug themselves an early 16-0 hole against the Cardinals before rallying back to take the lead for good in the final minute of the game.

After racking up 181 rushing yards a contest in their first seven games of the season, their run game has completely disappeared in November. They’ve been held to just 74 yards per game over the past three weeks and are averaging a measly 2.88 yards per carry.


Jimmy Garoppolo has picked up the slack offensively, throwing for 989 yards over that stretch, but he’s been careless with the football. He’s committed five turnovers in his last three outings and has been sacked eight times. If Green Bay can limit San Fran’s rushing attack, their elite pass rush should be able to wreak havoc on Jimmy G. The Niners are a bottom-12 pass blocking unit according to Pro Football Focus, and will be without left tackle Joe Staley.

Can the Packers Offense Produce?

Green Bay will be the highest rated offense the 49ers has faced all season, and unlike the Niners they don’t give the football away. The Packers haven’t committed a turnover in four straight games, and Aaron Rodgers has only thrown two picks all season.


The MVP buzz he garnered early in the season is gone, but that’s probably a good thing for the efficiency of this offense. They’re far more balanced this season than in years past, and they’ll need to rely on their running game against the Niners. San Fran excels versus the pass, but struggles against the run, ranking 19th by DVOA. Aaron Jones is tied for the NFL lead with 11 rushing scores, and the Niners will be without Pro Bowl linebacker Kwon Alexander.


San Fran has allowed an average of 145 yards rushing per outing over the last three weeks, and success in the run game will be critical for the Packers’ ability to effectively use play action.

Packers Plus the Points

The Niners have faced the fourth easiest schedule in the league thus far, and the third easiest set of offenses. They have zero wins versus teams currently occupying a playoff spot, while the Packers’ resume includes victories over the Vikings, Cowboys, Chiefs and Raiders.

Green Bay is a healthier team, with a better quarterback, and are catching a field goal. Packers plus the points seems like the clear choice.

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