Sharps Picking Redskins as Heavy Dogs at Home Over Niners in Week 7
- Washington is 1-5 ATS this season, but 9.8% of sharp money still on Redskins
- San Francisco has posted a 4-1 record ATS heading into Week 7
- Niners have won by 10 or more points in all but one game this season
San Francisco will look to keep their unbeaten record intact on Sunday when the NFC West Division leaders hit the road for a game against the Washington Redskins.
The Niners enter the game as the 10-point favorites against the spread, accounting for 89.1% of ATS bets heading into Sunday’s matchup according to figures reported by BookMaker. Also, 52.3% of the ATS money is on San Francisco.
However, BookMaker’s figures are also focusing more on sharps, which reveals that 9.8% of their money is on the Redskins to cover the spread — the second highest percentage of all Week 7 games.
Here’s a closer look at the 49ers vs Redskins odds and stats as well as the best bet for Sunday’s matchup.
San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Redskins Odds
Team | Spread at BookMaker | Total Points | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ers | -10 (-110) | O 40 (-110) | -475 |
Washington Redskins | +10 (-110) | U 40 (-110) | +367 |
*Odds taken 10/18/19
The 49ers have posted a remarkable 4-1 record ATS this season, with three of those four wins covered coming on the road. However, many would argue that the 5-0 49ers have yet to face a real test through six games this season.
Even the sharps believe 10 points may be too much for the 49ers to cover, even against the lowly Redskins who only have one win this season.
Aside from last week’s win against the Los Angeles Rams, the Niners have posted victories against the Buccaneers, Bengals, Steelers and Browns.
49ers Still One of NFL’s Highest Scoring Teams
San Francisco is averaging 29.4 points for per game this season, which ranks third int he NFL heading into Week 7. Only the New England Patriots (31.7) and Baltimore Ravens (30.7) have averaged more points per game.
In addition to being strong offensively, the 49ers are also second overall in fewest yards against per game this season — holding opponents to 237.4 YDS/G. Only the Patriots are giving up fewer total yards (234.7) this season.
This 49ers defense is bullying everybody ? pic.twitter.com/jQY4pAEoQr
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 18, 2019
The Redskins will have a tough time scoring on a San Francisco defense that’s also giving up just 12.8 points against per game. That is also the second fewest behind the Patriots (8.0).
Washington is coming off its first win the year — albeit against the winless Miami Dolphins. The Redskins edged the Dolphins by a single point to finally get in the win column.
#49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo has shown great poise in the pocket and ability to deliver on third downs.
For all the flack he’s taken, he’s 7th in completion percentage at 69%. pic.twitter.com/1jeOgmVl04
— ourSF49ers (@OSf49ers) October 10, 2019
Redskins Have Struggled ATS Against 49ers
Should you have confidence in betting on Washington ATS even though the team is 1-5 in that category heading into Week 7?
Washington’s ATS track record over the last five games at home against San Francisco would likely deter bettors from doing so, considering the Redskins are 1-4 against the spread over that stretch.
This will be the first meeting between the 49ers and Redskins since 2017 when Washington walked away with a 26-24 win. San Francisco holds a 2-1 record against Washington over the last three meetings while also covering in two of those games.
The Redskins haven’t done enough to prove they are worth betting on ATS against the red-hot 49ers, who have won by 10 or more points in all but one game this season.
Look for that trend to continue on Sunday, which is why nearly 90% of the recreational bets on this game are heavily favoring the 49ers.
Pick: San Francisco 49ers (-10, -110)