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Golden Knights vs Stars Game 6 Odds, Spread & Picks (May 29)

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NHL Hockey

Updated May 28, 2023 · 1:01 PM PDT

Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Adin Hill makes a save on a Dallas Stars shot
May 27, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Adin Hill (33) makes a save on a Dallas Stars shot as defenseman Alex Pietrangelo (7) looks on during the third period in game five of the Western Conference Finals of the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Stars are -130 home favorites in Game 6 of their Western Conference Finals series against the Golden Knights Monday (May 29th) at 8:00pm ET
  • Dallas has won the last two games versus Vegas after losing the first three in the playoffs.
  • Keep reading for the complete Golden Knights vs Stars odds, plus best bets

The Dallas Stars looked dead to rights after losing Game 3. Jamie Benn lost his composure and was lucky only receiving a two-game suspension. However, going down 0-3 did something for Dallas. The Stars started playing Dallas hockey.

The Golden Knights stopped scoring as often. Jake Oettinger started playing better in goal and Adin Hill looked just the slightest bit human in Game 5. Is there a chance that this series has completely turned?

Vegas began this series as -135 favorites to make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons. That number dipped from -2400 to -335. Dallas are the underdogs at +260. Read on for Stars vs Golden Knights analysis.

Golden Knights vs Stars Game 6 Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Monday, May 29th Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 (-250) O 5.5 (-115) +110
8:00 pm Dallas Stars -1.5 (+205) U 5.5 (-105) -130

Vegas is the second choice in the Stanley Cup odds at +125, while Dallas is third at +600. The Golden Knights are the +110 underdogs in this contest that features a total of 5.5 goals.

Puck drop is set for 8:00 pm ET at American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas with ESPN broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC covering it in Canada.

 

 

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Dallas Stars Betting Analysis

The Dallas Stars righted themselves in Games 4 and 5 much like they did against Minnesota and Seattle by the looks of the scoreboard. However, this time the Stars showed an ability to slow down Vegas to a goal-scoring halt while mounting an offense of their own. Dallas and its speed plus depth are quite a combination when it gets going.

Jake Oettinger is an excellent goaltender for Dallas and is now making the saves he needs to. The question becomes what does Peter DeBoer do about Ryan Suter and Jamie Benn? The Stars played unquestionably better on Thursday and Saturday night. Could Benn see fourth-line minutes with Suter seeing seventh-defenseman-like ice time? That is possible. It will be intriguing to see what Dallas does.

Dallas has scored seven goals in the past two games and can easily get 3-4 past Adin Hill with regularity. That is the Stars’ belief. With depth like Ty Dellandrea scoring twice in Game 5, it is hard to doubt the Stars here.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Analysis

Vegas is showing signs of hemorrhaging like the Miami Heat. The Golden Knights scored early in Games 4 and 5 but mounted little offense afterward. That resulted in an overtime Game 4 loss and a Game 5 where Dallas looked like the more dominant team in Vegas. Depth scoring vanished and the top line still features no goals from Jack Eichel.

Vegas continues to get great goaltending from Adin Hill but some of the mistakes Hill makes rose to the surface too. The third goal Hill allowed was poor positioning. He should have been more aggressive and that did turn Game 5.

The Golden Knights were outplayed by a Dallas team who played a more Vegas style. Hill now knows he has to play as aggressively as his counterpart, Jake Oettinger. Take one moment slightly off and pay the price!

Vegas knows that Dallas is now in this series. Winning that fourth and final game means getting back to playing balanced hockey.

Vegas vs Dallas Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
5/27/2023 VGK 2 – DAL 4 – Game 5 DAL DAL Over
5/25/2023 DAL 3 – VGK 2 (OT) – Game 4 DAL DAL Under
5/23/2023 DAL 0 – VGK 4 – Game 3 VGK VGK Under
5/21/2023 VGK 3 – DAL 2 (OT) – Game 2 VGK DAL Under
5/19/2023 VGK 4 – DAL 3 (OT) – Game 1 VGK DAL Over

Vegas is facing a different, more dynamic Dallas team than they did in Games 1-3. It is funny that Dallas has won eight of the nine games from Games 4-7. Dallas seems to take time to get going in the series.

Golden Knights vs Stars Pick & Prediction

Bettors display a slight bit of faith in Vegas. The betting percentage is 53% on Vegas (52% money on Vegas) but expect a moneyline shift to Dallas. Our model has this Stars vs Golden Knights game going the way of Dallas, 3.41-3.17.

The Stars, much like the Celtics, are green with pride. Honestly, this one feels like it will at least go back to Vegas for Game 7. Even with Jamie Benn, Dallas has figured out Vegas. It might be worth playing things safe just in case.  Our picks are a cut-and-paste from Game 5.

Picks: Vegas Under 2.5 Goals (+102), Dallas Moneyline (-130)

 

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