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Lightning Riding 9-Game Winning Streak, Hosting Flyers as -168 Favorites on February 15

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 30, 2021 · 12:53 PM PDT

Lightning vs Stars odds - March 23rd
Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) reaches in as Tampa Bay Lightning's Mikhail Sergachev (98) controls the puck in the third period of an NHL hockey game in Dallas, Tuesday, March 2, 2021. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-15-5) host the Philadelphia Flyers (32-19-7) Saturday afternoon at Amalie Arena
  • The Lightning are looking to run their season long win streak to 10 games
  • Here’s the case why despite being listed as favorites – there’s value on betting Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Lightning to handle the Flyers with relative ease

Winners of 9 in a row, the Tampa Bay Lightning are mowing down opponents much like they did last regular season.

Saturday afternoon they host the Philadelphia Flyers who have lost three straight games and are in a dog fight for their playoff lives.

Flyers vs Lightning Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Philadelphia Flyers OFF +152 Over 6.0 (-105)
Tampa Bay Lightning OFF -168 Under 6.0 (-105)

Odds taken Feb. 14th

Can Tampa Bay continue their run and win another key match up in the Eastern Conference? The Flyers vs Lightning odds aren’t causing me to shy away from this one. I’m not only siding with them to win, I’m siding with them to win by a wide margin and here’s why.

Andrei Vasilevskiy Is The Best Goalie In Hockey

Andrei Vasilevskiy is making a run at back-to-back Vezina trophies and is on an incredible heater right now. He’s 18-0-2 in his last 20 games. That’s not a typo, he hasn’t lost in regulation in over two months. When it comes to betting on individual games, wins is obviously the most important stat so how about this one; he has seven more victories than any other goalie in the league.

Carter Hart is between the pipes for the Flyers and he doesn’t stack up favorably. Vasilevskiy has the better win-loss record, goals against, save percentage and he also has more shutouts just for good measure.

Lightning Own Leagues Best Goal Differential

Winning games is important, but there’s also something to how you win them. The Lightning have a +53 goal differential on the season and that ranks first in the league. The Flyers are +18 and that also ranks inside the top-10 so this isn’t to rag on them as an opponent, but there is no team quite like Tampa Bay at the moment.

Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos are nursing injuries but it hasn’t seemed to slow the Lightning down. They have the top ranked offense in the league having already scored 206 goals despite having 24 games left to play in the regular season.

Home / Away Splits Favor Lightning

Tampa Bay is one of the best teams in the league on home ice with a 19-7-2 record at Amalie Arena. The Flyers on the other hand have struggled on the road, racking up a 13-14-3 record. They are competitive on home ice in front of the rowdy Philadelphia faithful, but once that advantage goes away they appear to be a very pedestrian team.

The Lightning are in better form, have a goalie who can’t seem to lose and they are also on home ice. If you’re looking for more check marks than that before placing a bet your wallet is going to stay in your pocket for an awfully long time.

Pick: Lightning (-168)

 

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