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Lightning vs Capitals Odds, Projected Starting Goalies and Best NHL Pick for Friday

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey

Updated Nov 10, 2022 · 7:02 PM PST

Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin reacts
Nov 9, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin (8) reacts during a stoppage in play against the Pittsburgh Penguins in the third period at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • Tampa Bay Lightning are a -150 road favorite in the Lightning vs Capitals odds Friday (Nov. 11) at 7:00 pm ET
  • This begins a Friday-Sunday home-and-home affair between these two teams
  • Keep reading for the complete Lightning vs Capitals odds, plus best bets – including a same-game parlay

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals haven’t played as well as they’d have hoped in the early going of the season. Through 13 contests, the Bolts find themselves in fifth place in the Atlantic Division, while the Caps are sixth in the Metropolitan through 15 games.

The Capitals have won five of their last seven games against the Lightning, yet Tampa Bay is -150 road favorites. This marks the first game of a home-and-home between these two clubs, with the second game to be played Sunday.

Lightning vs Capitals Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (-+170) O 6.5 (-103) -150
Washington Capitals +1.5 (-210) U 6.5 (-120) +123

Odds as of November 10th at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code.

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The Lightning see their Stanley Cup odds at +1400, which is the sixth choice, despite them making three straight Cup Finals. Washington is a much longer shot, at +5000. The Lightning are -150 favorites in this contest that features a total of 6.5 goals.

Puck drop is set for 7:00 pm ET at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC with NBC Sports, Bally Sports and NHL Network providing the broadcast coverage in the United States.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning haven’t been firing on all cylinders in the early going of the season, though they’ve still been solid at 7-5-1. In plenty of statistical categories, they are a wholly average team. They’re 14th in goals for per game, 15th on the penalty kill and 16th in both goals against and on the power play.

Tampa has still chugged along, despite making three straight Stanley Cup Finals, which at some point you’d expect to start showing signs of fatigue from their veteran core. The Bolts have registered points in five of their last six contests (4-1-1), though they lost in regulation in their latest outing 3-2 to Connor McDavid and the Oilers.

Nikita Kucherov is still playing at an all-world level, racking up 21 points, with Brayden Point putting up 15 and Steven Stamkos at 13. Tampa is 2-3-1 against the Metropolitan Division on the campaign.

Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is expected to start, is having a down year, by his standards. His GAA of 2.90 is the highest of his career, and his .910 save percentage ties the worst of his nine-year stint. He’s given up at least three goals in seven of nine starts (including his last five), and the other two contests he surrendered two goals apiece.

Washington Capitals Betting Analysis

The Washington Capitals have uncharacteristically been unable to light the lamp through 15 games this season, ranking 27th in scoring, which is wildly different compared to last year (10th). They’ve scored more than two goals just once in their last six games, going 1-3-2.

Despite not having a strong stretch, their special teams have been quite solid, where they’re ninth on the PP and tenth on the PK. Only three players have more than eight points, however. Alex Ovechkin (13), Dylan Strome (12) and Evgeny Kuznetsov (11).

Two games ago Washington scored four goals on the power play – but then they followed that up with an 0-for-4 effort against the Pens, a game they lost 4-1.

Darcy Kuemper, who arrived in the off-season as a free agent, is the expected starter. His numbers are solid, if unspectacular, with a 2.47 GAA and .916 save %. He’s surrendered three goals apiece in each of his last two contests.

Lightning vs Capitals Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
4/6/2022 WSH 4 – TB 3 WSH WSH Over
11/1/2021 TB 3 – WSH 2 TB WSH Under
10/16/2021 WSH 1 – TB 2 (OT) TB WSH Under
12/21/2019 WSH 3 – TB 1 WSH WSH Under
12/14/2019 TB 2 – WSH 5 WSH WSH Over

The Capitals have won five of their last seven meetings against the Lightning, going 5-1-1 during that span.

Lightning vs Capitals Pick

The Capitals have just one win in their last six games (1-3-2), and they’ve struggled to score, with two or fewer markers in five of those affairs. They are a rather sizeable home dog though, which is awfully tempting.

Lightning vs Capitals Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Capitals Moneyline +123
Over 6.5 Goals -103
PARLAY ODDS  +340

It’s strange to say, but struggling Bolts goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy might be what ails the Capitals, as they’ve recorded at least four goals against him in five of the the last seven meetings. There should be enough goals to go around in this one, and the Caps have solid odds as the underdog on home ice.

Pick: Washington Capitals Moneyline (+123), Over 6.5 goals (-103)

 

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