Upcoming Match-ups

Nashville Overs Are 5-0 This Season: Predators vs Golden Knights October 15 Prediction

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 1:38 PM PDT

Nate Schmidt
The Vegas Golden Knights get set to take on the Nashville Predators in a key early season clash, Photo by Michael Miller. (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • The Nasvhille Predators and Vegas Golden Knights face off in Vegas
  • Nashville is 3-2 this season, while Vegas is 4-2
  • Who comes out on top in this Tuesday night clash?

Neither the Golden Knights or Nashville Predators are quite where they want to be early on in this NHL season.

Both have settled in with records above .500. The Knights are 4-2-0, while the Preds are 3-2. But they sit third and fourth in their respective divisions. A key early-season match-up will fix that for one side, as they get set to face each other in Vegas on Tuesday.

One consistent for Nashville has been their games soaring “Over” the total. The Preds are a perfect 5-0 to the “Over” this season. Total scoring in their games thus far have seen seven, eight, seven, and 11 (twice) goals scored.

Vegas is 3-3 this season in Over/Under betting, but have cashed for “Over” bettors in each of their past two games and in three of four.

Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Nashville Predators +1.5 (-225) +120 O 6.0 (-110)
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (+185) -145 U 6.0 (-110)

*Odds taken 10/10/2019

The Predators come in to Tuesday’s game 2-3 against the spread, and 0-1 on the road. Meanwhile Vegas is sitting at 4-2 ATS, with a 2-1 at home and on the road.

So far this season, while home teams have been dominating straight up, road teams have been far better ATS. Home sides are off to a 42-26-5-4 start, but when it comes to the spread, they’re just 31-46. Home favorites are just 21-39.

Can Nashville continue that early season trend?

Predators Power Play is Slowly Improving

The Achilles’ Heel of the Predators last season was their power play.

They made a move at the trade deadline to bring in Wayne Simmonds in hopes of fixing it. He didn’t.

So the next solution for Nashville was moving out PK Subban so they could bring in Matt Duchene. And so far things have been better.

Power Play Comparison: 2018/19 vs 2019/20

2018/19
VS
2019/20
12.9 Power Play Percentage 23.5
31 NHL Rank 15
33 PP Goals For 4
255 PP Opportunities 17

Understandably it’s not that hard to improve when you were dead last, but so far they’re…ok.

Duchene is one of four Preds with a power play point. Roman Josi and Ryan Johansen have three, and Viktor Arvidsson and Matt Duchene have two each.

Now they face the ultimate test, however, as the Golden Knights have the league’s top penalty kill. They’re working at a 95.5% success rate, surrendering just one shorthanded goal.

It’s not through lack of opportunity either, as Vegas has taken the fourth-most penalties in the NHL (22). They’ve been shorthanded an average of 3.6 times a game, so the Preds will have some chances.

Golden Knights Must Capitalize on Predators’ Goaltending

When it comes to goals-for, the Knights and Preds are neck-and-neck. Vegas is second in the NHL with 24 goals for, and the Preds are one behind.

But there’s a significant difference in goals-against.

Nashville Predators Goalie Stats

Goalie GP Record Goals-Against Average Save Percentage Quality Starts GA%
Pekka Rinne 3 3-0-0 3.00 .894 2 110
Juuse Saros 2 0-2-0 5.10 .844 0 162

In three of their five games, the Preds have allowed at least five goals. They’ve lost two of those.

The Golden Knights have been able to score five or more three times, with all of those ending up in wins. In fact, Vegas is 4-0 when they score four or more goals, and 0-2 when they score three or fewer.

Nashville Predators Goalies Hold Them Back as Underdogs

While it’s too early to really worry about Rinne or Saros, their slow starts definitely swing this match-up.

If either were playing up to their typical standard, then they would have a chance at slowing down Vegas’ offense.

But with the way the Golden Knights are clicking right now, and the Predators allowing an uncharacteristic amount of goals, we’re inclined to go with the home side. And by at least two.

The Pick: Golden Knights -1.5 (+185)

Author Image