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Odds Favor Leafs-Bruins First-Round Series Being Tied After Game 4

Ben Abel

by Ben Abel in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 14, 2020 · 6:13 AM PDT

Boston's Zdeno Chara
Zdeno Chara and the Boston Bruins look to continue their dominace over the Toronto Maple Leafs in the playoffs. By Sarah Connors (Wiki Commons) [CC License]
  • Boston has a dominant first line with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron
  • Toronto has added two big pieces in John Tavares and Jake Muzzin to counter teams like Boston
  • Is adding Tavares enough to push the Leafs over the top against the Bruins?

The 2019 Stanley Cup playoffs start this week and one series to watch will be the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs. Leafs’ fans remember 2013 well when the Bruins upset Toronto in Game 7 in overtime.

Let’s take a look at the odds for the series result for the Leafs versus Bruins after both Game 3 and 4.

Series Result After Game 3

Series Result after Game 3 Odds
Toronto 3-0 +800
Toronto 2-1 +175
Boston 3-0 +125
Boston 2-1 +400

Odds taken on 04/09/19.

2018 saw the Leafs lose 4-3 to Boston. These teams have met several times in the playoffs with the Bruins currently holding the longest playoff hex over Toronto — five series wins going back to 1969.

With the signing of John Tavares and the addition of Jake Muzzin among others, are the Leafs’ fortunes going to change in 2019?

Series Result After Game 4

Series Result after Game 4 Odds
Toronto 4-0 +1600
Toronto 3-1 +300
Series Tied 2-2 +150
Boston 3-1 +200
Boston 4-0 +800

Leafs Offense Big Key to Playoff Success

Tavares and Muzzin should make a difference for the Leafs against the Bruins this year. Toronto’s explosive offense is well-known to a lot of people and they will look to goal scoring as a way to go far in the playoffs.

To the Bruins’ defense and physical play, they offer the opposite, a high-octane offense with an improved defense from 2018.

The Leafs roll not one or two, but three good lines with Tavares on the top line with Mitchell Marner and Zach Hyman.

Followed by Auston Matthews between Andreas Johnsson and Kasperi Kapanen on the second and Nazem Kadri, Patrick Marleau and William Nylander on line three.

Their goaltending is in good hands with Frederik Andersen, although he did not play well against Boston last year. He has to be better this post-season.

Breaking Down the Big Bad Bruins

Boston has a great first line with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron. They are also tough defensively and have a physical presense that can intimidate teams.

The Bruins second line of Jake DeBrusk, David Krejci and Chris Wagner is a good one as well. After that their depth drops off at the forward position.

Their defense isn’t what it used to be from the glory years of 2011 and 2013, though. It often works against them as they get caught against teams with lots of speed like Toronto. Their coverage is poor at times as well.

Tuukka Raask is a proven playoff goaltender who is backed up by Jaroslav Halak, another playoff hero. They’ll have to be sharp against the Leafs.

Bet on a 2-2 series after four games between the Leafs versus Bruins given the way these teams match up. The longer the series goes the odds do favor Boston based on their style of play being suited to the playoffs.

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