- The Calgary Flames are -230 home favorites to win Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Western Conference opening-round series over the Dallas Stars on Monday, May 3
- Dallas is just two years removed from their magical run to the Stanley Cup Final.
- See the Game 1 Stars vs Flames odds below plus betting picks
The Dallas Stars managed to get into the playoffs but they backed in, blowing a huge lead to the Arizona Coyotes then losing in overtime. Coupled with a shootout win against Vegas, the Stars booked a ticket to the postseason.
On the other hand, Calgary cruised throughout most of the season in first place when it came to the Pacific Division. They kept getting incredible production from their top line as Elias Lindholm topped 40 goals and Johnny Gaudreau set a career-high with 40 goals and 115 points. The Flames’ free-agent winger possession numbers were greater than 62% overall ( a full 11% above team relative). It is that line which scares Dallas but Calgary possesses a depth that may be more scary.
As for Game 1 of this best-of-seven set with the Stars, oddsmakers are all-in on the Flames. Calgary is set as a -230 home favorite. The Flames went 2-0-1 in their three meetings against Dallas this year.
Stars vs Flames Odds
|Game Time (ET)||Team||Moneyline||Puck Line||Total|
|Monday May 3||Dallas Stars||+190||+1.5 (-135)||O 6.0 (+105)|
|10:00 pm ET||Calgary Flames||-230||-1.5 (+115)||U 6.0 (-125)|
Odds as of May 2nd at Caesars Sportsbook.
The puck is scheduled to drop at 10:00 pm ET at Scotiabank Saddledome. ESPN2 is carrying the broadcast.
Dallas vs Calgary NHL Betting Trends
Clearly, NHL betting lines show believe that the Calgary Flames are among the top contenders in the Stanley Cup odds. While Calgary stands at a robust +800, Dallas is much further down toward the bottom at +4500. Only Nashville has as long of odds among all playoff teams.
Not much of a belief in our team here … pic.twitter.com/eWZ099jbVW
— Brock Moore (@brockvmoore) May 2, 2022
Given the current odds, the favored Flames are given a 66.3% implied probability of victory in Game 1. As for public wagering splits, 43% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Stars at+1.5 The moneyline splits are showing 72% of bets are on the Flames at -230 odds. Lastly, 83% of the public bets are on the Over of 6.0.
Stars vs Flames Recent Results
|4/21/2022||Calgary 4 Dallas 2||CGY||CGY||Push|
|2/1/2022||Dallas 3 Calgary 4||CGY||DAL||Over|
|11/4/2021||Calgary 3 Dallas 4 (OT)||DAL||DAl||Over|
|8/20/2020||Calgary 3 Dallas 7||DAL||DAL||Over|
|8/18/2020||Dallas 2 Calgary 1||DAL||CGY||Under|
Markstrom won 37 games in 61 decisions while posting a league-leading nine shutouts.
Dallas vs Calgary Injury Report
The Stars expect John Klingberg back for Game 1 while Braden Holtby remains on the IR with a lower-body injury. However, the good news is that Dallas does not have too many injuries. As for Calgary, Sean Monahan had season-ending surgery early last month. Trevor Lewis has returned.
"It's going to be a good series."
Trevor Lewis gives his take on the match-up vs. Dallas. pic.twitter.com/sMzcsBWUwI
— y – Calgary Flames (@NHLFlames) April 30, 2022
Trevor Lewis is going to be a handful for the Dallas Stars throughout this series along with Andrew Mangiapane.
Playoff Markstrom Could Be Even Better
His first taste of playoff success was in the bubble with Vancouver before they fell to the Vegas Golden Knights in Round 2. That did not diminish the eight wins and the solid .919 save percentage which Jacob Markstrom enjoyed.
Stars coach Rick Bowness on these Flames vs the 2019-20 Flames: “This is a much better team.”
Says it starts with Jacob Markstrom in goal.
— Hailey Salvian (@hailey_salvian) May 2, 2022
Rick Bowness and seemingly every Dallas player knows what they are in for during this series. The expect Markstrom to be at his best.
Stars vs Flames Projected Starting Goalies
Jake Oettinger has had an interesting season, going back and forth on the Dallas goaltending depth chart.
(P1) Flames vs Stars (WC1)
Regular season head to head
Calgary Flames (2-0-1)
Dallas Stars (1-2-0)
Stats against the Flames
⁃Jake Oettinger #29
2021-22 & Career (0-2-0)
SV – 69 | GA – 7 | SV% – .908 pic.twitter.com/zadhdy7oNi
— Goalie Stats (@GooseEggGoalie) May 1, 2022
This is Oettinger’s first NHL playoff start and Calgary did seem to have his number in their two meetings this season.
Stars vs Flames Game 1 Prediction
The 2020 playoffs were held in a bubble due to the COVID-19 pandemic as Calgary and Dallas did battle. Calgary could not keep up with Dallas as they ran away with that series. This year figures to be slightly different.
— Corey (@moresbyislander) May 2, 2022
Now, Calgary finished the year almost even when comparing home and road record. They won 25 games in and out of Calgary. Dallas won just 19 times away from home. Even with Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Joe Pavelski, that is not enough for Dallas to beat the Flames on Tuesday night.
Pick: Calgary Flames -1.5 (+115)
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