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Stars vs Flames Game 1 Odds and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NHL Hockey

May 2, 2022 · 3:22 PM PDT

Calgary Flames goaltender Jacob Markstrom on the ice
Apr 28, 2022; Saint Paul, Minnesota, USA; Calgary Flames goaltender Jacob Markstrom (25) looks on against the Minnesota Wild during overtime at Xcel Energy Center. Mandatory Credit: David Berding-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames are -230 home favorites to win Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Western Conference opening-round series over the Dallas Stars on Monday, May 3
  • Dallas is just two years removed from their magical run to the Stanley Cup Final.
  • See the Game 1 Stars vs Flames odds below plus betting picks

The Dallas Stars managed to get into the playoffs but they backed in, blowing a huge lead to the Arizona Coyotes then losing in overtime. Coupled with a shootout win against Vegas, the Stars booked a ticket to the postseason.

On the other hand, Calgary cruised throughout most of the season in first place when it came to the Pacific Division. They kept getting incredible production from their top line as Elias Lindholm topped 40 goals and Johnny Gaudreau set a career-high with 40 goals and 115 points. The Flames’ free-agent winger possession numbers were greater than 62% overall ( a full 11% above team relative). It is that line which scares Dallas but Calgary possesses a depth that may be more scary.

As for Game 1 of this best-of-seven set with the Stars, oddsmakers are all-in on the Flames. Calgary is set as a -230 home favorite. The Flames went 2-0-1 in their three meetings against Dallas this year.

Stars vs Flames Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Monday May 3 Dallas Stars +190 +1.5 (-135) O 6.0 (+105)
10:00 pm ET Calgary Flames -230 -1.5 (+115) U 6.0 (-125)

Odds as of May 2nd at Caesars Sportsbook.

The puck is scheduled to drop at 10:00 pm ET at Scotiabank Saddledome. ESPN2 is carrying the broadcast.

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Dallas vs Calgary NHL Betting Trends

Clearly, NHL betting lines show believe that the Calgary Flames are among the top contenders in the Stanley Cup odds. While Calgary stands at a robust +800, Dallas is much further down toward the bottom at +4500. Only Nashville has as long of odds among all playoff teams.

Given the current odds, the favored Flames are given a 66.3% implied probability of victory in Game 1. As for public wagering splits, 43% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Stars at+1.5 The moneyline splits are showing 72% of bets are on the Flames at -230 odds. Lastly, 83% of the public bets are on the Over of 6.0.

Stars vs Flames Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
4/21/2022 Calgary 4 Dallas 2 CGY CGY Push
2/1/2022 Dallas 3 Calgary 4 CGY DAL Over
11/4/2021 Calgary 3 Dallas 4 (OT) DAL DAl Over
8/20/2020 Calgary 3 Dallas 7 DAL DAL Over
8/18/2020 Dallas 2 Calgary 1 DAL CGY Under

This series features Johnny Gaudreau who probably should be a finalist in the Hart Trophy odds, and Jacob Markstrom who should be considered a finalist among the Vezina Trophy Odds.

Markstrom won 37 games in 61 decisions while posting a league-leading nine shutouts.

Dallas vs Calgary Injury Report

The Stars expect John Klingberg back for Game 1 while Braden Holtby remains on the IR with a lower-body injury. However, the good news is that Dallas does not have too many injuries. As for Calgary,  Sean Monahan had season-ending surgery early last month. Trevor Lewis has returned.

Trevor Lewis is going to be a handful for the Dallas Stars throughout this series along with Andrew Mangiapane.

Playoff Markstrom Could Be Even Better

His first taste of playoff success was in the bubble with Vancouver before they fell to the Vegas Golden Knights in Round 2. That did not diminish the eight wins and the solid .919 save percentage which Jacob Markstrom enjoyed.

Rick Bowness and seemingly every Dallas player knows what they are in for during this series. The expect Markstrom to be at his best.

Stars vs Flames Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Stars Jake Oettinger 30-15-1 .914 2.53
Flames Jacob Markstrom 37-15-9 .922 2.22

Jake Oettinger has had an interesting season, going back and forth on the Dallas goaltending depth chart.

This is Oettinger’s first NHL playoff start and Calgary did seem to have his number in their two meetings this season.

Stars vs Flames Game 1 Prediction

The 2020 playoffs were held in a bubble due to the COVID-19 pandemic as Calgary and Dallas did battle. Calgary could not keep up with Dallas as they ran away with that series. This year figures to be slightly different.

Now, Calgary finished the year almost even when comparing home and road record. They won 25 games in and out of Calgary. Dallas won just 19 times away from home. Even with Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Joe Pavelski, that is not enough for Dallas to beat the Flames on Tuesday night.

Pick: Calgary Flames -1.5 (+115)


NHL FIRST-ROUND SERIES PREVIEWS:

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