2020 Democratic Drop-Out Odds: Castro Favored to Drop Out Before O’Rourke, Booker Before Yang
- See odds on which Democratic Presidential candidates will be drop out of the race next
- Julian Castro, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand and Bill De Blasio are favored in different props
- Eric Swalwell and Richard Ojeda have already bowed out
There are plenty of candidates for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination. Two dozen of them, if you’re keeping score at home.
Which ones will soon come to the realization that persistence is futile? Sportsbooks have grouped a number of candidates into different prop wagers and asked bettors to choose which one will drop out first.
Let’s look at the head-to-head drop-out odds.
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Will Drop Out First: Castro vs O’Rourke
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Julian Castro | -140 |
| Beto O’Rourke | +100 |
Odds as of 08/01/19.
Based on performance, it’s obvious that O’Rourke should be the first to go among this pair. Castro isn’t going to win but at least he’s shown in moments that he can be a dynamic speaker and understands the immigration issue that could be a vital taking point in the 2020 campaign.
He’s a legitimate vice-presidential hopeful and that alone makes it worthwhile for him to hang in there a bit longer.
O’Rourke displays a solid grasp of what’s going on in his home state of Texas. He’d be better served by dropping out now and running for Senate against John Cornyn in 2020. Cornyn (43 percent) has a poorer approval rating in the state than Ted Cruz (51 percent), the guy O’Rourke nearly beat for a Senate seat in 2018.
Pick: Beto O’Rourke (+100)
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Will Drop Out First: Booker vs Yang
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cory Booker | -200 |
| Andrew Yang | +150 |
Like Castro, Booker has proven impressive on the debate stage, but it hasn’t translated into improved odds of winning. He’s smooth, articulate and knowledgeable – another logical VP choice for whomever wins this race.
Yet, I get the feeling that Yang will be the 2020 version of Bernie Sanders, the guy who just won’t take no for an answer. He has his cult following – the Yang Gang – and will play that hipster outsider card to the bitter end.
Pick: Cory Booker (-200)
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Will Drop Out First: Gillibrand vs Gabbard
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kirsten Gillibrand | -300 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +200 |
There’s a very real chance that the Democrats will put forth a woman as their Presidential candidate again in 2020.
It won’t be either of these two. But at least Gabbard is different from all the other candidates, even if most times it’s not in a good way.
Pick: Kirsten Gillibrand (-300)
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Will Drop Out First: The Longshots
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bill De Blasio | +150 |
| John Hickenlooper | +200 |
| Michael Bennet | +200 |
| Tim Ryan | +400 |
| John Delaney | +700 |
De Blasio needs to drop out. And he needs to do it yesterday. But you just get the sense that he doesn’t understand that at all.
Hickenlooper is the less articulate version of Joe Biden. Ryan found himself on the debate stage Wednesday agreeing with President Donald Trump, not a good look for a Democrat.
Michael Bennet reminds you of John C. Reilly. You want to hang out with John C. Reilly. You don’t want him to have his hands on the nuclear codes. And is it just us, or every time you hear John Delaney, don’t you wish it was actually comic John Mulaney who was running for President?
Pick: Michael Bennet (+200)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
