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Odds Say November Presidential Election Will Take Place as Scheduled

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Updated Apr 21, 2020 · 6:08 PM PDT

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Odds favor the 2020 Presidential Election taking place on Tuesday, Nov. 3rd, as planned. Photo by Tom Arthur from Orange, CA (wikimedia commons).
  • The odds that the 2020 US Presidential election will go ahead as scheduled on Nov. 3rd have been set at -500
  • Is it possible that the election could be postponed as coronavirus threatens the well-being of the entire population of the United States?
  • Analysis on possible outcomes, as well as the odds and picks are right here

As coronavirus continues to spread, could it claim the 2020 US Presidential election as a victim?

While the postponement of an election is not out of the realm of possibility, oddsmakers doesn’t foresee such a drastic measure occurring.

The latest political prop wager focuses on whether voting for the Presidency will take place as scheduled on Nov. 3rd. The “yes” is heavily favored as the outcome at odds of -500.

Odds 2020 US Presidential Election Takes Place on Nov. 3rd

Outcome Odds
Yes -500
No +300

Odds taken March 17th.

Those who opt to go with “no” will gain a line of +300 in this betting market.

Some Primaries Postponed

Tuesday’s Ohio primaries were called off late Monday because of action taken by Governor Mike DeWine. He cited the fact that the state couldn’t conduct in-person elections which would would meet the Center for Disease Control guidelines.

Originally, DeWine sought a judicial order to hold up the vote. That request was denied by a judge.

Later Monday, Ohio’s state health director declared a health emergency, ordering the polls to be closed. Early Tuesday, the Ohio Supreme Court allowed the state to postpone the vote.

Ohio joined Georgia, Louisiana, Maryland and Kentucky as states that also opted to delay primaries. However, Illinois, Florida and Arizona all chose to go ahead with Tuesday primary balloting.

Trump Not In Favor Of Postponing Elections

Asked about the possibility of postponing elections during a press briefing earlier this week, US President Donald Trump described such action as unnecessary.

YouTube video

The President called postponing an election, “a very tough thing to do.” At the same time, he added that he would leave such decisions regarding the postponement of primaries in the hands of each individual state.

President Can’t Postpone Election

Even if Trump wanted to bring a halt to, or delay the Nov. 3rd Presidential election, that choice is out of his hands. This applies even during a declaration of a national emergency.

Only Congress holds the power to set election dates, and also to delay, postpone, or reschedule a Federal vote such as a Presidential election. In fact, in 1866 the US Supreme Court ruled that even in the case of martial law being declared, a President does not hold the power to halt an election or extend their term in the Oval Office.

US Presidential Election Will Go Ahead As Scheduled

There is precedent for US elections being postponed. On Sept. 11th, 2001, New York delayed its mayoral primaries following the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center. In 2006, New Orleans postponed local elections for two months in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.

Those weren’t Federal elections, though. That’s a whole different ball game.

Maryland is already announcing that the April 28th state election to find a successor to the late Elijah Cummings in the House of Representatives will go ahead as planned. The state will make the vote entirely a mail-in ballot if necessary to ensure its completion.

Absentee balloting by mail is already an option for voters in all US elections. If the coronavirus remains a health issue in November, that’s how Americans will go to the polls.

There will be a Presidential election on Nov. 3rd. Bet on it.

Pick: Yes (-500)

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