Odds to Qualify for September Democratic Presidential Debate: Steyer In, Gabbard & Gillibrand Out
- Sportsbooks are offering a prop bet favoring Tom Steyer to be included in the September Democratic Presidential debates
- The sportsbook is giving odds that neither Kirsten Gillibrand or Tulsi Gabbard will be part of the September debates
- Both Gabbard and Gillibrand participated in the first two rounds of debates
Tom Steyer may be the last of the candidates to enter the chase for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination, but sportsbooks don’t believe that he’ll also be the least.
The sportsbook is out with a package of prop wagers on the upcoming September Democratic Presidential debates and the odds favor that Steyer will be included in the debates.
However, sportsbooks are offering odds against the prospects of Senator Kirsten Gillbrand or House member Tulsi Gabbard being involved in the September debates. Both were part of the first two rounds of debates.
To be welcomed into the third round of debates, candidates must reach a threshold of two percent support in a minimum of four polls. They must also acquire donations from 130,000 unique donors.
Qualifications for the first two rounds were polling at one percent and the acquisition of 65,000 donors.
Will Tom Steyer Qualify For September Democratic Presidential Debates?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -500 |
| No | +300 |
*Odds taken 8/20/19.
Steyer believes that his populist, anti-corporate message will resonate with the masses. At +10,000 in the Democratic Presidential odds, he’s got work to do.
It hasn’t been a month yet since the billionaire hedge fund owner entered the fray. He’s ramped up his ad campaign, spending $10 million to book television and online ads to run during the first month of his campaign.
Part of the message Steyer delivered is to encourage people to donate at least $1 to his campaign to reach the donor threshold, and it’s worked. He’s achieved the donor goal.
He’s gained at least two percent in three polls taken as well, just one more to go and he’s in the debate.
Pick: Yes (-500)
Will Tulsi Gabbard Qualify For September Democratic Presidential Debates?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +400 |
| No | -800 |
As of Tuesday, 10 candidates were assured of a spot on the debate stage but Gabbard wasn’t one of them. The Congresswoman from Hawaii has hit the donor threshold but has polled at two percent just twice.
She’ll need to do that twice more by August 28th, the cutoff to qualify for the next round of debates, which will take place September 12th and 13th in Houston.
#UPDATE on @OANN: Rep. Tulsi Gabbard addresses her supporters after reaching the donor threshold to qualify for the third primary debate.pic.twitter.com/0FLPq8Pwyw
— Alex Salvi (@alexsalvinews) August 3, 2019
Gabbard’s dilemma is twofold. She doesn’t have the reservoir of cash accessible to other candidates to run an advertising blitz. Meanwhile, she’s also been deployed for two weeks of active duty in Indonesia with the Hawaii Army National Guard.
That means her campaign is on hold at exactly the time she needs to be front and center. On the other hand, her patriotic call to answer military service just might create the support she needs to drive her polling numbers upward.
Tulsi doesn’t just talk the talk, she walks the walk. She’s stepping away from her presidential campaign for 2 weeks to serve our country on active duty. Learn more –> https://t.co/DPyCbP8bhe pic.twitter.com/7bHgc0EZ2w
— Tulsi Gabbard ? (@TulsiGabbard) August 13, 2019
Gabbard has sought to encourage her supporters to sign up for online survey panels and to answer calls from unknown numbers that could be from pollsters.
Pick: Yes (+400)
Will Kirsten Gillibrand Qualify For September Democratic Presidential Debates?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +600 |
| No | -1200 |
Gillibrand’s campaign looks to be on life support and in vital need of a transfusion. The New York Senator has hit two percent in only one poll. She’s also yet to meet the fundraising criteria.
Kirsten Gillibrand, who has not yet qualified for the third Democratic debate, just sent this email to supporters.
“Re: Andrew Yang” pic.twitter.com/W7buDWUmQv
— Tucker Higgins (@tuckerhiggins) August 9, 2019
Desperate to stay in the hunt, Gillbrand has used funds transferred from her Senate campaign and spent over $1 million on television ads in Iowa and New Hampshire, seeking to improve her poll numbers.
Pick: No (-1200)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
