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NASCAR 2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Odds and Picks

Drivers making a turn at Texas Motor Speedway.
Which driver is a good bet to win Sunday's race in Texas? Photo by SrA Brian Ferguson (Wikimedia)
  • The 2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 will take place on Sunday, July 19th, at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas
  • Denny Hamlin is the defending champ for this race but Kevin Harvick has won three of the last five races here (all in the fall)
  • Check out the odds below for top drivers on the board as well as our best bets for the race

After the mid-week All-Star race, the drivers are making a turn for Texas Motor Speedway for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. The race will take place on Sunday, July 19th at 3:00 pm EST. Chase Elliott got the win on Wednesday but who is the best bet for Sunday’s race? Let’s take a closer look.

2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Odds

Driver Odds
Kevin Harvick +270
Denny Hamlin +600
Kyle Busch +600
Martin Truex Jr. +750
Ryan Blaney +900
Chase Elliott +900
Joey Logano +1000
Brad Keselowski +1000
Aric Almirola +2200
Kurt Busch +2500
Jimmie Johnson +2800
Erik Jones +3300

Odds taken July 16

Harvick Loves Texas

Texas Motor Speedway is a track where you’ll want to be thinking about Kevin Harvick out of the group of favorites. It’s been a really long time since he’s performed poorly there and even when he has, it’s typically a one year, one-off.

Taking a look at his recent history, he has won three of the last five races at Texas (all fall races) with a runner-up and an eighth to boot. The last time he finished outside of the Top 10 was back in 2014. Including that miss, he’s placed in the Top 10 in 12 of his last 13 starts here with eight of his last 11 being in the top four spots. He’s a good bet here.

Stick With Chase Elliott

Elliott is coming off a win on Wednesday in Bristol with the All-Star race and I think that might give him a little bit of momentum heading into Texas. I’m not expecting him to win this race outright – he’s never done that before – but I’ll be looking at him in some head-to-head matchups and Top 10 props.

Elliott finished 32nd in the fall race at Texas last season and 13th in the spring. However, before that, his worst-ever finish on this track was 11th. His first six results here were fifth, fourth, ninth, eighth, 11th and sixth. He’s also led at least a lap in five of his eight starts here. I’m willing to take a flier on him that he places in the Top 10.

Past Five Winners at O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

Year Driver
2019 Denny Hamlin
2018 Kyle Busch
2017 Jimmie Johnson
2016 Kyle Busch
2015 Jimmie Johnson

Erik Jones for a Top 10

Erik Jones doesn’t have a huge history at Texas – he’s only made seven starts there – but he has a fairly strong track record so far. While he has yet to win the race outright, he has placed in the Top 10 in five straight starts. The other two misses were a 12th and a 22nd, so it’s not as if he’s been way off the mark at any point.

The other thing I like about Jones is that while he hasn’t picked up wins here, he has led laps. He’s led for at least nine laps in three of the last four starts here, so should be in line for a good result on Sunday.

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