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NASCAR Bank of America Roval 400 Race Odds & Picks

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Racing

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 3:00 PM PDT

NASCAR Betting
Who is the best bet to win at the Bank of America Roval 400 this week? Photo by Dough4872 (Wikimedia).
  • The Bank of America Roval 400 is set for Sunday, September 29th at 2:30 pm EST
  • The race will take place on the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • The playoff field will be cut down to 12 drivers after this race.

The Bank of America Roval 400 will take place at Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course on Sunday, September 29th at 2:30 pm EST. The amount of drivers in the playoff will get cut to 12 after this race, so it’s important to note the different motivations of the drivers.

Erik Jones needs to win outright to advance while guys like Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. have already clinched a spot. Which driver is the best bet to win it?

Odds to Win 2019 Bank of America Roval 400

Driver Odds
Martin Truex Jr. +300
Kyle Busch +500
Chase Elliott +700
Brad Keselowski +800
Denny Hamlin +800
Kyle Larson +800
Kevin Harvick +1400
Joey Logano +1800
Ryan Blaney +1800
Kurt Busch +2000
Erik Jones +2200

Odds taken 09/25/19.

Can Truex Jr. Win Again?

Truex has already clinched his spot in the second round of the playoffs. However, that doesn’t necessarily mean he won’t be in the mix to contend for the outright win in Charlotte this weekend. After all, Truex is clearly the hottest driver in the series following back-to-back wins at Las Vegas and Richmond.

Truex also won this race in 2017 and he’s done well on road courses of late. He has an average driver finish of 8.3 since 2017, which is the fifth-best mark among active drivers. He’s the guy I’d go with among the favorites for the week.

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Keep in mind that Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch have already advanced, so they are free to gun it for the win without worrying about collecting points and making the cut. Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin need to finish 30th or better to advance, so they may be more conservative.

Ryan Blaney Aiming For Top 10

Sticking with past champions, Blaney is the defending Bank of America Roval 400 race winner. He’s also in the mix of drivers that need a strong performance this week in order to remain within the playoff cutoff line. Blaney is currently 10th in the standings with only the Top 12 drivers advance.

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The other thing to like about Blaney is that he’s performed well of late. He did finish 17th last week, which is not that great, but he was fifth, seventh, 13th and 10th in the four weeks prior. I’m looking for a top ten finish out of him this week.

Past 5 Winners at Bank of America Roval 400

Year Winning Driver
2018 Ryan Blaney
2017 Martin Truex Jr.
2016 Jimmie Johnson
2015 Joey Logano
2014 Kevin Harvick

Clint Bowyer For A Top 10

I’m going to take a flier on Bowyer to finish in the Top 10 as he’s been doing that quite a bit recently. He finished eighth last week and while he was 25th in Las Vegas the week before, he finished fifth, sixth and seventh in the three weeks prior. That makes four Top 10’s in his last 5.

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As far as road courses go, Bowyer has a 7.9 average drive finish, which is third-best since 2017. He finished third here in September of 2018 after starting in seventh place. I’ll take a shot with him to get inside the Top 10 once more.

Avoid Erik Jones

The only way that Jones can advance to the second round of the playoffs is to win this race outright. Considering how he’s performed of late, I’m not going to be banking on him getting the job done this week.

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Jones actually did finish fourth last week at Richmond but he was disqualified following a failed post-race inspection. In the two weeks before that, he placed 36th and 39th. In his only start at this road course, he finished 30th and he has an average finish of 12.7 on road courses over the last two years.

I’ll pass on him here as I think this is the end of the line for him.

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