Arsenal vs Brighton Odds & Prediction – Premier League Picks (May 14)
- It’s Arsenal vs Brighton in round 36 of the EPL on Sunday, March 14
- The Gunners are second in the table while the Seagulls are seventh
- Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion in round 36 of the English Premier League on Sunday, March 14. Kick-off at The Emirates Stadium is at 11:30pm ET.
It’s been an outstanding season for Mikel Arteta’s men but a recent run of three consecutive draws and a defeat has handed the initiative in the title race to Manchester City. For Brighton, a place in Europe next season is very much within their sights
We preview our Arsenal vs Brighton picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.
Arsenal vs Brighton Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | -135 |
| Brighton | +320 |
| Draw | +320 |
The bookmakers have Arsenal listed as odds-on favorites at -135 to win with an implied win probability of 57%, while Brighton are offered at +320 to win the game with a probability of 24%. The draw is also priced at +320 in the Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion odds.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on May 13.
Arsenal vs Brighton Over/Under and Spread
With the tipping point set at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the under at +150 and the over at a less-tempting -185.
Arsenal vs Brighton Preview
The run of three draws and a defeat for the Gunners handed the impetus in the EPL title race to Man City, but while many expected it to signal the end of Arsenal’s challenge, consecutive wins over Chelsea (h) and Newcastle United (a) have kept them very much in the hunt.
The title remains City’s to lose – Arsenal need them to drop at least four points – but those two wins, particularly the one at St James’ Park, have indicated that Arteta’s men are not going quietly and will do all they can to take it to the final day of the season. Crucially, their hard-earned clean sheet at Newcastle was their first in eight.
Back-to-back awards 🤩 pic.twitter.com/8w5YwVvEkR
— Arsenal (@Arsenal) May 12, 2023
The Gunners in Must-Win Territory
With three games left, Arsenal are in must-win territory but, on paper, the visit of Brighton represents their biggest remaining challenge. While Nottingham Forest (a) and Wolves (h) both promise to be tough encounters, if they are unable to beat the Seagulls they may ultimately become dead rubbers.
So, it’s all on the line for Arteta’s men who need to overcome some shaky recent form at the Emirates, albeit against a team that itself is in the hunt for the European places. An interesting sub-plot to this game is that Arsenal’s January signing Leandro Trossard will be lining up against his old team. Could he be a key figure?
Brighton’s Quest for Europe
While things unraveled horribly for the Seagulls last weekend when they suffered a shock 5-1 home defeat at the hands of lowly Everton, it was very much a one-off in what has been an outstanding season for them. Despite losing Graham Potter to Chelsea early in the season, under new manager Roberto De Zerbi they have gone from strength to strength.
In addition to Brighton pushing for a European place next season – they are currently just two points behind sixth-placed Tottenham – they also made it to the FA Cup semifinal where they were cruelly beaten on penalties by Manchester United. Doubly impressive is the fact that Brighton have achieved all of the above by playing soccer of the highest quality.
One day ‘til matchday! 💪 pic.twitter.com/Vm6ZCXZRRa
— Brighton & Hove Albion (@OfficialBHAFC) May 13, 2023
Seagulls’ Good Record at The Emirates
The Seagulls still, however, have plenty of work to do before they can claim their place in Europe, especially as, in addition to Arsenal, they also still have to play Newcastle and Man City in their remaining five games.
On a more positive note, they head to The Emirates having scored at least once in their last 11 away games, and where they have a good record – winning on three of their last four visits there. When these two met at the Amex Stadium in late December, the Gunners won 4-2.
Arsenal vs Brighton Team Lineups and Injuries
Arsenal Projected Lineup: Ramsdale, White, Gabriel, Kiwior, Zinchenko, Xhaka, Odergaard, Jorginho, Saka, Martinelli, Jesus.
Injuries & absences: Saliba, Elneny, Tomiyasu.
Brighton Projected Lineup: Steel, Gross, Webster, Dunk, Estupinan, Caicedo, Mac Allister, Buonanotte, Undav, Kitoma, Welbeck.
Injuries & absences: March, Veltman, Moder, Lallana, Lamptey, Sarmiento.
Arsenal vs Brighton Head-to-Head Stats
| 25-6-4 | EPL Record | 16-7-10 |
| 83 /39 | Goals For / Against | 63 / 45 |
| 85.3 | Passing accuracy (%)* | 85.9 |
| 59.9 | Possession (%)* | 61.0 |
| 15.8 | Shots per game* | 16.3 |
| DDDLWW | Form Guide (all comps) | WLLWWL |
* Stats from WhoScored.com.
Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction
De Zerbi has demanded a response from his men following the home humiliation against Everton and I expect him to get one. While, in the circumstances, a win for the Seagulls looks a big ask, an improved performance could be enough for a point against the Gunners, who have found life challenging at home over the last six weeks.
Arsenal vs Brighton Picks: The draw (+320) / Trossard to score (+225)
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
