Austin FC vs LAFC Odds & Picks – MLS Round 27 (Aug 26)

• Austin FC hosts LAFC in the 27th MLS matchday on Friday, August 26th, at 8:00 pm ET
• The match is being played at the Q2 Stadium in Austin, Texas
• Get the Austin FC vs LAFC odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

The MLS season is rounding its final corner, which means playoffs and the crowning of the Supporters’ Shield is on the horizon. However, official seedings and qualifications are far from over. As a result, Austin FC vs LAFC is a must-watch fixture in the MLS this weekend.

In fact, LAFC and Austin are atop of the Western Conference, on 57 and 48 points, respectively. A win for Steve Cherundolo’s side will set them on a good path to a first-round bye and a second-ever Supporters’ Shield victory. Conversely, Austin sort of needs a win to stay in the conversation.

Additionally, this match will be quite the spectacle for the neutral. We get to watch two crazed fanbases, an incredible new stadium, and high-powered attacks with the likes of Gareth Bale, Cristian Arango and Sebastian Driussi.

Austin FC vs LAFC Odds

Odds as of August 25th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to bet on this MLS game

Overall, the moneyline odds for this are super tight with LAFC as the narrow favorites at +126. The Black and Gold come into this match having won three of their four total matchups with Austin FC. But, their away form has been a little bit sloppy this year, losing 33% of the time. As a result, you may want to take a peek at the draw no bet odds for Austin at +105.

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Over/Under Odds & Goalscorer Props
Moreover, loads of goals are to be expected on Friday night. The odds for the over on 2.5 total goals sits at a juicy, -195 right now. All in all, this makes sense given it has cashed in their last two head-to-head contests. Not to mention these are the two highest-scoring MLS sides in either division. This prospect might even make the over on 3.5 total goals at +122 worth a risk, given that it has hit in five of their last ten, combined MLS matches.

On the prop side, there is value for Sebastian Driussi to be an anytime goal scorer at +105. His non-penalty goals per ninety mark of 0.51 puts him in the 95th percentile of MLS forwards. Also, he has scored in each of his last five games, bagging seven total goals in that span.

Lastly, if you have not looked at the MLS Cup odds, LAFC sits at +185 and Austin FC at +1200.

Will @LAFC break the @NERevolution's single-season points record? pic.twitter.com/6weWw4nqHF

— Major League Soccer (@MLS) August 25, 2022

Both Sides Bouncing Back Off of a Loss

Coincidentally, both Austin and LAFC are coming off respective losses to Minnesota and San Jose. Therefore, they will both want to put a good foot forward on Friday night. For LAFC, their loss seemed like more of a blip to be honest. Before that, the Black and Golds had rattled off seven wins in a row, outscoring their opponents 19-5.

Austin FC vs LAFC Statistics

Against San Jose, they just could not seem to put up meaningful shots, only getting one on target. Nonetheless, it was a slightly rotated side which could explain the dip.

On the other hand, it feels like Austin FC’s form has been slipping in recent weeks. Los Verdes are 2-2-2 in their last six and have only outperformed their opponents xG on two of those occasions.

Looking for the season sweep.#AustinFC x @Lexus

— Austin FC (@AustinFC) August 24, 2022

For me, that is concerning given that they are a side that scores a lot of goals. For example, Austin were expected to concede 1.8 goals per match over their last six. LAFC were only expected to concede 0.7, which just shows the difference in control and game management.

Austin FC vs LAFC Projected Lineups and Injuries

Austin FC Projected Lineup: Stuver, Gallagher, Gabrielson, Cascante, Lima, Fagundez, Periera, Ring, Finlay, Driussi, Urruti

Injuries & Absences: Corozo (questionable), Kleeman, Jimenez

LAFC Projected Lineup: Crepeau, Palacios, Ibeagha, Murillo, Hollingshead, Acosta, Cifuentes, Blessing, Bale, Arango, Vela

Injuries & Absences: Gaines (questionable) Sanchez

Austin FC vs LAFC Prediction

Finally, the best bet for this match is the LAFC moneyline at +126. The deciding factors for me were overall value, recent form, and historical head-to-head.

Pick: LAFC ML (+126)