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Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan UCL Matchday 4 Odds, Picks and Betting Preview

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer News

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 9:24 AM PDT

BVB
Dortmund will be looking to rebound after losing to 2-0 to Inter Milan on Matchday 3. Photo By @BlackYellow (Twitter)
  • Borussia Dortmund host Group F rivals Inter Milan on Tuesday, November 5th at 3:00 pm EST
  • The two teams are deadlocked at four points a piece, with Inter Milan taking second place in Group F on goal-difference
  • The Germans under Lucien Favre are the favorites in the match with a moneyline of -101

The Champions League is really starting to heat up as teams prepare to start the second half of group stage match-ups. This means that fixtures will be reversed and teams will now travel to the club they just played at home. For the so-called “death group” of the competition, this means Inter Milan have to travel to the Westfalenstadion and take on Borussia Dortmund while Barcelona host Slavia Prague.

With Barcelona three points clear at the top of the group, this game could have a lot of influence on who gets the final knockout round spot with only three games remaining. It is the last chance for both teams to take points off each other, so expect both sides to really go for it. Inter Milan took the last match by a score of 2-0, but that did not stop oddsmakers favoring Dortmund in this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Borussia Dortmund -0.5, (-101) -101 O 2.5, (-118)
Inter Milan +0.5 (-115) +250 U 2.5 (+102)
Draw N/A +245 N/A

Odds taken Oct. 30

Inter Milan Still Cruising on Great Form

Despite a loss to Juventus and a draw to Parma in Serie A, Inter Milan have won three out of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals throughout.

The Italians have looked dangerous under former Chelsea gaffer, Antonio Conte, and with a new strike force in the form of Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez. The Belgian, coming from Manchester United, has been on fire, already scoring seven goals in nine appearances for the leaders of the Italian league.

Their Champions League success has seen them defeat Dortmund and draw with Slavia Prague, while losing 2-1 to Barcelona.

Meanwhile, Dortmund have managed a draw against one of the best clubs in the world in Barcelona, and have taken three points off of Prague. Favre’s men will be disappointed they could not do the same against Milan, however, at home they will favor their chances.

Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan Stats

Borussia Dortmund
VS
Inter Milan
1-1-1 (3rd in Group F) UCL Standing 1-1-1 (2nd in Group F)
57.4% Avg. time of possession 52.85%
85.8% Passing Percentage 85.3%
2.2 League goals per game 2.2

Dortmund have been off to a slow start in the Bundesliga, but have put in some great performances at home nonetheless, with a record of 3-1. Expect them to do the same on Tuesday under the magnifying glass that is Champions League football. As the stats above show, the teams are so evenly matched offensively, so expect the game to rely heavily on the crowd and atmosphere.

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Best Bet

The best bet for this match is to go with a Dortmund win given the circumstances of the game. It will be excruciatingly hard for Milan to put together multiple goals against a very solid Dortmund defense that only concedes about once a game.

Pick: Borussia Dortmund (-101)
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