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Denmark vs France Odds & Prediction – UEFA Nations League (Sept 25)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Sep 25, 2022 · 5:39 AM PDT

France forward Kylian Mbappe celebrating a victory
July 15, 2018; Moscow, Russia; France forward Kylian Mbappe celebrates after defeating Croatia in the final of the FIFA World Cup 2018 at Luzhniki Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Groothuis/Witters Sport via USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s Denmark vs France on Matchday 6 of the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, September 25
  • The Danes still have a chance of topping the group, while the French need a win to avoid finishing bottom
  • We preview the game, look at Denmark vs France odds, and offer some picks below

It’s Denmark vs France on Matchday 6 of the UEFA Nations League A Group 1 on Sunday, September 25 in Copenhagen. Kick-off is at 2:45pm ET.

For Denmark, the aim is to secure a place in next summer’s finals, while France, after a disappointing campaign, is battling to stay in the top tier.

But, despite both teams focussing on different ends of the table, it is the French who come into this off the back of midweek success – a 2-0 victory over Austria – whereas the high-flying Danes lost 2-1 to Croatia.

We preview Denmark vs France, look at the odds and offer some analysis, team news, and picks for this huge Nations League clash.

Denmark vs France Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Denmark +215
France +115
Draw +215

Odds as of Sept 25 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this and other Nations League games.

France starts with a 47% implied win probability at +115, while Denmark is listed at a more generous +215 for the home win, with an implied win probability of 32%. The draw is also priced at +215.

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars have listed over 2.5 goals at a very reasonable +115, while on the flip side, under 2.5, is -145.

Given the make-or-break nature of this match for both teams, an end-to-end game with several goals is a distinct possibility.

Denmark vs France Preview

A win for Denmark in Zagreb on Thursday night would have been enough for them to secure top spot in the group, but their 2-1 defeat means they still have work to do in order to qualify for next summer’s finals.

Kasper Hjulmand’s men failed to deliver when the pressure was on and even Christian Eriksen’s equalizer, after Borna Sosa had given the Croatians the lead, failed to ignite the Danes, who saw a point slip away when Lovro Majer struck the winner for the home side. It was a win that took the Croatians to the top of the group.

The Danes Aiming for Top Spot

There is, however, just a single point separating the top two, and a win here for Denmark over Les Bleus still leaves them with a chance of finishing top if Austria can avoid defeat at home to Croatia. A draw for the Danes won’t be enough though as Croatia lead them in head-to-head points.

Even if the results don’t fall the way of Denmark, this campaign will still be seen as a step forward for them, and there is also the small matter of them re-engaging with the French again in two months’ time in Qatar. A good result here, even if it doesn’t take them to the Nations League finals, will be a massive confidence booster.

Denmark vs France Head-to-Head Stats

Denmark
VS
France
3-0-2 Nations League 2022 record 1-2-2
7 / 5 Goals for / Goals against 5 / 5
52 / 22 Goal attempts / On target 80 / 29
83.2 Passing accuracy (%) 89.6
7 / 0 Yellow / Red cards 4 / 0
2nd Current league position 3rd
W-W-W-L-W-L Form guide (all competitions) W-L-D-D-L-W

Vital Win Over Austria for France

Off-the-field issues have made this a difficult campaign for the French and rather than defending their Nations League title, they find themselves battling to stay in League A.

Prior to the international break, Didier Deschamps’ squad had already been badly affected by injuries to key players but despite more niggling injuries being picked up in Thursday’s game with Austria, they emerged with a vital 2-0 win – goals from Kylian Mbappe and Olivier Giroud.

A Win in Copenhagen the Only Option

The win in Paris saw France leapfrog the Austrians in the table and lift themselves off the bottom, but more work is needed if they are to retain their League A status. Even a draw in Copenhagen won’t be enough if Austria beat Croatia, so Les Bleus will be going all-out for the win.

While the reverse fixture in Paris ended in a surprise 2-1 win for the Danes, the French will take heart from a brilliant run of away form, where they haven’t been beaten since June 2019.

Denmark vs France Team Lineups and Injuries

Denmark Projected Lineup: Schmeichel, Andersen, Christensen, Kjaer, Kristensen, Hojbjerg, Delaney, Maehle, Eriksen, Damsgaard, Dolberg.

Injuries & absences: Cornelius.

France Projected Lineup: Areola, Saliba, Varane, Badiashile, Clauss, Fofana, Tchouameni, Mendy, Griezmann, Mbappe, Giroud.

Injuries & absences: Kounde, Maignan.

Denmark vs France Pick

The Danes are generally good on home soil but the French, with their outstanding away record, are happier on their travels. Given their desperate need for a win, and the fact they are still in plus money, the value is with the away win

Pick: France to win (+115)

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