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Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Odds & Prediction – EFL Championship Round 46

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer News

Updated May 7, 2021 · 7:25 AM PDT

Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday
FILE - In this Thursday, March 5, 2020 file photo, Derby's Wayne Rooney looks on, during the FA Cup fifth round soccer match between Derby County and Manchester United at Pride Park in Derby, England. Rooney now has the Derby job on a permanent basis after England's record goal-scorer received a contract through 2023 to manage the second division team and retired from playing, it was reported on Friday, Jan. 15, 2021. The 35-year-old former Manchester United captain, who took temporary charge in November of Derby, is now focusing on his coaching career. (AP Photo/Rui Vieira, File)
  • Derby County hosts Sheffield Wednesday in Matchday 46 of the EFL Championship on Saturday, May 8th at 7:30 am ET
  • Derby and Sheffield are within three points of one another at the bottom of the table, as one club will ultimately face relegation after this weekend’s match
  • Currently, Derby County are the favorites in this match with moneyline odds of +130

The final match of the EFL Championship season is finally here, and no team has officially been relegated. Four teams currently sit at the bottom, all within three points of one another. Two of those teams, Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday square off in the first game of the weekend on Saturday in hopes of erasing their relegation nightmares.

While a win would promise safety for Derby County, a tie or loss could send them down to England’s League One. Meanwhile, Sheffield Wednesday can achieve safety if they win, while also needing Rotherham to drop points in their match against Cardiff City.

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday DER -0.5 (+130) | SHE +0.5 (-162) DER +130 | SHE +205 | DRAW +230 Ov 2.5 (+102) | Un 2.5 (-127)

Odds as of May 6th

While Derby County are the slight favorite, their last win came six tries ago in a home victory against Luton. That same win has marked their only win in their last 14 fixtures, a terrible statistic for Wayne Rooney’s side. On the contrary, Sheffield Wednesday has gained five points from their last four matches. Seeing positive results against Bristol, Blackburn Rovers and Nottingham Forest should give them a heap of confidence ahead of this weekend’s massive challenge.

Match Will be Played Like a Champions League Final

In terms of intensity and drama, Saturday’s match between Derby and Sheffield Wednesday will be unmatched. Relegation would be absolutely devastating for both of these sides, which is why it will be played exactly like a final. Fifty-fifty balls will be more tightly contested, tackles will be more cynical, and attitudes will be edgier.

For Derby County, they will be without a key piece in the center of their defense, Andre Wisdom. The 27-year-old made 36 appearances this year for Derby and his experience will surely be missed.

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Statistics

Derby County
VS
Sheffield Wednesday
0.73 Goals per game 0.82
10.4 Shots per game 9.6
51.0% Possession % 46.4%
75.9% Passing % 70.4%

Furthermore, Colin Kazim-Richards will be the main source of attack upfront as the Rams look to turn their poor form around. They have managed to grab a goal in their past two matches, but ultimately it has been their defense that has let them down.

Can Sheffield Wednesday Somehow Stay Afloat?

Unfortunately, Sheffield Wednesday needs more than just a win to stay in the EFL Championship season next year. Nonetheless, expect them to get after it on Saturday morning, just like they have during the rest of the run-in. Undoubtedly, they have had easier competition as of late. But, their perseverance and will has got them in a position where they can help determine their destiny on the last day. Does Derby County have that same drive, because it has not shown in the past few weeks?

 

Finally, these sides have also been very evenly competitive over recent years. In the past four years and eight fixtures, they have each won three, lost three and drawn two games. With the high stakes and even history, expect this one to come down right to the final whistle at full time.

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Best Bet

Overall, the best bet for this match is the Sheffield Wednesday moneyline with odds of +205. These odds have tremendous value, especially going up against a team that looks spineless at the moment. Six losses in a row is a dismal achievement, no matter who the competition is.

Derby knew it was going to be tight down the stretch this whole time, and still let games get away from them. It is this lackadaisical attitude that makes me question their chances of winning on Saturday. While Sheffield Wednesday might not achieve safety, I have full confidence that they can muster up a win against Derby County.

Pick: Sheffield Wednesday moneyline (+205)


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