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FA Cup Semi-finals Picks & Odds: Man City vs Sheffield United & Brighton vs Man United

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Apr 22, 2023 · 12:43 AM PDT

Manchester City FC forward Erling Haaland (9) controls the ball
Jul 23, 2022; Green Bay, WI, USA; Manchester City FC forward Erling Haaland (9) controls the ball during the first half against FC Bayern Munich at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s FA Cup Semi-Final weekend in England with Man City vs Sheffield United & Brighton vs Man United
  • City are still favorites to win the competition but there’s a possibility of an all-Manchester final
  • Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s the FA Cup Semi-finals this weekend in England with Man City vs Sheffield United on Saturday, April 22  at 11:45am ET, and Brighton vs Man United on Sunday, April 23 at 11:30am ET. Both ties take place at Wembley Stadium.

We preview our Man City vs Sheffield United & Brighton vs Man United picks below, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

 Man City vs Sheffield United Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Man City -575
Sheffield United +1400
Draw +750

The bookmakers have City listed as huge odds-on favorites at -575 with an implied win probability of 85%, while, on the flip side, the Blades are on offer at +1400 for the win in regular time with a win probability of 6.7%. The draw after 90 minutes is priced at +750 at 12%.

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Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 20.

Man City vs Sheffield United Preview – FA Cup Semi-final

With Arsenal’s Premier League title challenge continuing to wobble, the treble is still very much on for Pep Guardiloa’s men who in midweek booked a UEFA Champions League semifinal with Real Madrid after beating Bayern Munich over two legs.

Ominously for the rest, City have hit a rich vein of form at the best possible time, helped by summer signing Erland Haaland reaching new levels of brilliance and ruthlessness in front of goal. While, of the three trophies on offer, Guardiola may see this as the lowest priority, the prize of a rare treble will ensure they stay laser-focused.

Blades Priority is Return to Prem

For the Blades, this FA Cup run has been a massive bonus in what has already been an outstanding season. Paul Heckingnottom’s men have always had a return to the Premier League as their top priority, and are now only a couple of wins away from achieving this. Almost job done.

Ironically, at the heart of their promotion push have been two Man City youngsters – Tommy Doyle and James McAtee – who they have loaned for the season, so with these two unavailable, they arrive at Wembley with a slightly weakened team.

Man City vs Sheffield United Team Lineups and Injuries

Man City Projected Lineup: Ortega, Stones, Dias, Laporte, Lewis, Rodri, Mahrez, Gundogan, De Bruyne, Grealish, Haaland.

Injuries & absences: Ake (doubtful).

Sheffield United Projected Lineup: Foderingham, Ahmedhodzic, Egan, Robinson, Baldock, Berge, Norwood, Fleck, Lowe, McBurnie, Ndiaye.

Injuries & absences: NcAtee, Doyle, Stevens.

 Man City vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head Stats

MAN CITY
VS
SHEFFIELD UNITED
22-4-4 League Record 25-7-10
78 / 28 League Goals Scored / Conceded 65 / 36
14 / 0 FA Cup Goals Scored / Conceded 12 / 6
6-0 (vs Burnley) Biggest Win 3-1 (vs Wrexham)
11 No of FA Cup finals 5
WWWWWD Form Guide (All comps) WWWLWW

FA Cup Semi-final – Man City vs Sheffield United Prediction

It’s very hard to make a solid case here for a Blades’ win and so, for me, predicting the size of the City victory and how many goals there will be in the game is the way to go.

 Man City vs Sheffield United Pick: Over 4.5 goals (+220)

Brighton vs Man United Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Brighton +130
Man Utd +195
Draw +275

The bookmakers have listed Brighton as narrow plus-money favorites at +130 with an implied home win probability of 43.5%, while United are on offer at +195 with a win probability of 34%. The draw in regular time is priced at +275.

Brighton vs Man United Preview – FA Cup Semi-final

If Brighton fans thought the loss of Graham Potter to Chelsea would impact their progress, they were very wrong. Under Roberto De Zerbi they have managed to find another level and are still in with a realistic shot at a European place next season.

Last weekend, they showed their quality by going to Stamford Bridge and beating Chelsea 2-1 – the ideal preparation for this massive Wembley occasion.

Europa League Disaster for United

While it’s been a good week for Brighton, the same cannot be said of United who were knocked out of the Europa League on Thursday after losing 3-0 in Sevilla. Minus his two first-choice center-backs – Lisandro Martinez and Raphael Varane – Erik ten Haag’s men struggled, and that will be a concern for Wembley.

On the plus side, this United team has already tasted Wembley success this season after winning the EFL Cup there when beating Newcastle. This could be a factor.

Brighton vs Man United Team Lineups and Injuries

Brighton Projected Lineup: Sanchez, Gross, Webster, Dunk, Estupinan, Caicedo, Mac Allister, March, Enciso, Mitoma, Welbeck.

Injuries & absences: Veltman, Ferguson.

Man Utd Projected Lineup: De Gea, Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Shaw, Malacia, Casemiro, Eriksen, Antony, Fernandes, Rashford, Weghorst.

Injuries & absences: Martinez, Varane, Garnacho.

Brighton vs Man United Head-to-Head Stats

BRIGHTON
VS
MAN UTD
14-7-8 League Record 18-5-7
54 / 37 League Goals Scored / Conceded 46 / 37
13 / 2 FA Cup Goals Scored / Conceded 12 / 4
5-0 (vs Grimsby) Biggest Win 3-1 (x 4)
1 No of FA Cup finals 20
WWDWLD Form Guide (All comps) LWWDLW

FA Cup Semi-final – Brighton vs Man United Prediction

United’s Wembley win over Newcastle to claim the EFL Cup will have been the perfect prep for this massive game, with many of Brighton’s players experiencing Wembley for the first time. For that reason, the value is with the United win

Brighton vs Man United Pick: Man Utd to win (+195)

 

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