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Liverpool Getting 2-1 Odds to Win Premier League Ahead of Matchday 32

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 8:59 AM PDT

Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk of Liverpool controls the ball before passing it back to his goalkeeper Alisson Becker. (Photo by David Blunsden/Actionplus/Icon Sportswire)
  • Manchester United are the odds-on favorite to win the English Premiere League
  • Liverpool may be a smarter bet at +200
  • UCL and FA Cup action could  distract Guardiola’s campaign

The last time Liverpool were close to winning the EPL in 2014,  the battle with Manchester City went to the final game. They lost out by two points. A similar tense finish is likely in May.

This time, there are just enough advantages built into the Anfield team’s fixture list and just enough complexity facing City to suggest the Reds can hold their nerve.

After playing 31 games – one more than City – Liverpool has +200 odds to win Premier League. It’s the longest odds they’ve had since December.

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Manchester City at -250 remain the betting favorites, but a round-by-round assessment of the run-in explains why Jurgen Klopp’s side should narrowly prevail. It will be so close, though, that every detail will count.

The complications of the Champions League and the FA Cup and an away derby at resurgent Manchester United make things trickier for Pep Guardiola’s side.

English Premier League Championship Odds

Team Odds
Manchester City -250
Liverpool +200

*Odds taken 03/29/19

Liverpool remain in the UCL, too. But they are more focused upon winning a first title since 1990 despite drawing twice and winning four of the last six games.

Pep and City More Hungry for European Prize

City would  prefer claiming the big European prize for the first time, although they have just won six straight league matches.

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Firstly,  Liverpool need to win a tough home fixture against Tottenham on Sunday. Failure will alter the dynamic significantly. City should  win at struggling Fulham on Saturday.

Even if Liverpool defeat Spurs, City could still overtake them in top spot by beating relegation-haunted Cardiff City in their game in hand next Wednesday, April 3rd.

Even if Liverpool defeat Spurs, City could still overtake them in top spot by beating relegation-haunted Cardiff City.

Klopp’s men then play at Southampton and could conceivably be held to a draw under the Friday night lights, which would leave the leading two level on 80 points (City currently have the better goal difference).

This is where it gets tangled for City. The following day, they face Brighton in the FA Cup semi-final. Then they have the more demanding Champions League tie, away at Tottenham with the first leg on April 9th.

Manchester’s Red-Hot Derby Could Help Liverpool

Liverpool will be less distracted by their European ties against Porto. But it would still be neck-and-neck on 83 points if, as I predict, the Reds beat drifting Chelsea at home on April 14th. On that day, City have an awkward trip to Crystal Palace, although I’ll take them to win and  remain even with once again, a game in hand.

Next up comes the potential ground-shift. After two Champions League meetings for City with Spurs in the previous 11 days, a third date in the EPL on April 20th could be a stalemate draw. Liverpool can then streak two points ahead at Cardiff the next day.

City then travel to fierce rivals United on April 24th and another draw looks likely – meaning advantage Liverpool at 86 points to 84.

Three-Game Race to the Finish Line

It’s then a straight race to the finish line. Liverpool should beat Huddersfield, Newcastle, and Wolves. City should win against Burnley, Leicester, and Brighton.

Provided nobody tumbles over like Steven Gerrard did infamously against Chelsea in 2014, Liverpool should squeak home by 95 points to 94.

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