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Just 2 Goals Back of Vardy, Man City’s Aguero Now +250 Odds to Win EPL’s Golden Boot

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Soccer News

Updated Mar 30, 2020 · 12:20 PM PDT

Sergio Aguero
Sergio Aguero has scored five times in his past two matches, lifting him to a strong +250 bet to win this season's EPL Golden Boot. Photo by John Patrick Fletcher/Actionplus/Icon Sportswire)
  • With five goals in his past two league matches, Sergio Aguero now sits second in the EPL with 15 goals
  • Jamie Vardy continues to lead the way with 17 goals, but has scored just once in Leicester City’s past five league matches
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is pegged as an intriguing +1000 bet, but has hurt his chances with his recent red card suspension

Sergio Aguero continued to show signs this past weekend of a major turnaround from a prolonged goalscoring slump. The Manchester City striker potted both goals in Saturday’s 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace to climb into second place in the Premier League goalscoring race, and has been rewarded in the EPL Golden Boot odds, where he now sits as a strong +250 second-favorite to finish the campaign as the league’s top scorer for the second time in his career.

Odds to Win Premier League Golden Boot

Player Odds
Jamie Vardy +150
Sergio Aguero +250
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang +1000
Mohamed Salah +1200
Tammy Abraham +1200
Sadio Mane +1400
Danny Ings +1800
Marcus Rashford +1800
Raheem Sterling +2000
Gabriel Jesus +1000

Odds taken on Jan. 20. 

Aguero Overcoming Lengthy Drought

Aguero had struggled since opening the season on a red-hot pace with eight goals through his first six appearances. The Argentine star subsequently struggled to find the back of the net, potting just two goals over the following 11 matches. The prolonged scoring drought took its toll on Aguero’s average odds to win his first Premier League Golden Boot since 2015, tumbling to a +1400 bet just prior to Christmas.

The 31-year-old has rediscovered his scoring touch in recent outings, scoring six times over his past four appearances, including a hat-trick in City’s 6-1 rout of Aston Villa on January 12. With his recent surge, Aguero now has 15 goals on the season, trailing league-leader Jamie Vardy by just two markers.

Vardy, Foxes Fading Fast

With 17 goals to date, Vardy continues to lead the way on the EPL Golden Boot odds as a +150 favorite. The 33-year-old has almost matched his goal total for all of last season when he potted 18 goals in 34 appearances and has played a crucial role in Leicester City’s climb above the line this season. However, both Vardy and the Foxes have struggled in recent outings. Leicester has watched City overtake them for second place on the Premier League table during a dismal 2-1-4 win-draw-loss run in league play.

Vardy has also cooled off considerably during the Foxes’ swoon, scoring just once over the club’s past five league contests. And with three of their next four matches coming against Chelsea FC, Wolverhampton, and City, the Foxes are in desperate need of a reversal in fortune to assure themselves a spot above the line on the Premier League table this season.

One thing that Vardy has going for him in his goalscoring duel with Aguero is Manchester City’s change in focus, away from their bid to repeat as EPL champions, and toward European competition.

One thing that Vardy has going for him in his goalscoring duel with Aguero is Manchester City’s change in focus, away from their bid to repeat as EPL champions, and toward European competition. After failing to close the door on Crystal palace on Sunday, City now lags 16 points behind undefeated Liverpool FC for first place with just 15 matches remaining and have dipped to distant +3300 second favorites on the EPL championship odds. Conversely, City join the Reds as +400 co-favorites to claim their first-ever UEFA Champions League title but face a tough road that starts with a Round of 16 matchup with Real Madrid.

Salah, Mane within Striking Distance

And with the Liverpool offense firing on all cylinders, it is tough to overlook the two Reds shooters trailing the favorites in the EPL Golden Boot futures, including Mohamed Salah at +1200, and Sadio Mane at +1400.

The defending Golden Boot co-winner, Salah has scored just 11 times through 19 outings but has shown signs of returning to form after struggling through injuries earlier this season. The Egyptian superstar has scored five times over his past seven outings after scoring just twice in his previous nine matches, and as he demonstrated last season, Salah has the ability to score in bunches and quickly re-enter the goalscoring race.

Aubameyang’s Golden Boot Hopes Hurt by Red Card Suspension

Mane tied Salah and Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang atop the goalscoring race last season, and remains in the hunt this season with 11 goals, but will have to pick up the pace after potting just two markers over his past seven appearances.

Aubameyang is pegged as an intriguing +1000 wager to claim this season’s Premier League Golden Boot. He has been one of the few bright spots during a disappointing campaign for Arsenal, scoring 14 times through 22 outings including three goals in his past four outings. However, the 30-year-old did little to help his case in the Gunners’ 1-1 draw with Palace, drawing a red card that earned him a three-match suspension that began with this past weekend’s 1-1 draw with Sheffield United.

Pick: Sergio Aguero (+250)

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