Nantes vs Toulouse Odds & Prediction – Coupe de France Final

• It’s Nantes vs Toulouse in the final of the 2022-23 Coupe de France
• Nantes are the current holders of this trophy while it’s the first-ever final for Toulouse
• Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Nantes vs Toulouse in the final of the Coupe de France on Saturday, April 29. It all kicks off in the Stade de France at 3:00 pm ET.

Nantes are the defending champions in this competition, while for Toulouse, this is their first-ever final. We preview our Nantes vs Toulouse picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Nantes vs Toulouse Odds

The bookmakers have Toulouse listed as narrow plus-money favorites to win the trophy in regular time at +150 with an implied home win probability of 40%, while Nantes are on offer at +180 to win the game with a probability of 36%.

The draw after 90 minutes is priced at +235 in the Nantes vs Toulouse odds and is implied at 30%. Nantes are -115 favorites to lift the trophy if it goes to extra time and/or penalties.

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Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 28.

Nantes vs Toulouse Over/Under and Spread

With the benchmark set at 3.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the under at -285 and the over at a far more tempting +210.

Nantes vs Toulouse Preview

Les Canaris made it to their second successive final courtesy of a narrow 1-0 win over Lyon in the semi-final and will be hoping that, like last season, they can go all the way and lift the trophy.

This is the second season running where they have been able to put aside their poor league form and save their best for the cup. Last season, while lifting the cup, they finished a disappointing ninth, but domestically this season has been even worse, and they currently are 16th – just one place above the drop zone.

✔︎ Votre ferveur. Notre force.

👊 #OnEstNantes pic.twitter.com/LaMDfcNcVM

— FC Nantes (@FCNantes) April 29, 2023

Poor League Form For Les Canaris

Incredibly, in this competition – which they won last season with victory over Nice in the final – they have won 11 games in a row, and haven’t lost since suffering a 4-2 defeat at the hands of Lens in 2021-21. They made up for that defeat, however, by beating Lens 2-1 in this season’s quarter-final.

Antoine Kombouare’s side will clearly fancy their chances given what a lucky competition has been for them but will have to overcome some poor Ligue 1 form where they are nine without a win.

All Eyes on Coupe de France for Toulouse

For Toulouse, currently 12th in Ligue 1, there are no lingering relegation worries, so it is with freedom that they head to the Stade de France. The chance of winning their first-ever Coupe de France final has been their main focus since their semi-final penalty shootout win over Ligue 2 strugglers, Annecy – a considerable advantage over relegation-threatened, Nantes.

While Les Violets are aiming to win it for the first time, they made it to the semifinals twice before – in 1985 and 2009, when they were beaten by PSG and Guingamp respectively.

Le déplacement de nos supporters se poursuit !

Fatigués ? Jamais. Debout ? Toujours 😈

Continuez de nous faire vivre votre finale de #CoupeDeFrance 👉 https://t.co/o3AjZ80qmm pic.twitter.com/Jn822T452A

— Toulouse FC (@ToulouseFC) April 29, 2023

Poor Recent Form Against Nantes

Toulouse’s current poor league form can perhaps be attributed to the distraction of the cup, but coach Philippe Montanier will not see seven defeats in their last 11 Ligue 1 games as ideal preparation for one of the biggest games in the club’s history.

An additional concern is their recent form against Nantes, where they lost their 2021 Ligue 1 relegation/promotion playoff on away goals after drawing 2-2 on aggregate, and in Ligue 1 earlier this season when they lost 3-1 in Nantes’ Stade de la Beaujoire.

Nantes vs Toulouse Team Lineups and Injuries

Nantes Projected Lineup: Lafont, Centonze, Pallois, Castelletto, Victor, Moutoussamy, Girotto, Sissoko, Blas, Mohamed, Ganago.

Injuries & absences: Descamps (doubtful), Chirivella.

Toulouse Projected Lineup: Haug, Desler, Rouault, Nicolaisen, Suazo, Van den Boomen, Spierings, Aboukhlal, Dejaegere, Chaibi, Dallinga.

Injuries & absences: Dejaegere (doubtful), Healey.

Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats

*Stats from WhoScored.com.

Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction

Nantes may have the pedigree in this competition compared to their opponents, but Toulouse already have the security of knowing they will be playing Ligue 1 soccer next season.

With the freedom that comes from that comfort blanket, I see the value here to be with the Toulouse win whose focus for some weeks now has been on this game.

Nantes vs Toulouse Picks: Toulouse to win in 90 mins (+150) / Over 3.5 goals (+210)