Napoli vs Inter Milan Odds & Prediction – Serie A Round 36 Picks
- Napoli hosts Inter Milan in the 36th Serie A matchday on Sunday, May 21st, at 12:00 pm ET
- Inter are 4-3-0 against Napoli in their last seven head-to-head matches, across all competitions
- Get our Napoli vs Inter Milan prediction and odds below
On Sunday, all eyes will be on the Serie A for Napoli vs Inter Milan at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. While Napoli has already clinched the Scudetto, top four has not yet been officially won by Inter. In fact, AC Milan sit just five points behind them on 61. There is a scenario where they could be caught and bumped should they lose two out of their remaining three matches.
Nonetheless, Sunday’s contest should be great either way with the pride and talent both of these clubs boast. You could say that both of them are riding a high in recent days, with Napoli fans still enjoying their first league title since the 90’s and Inter reaching their first Champions League final since 2010. Continue reading for our Napoli vs Inter Milan odds and predictions!
Napoli vs Inter Milan Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Napoli | +170 |
| Inter Milan | +150 |
| Draw | +215 |
All in all, the visitors are the moneyline favorites with odds of +150, equating to a 40% implied win probability. These Serie A odds are more than fair considering their recent 4-3-0 head-to-head record vs Napoli and their current eight game winning run. Napoli’s odds sit slightly higher at +170, most likely due to the fact they are only 3-4-3 over their last ten in all competitions.
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Furthermore, you can play the draw no bet at -110 for either side. This is a great angle if you like Inter Milan but are not fully sold on a win at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. For this bet, if the game ends in a draw, the bet pushes are you at least get your money back.
Napoli vs Inter Milan – Over/Under Odds
Currently, the odds on over 2.5 goals are even money at +100, while the reverse option sits at -125. In their eight ten head-to-head battles, the under has hit 88% of the time. Napoli’s last seven matches have also stayed under the 2.5 total goal tally, which is quite surreal. With Inter likely tired from their Champions League battle in the midweek, I like a play on this game being slower than usual.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Props – Nerazzurri to Score First
However, if one team does score, I think it will be Inter Milan, and they will surely do so first. The odds on them scoring first sit at -105, which is great value considering they have scored first in eight of their last nine across all competitions. Napoli are still experiencing the hangover of their glorious Scudetto victory, which will undoubtedly slow them down at the start.
If you are feeling more confident in a free-flowing match, a play on Lautaro Martinez to score (+160) in a not a bad half-unit bet. He has scored six in six, at a clip of a goal per 59 minutes.
Again and again, from every possible angle 📐#ForzaInter #InterMilan #UCL
— Inter (@Inter_en) May 19, 2023
Napoli vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Statistics
| 2.00 | Goals per game | 1.89 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals per game | 1.82 |
| 0.71 | Goals allowed per game | 1.06 |
| 0.82 | Expected goals allowed per game | 0.93 |
| 61.9% | Possession % | 56.6% |
| 48.6% | Clean Sheet % | 34.3% |
| 16.0 | Shots per game | 16.9 |
| L-W-D-D-W | Recent Form Guide (All Comps) | W-W-W-W-W |
Stats in the table from 2022/23 Serie A play.
Inter to Make Use of Their Last Real Test
Overall, I do favor Inter on the night because their form has been outrageous. I have also learned that you simply never bet on a team that has already won the title and has nothing to play for; it just never works out.
Moreover, Filippo Inzaghi will take this match very seriously as it is his last serious tune-up before facing Manchester City in Istanbul. Inter’s remaining schedule features the likes of Fiorentina, Atalanta and Torino. In reality, this is Inzaghi’s last chance to test his team against serious players like Victor Osimhen and Kim Min-jae. I expect them to make the most out of the night and give it a proper go against what is still a ridiculously good Napoli squad.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Projected Lineups and Injuries
Napoli Projected Lineup: Meret, Oliveira, Kim, Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo, Zielinski, Lobotka, Anguissa, Kvaratskhelia, Osimhen, Elmas
Major Injuries & Absences: Lozano
Inter Milan Projected Lineup: Onana, Dimarco, Bastoni, Acerbi, Darmian, Dumfries, Brozovic, Calhanoglu, Barella, Lukaku, Martinez
Major Injuries & Absences: Skriniar, Mkhitaryan, Dalbert
Napoli vs Inter Milan Prediction
On Sunday, I am riding with the Inter draw no bet, under 2.5 total goals and Inter to score first.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Picks: Inter draw no bet (-110), under 2.5 goals (-125),
Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.
