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Northampton vs Exeter Odds & Prediction: England League 2 Promotion Playoff Final

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer News

Updated Mar 11, 2021 · 10:28 AM PST

Swansea vs Middlesborough
The ball is seen during the English Premier League soccer match between Manchester United and Manchester City at Old Trafford Stadium, Manchester, England, Sunday, Oct. 25, 2015. (AP Photo/Jon Super)
  • On Monday, June 29,  Wembley Stadium will play host to England’s League Two Promotional Playoff Final between Northampton and Exeter.
  • After a decision by League Two to finish the season on a points per game basis, Northampton and Exeter defeated Cheltenham and Colchester respectively, to reach the final.
  • Currently, the favorites for promotion are Northampton – read below for our best bet

This Monday, England’s League Two Promotional Playoff comes to a close with Northampton and Exeter facing off at Wembley Stadium for the last spot in League One. Swindon Town, Crewe Alexandria, and Plymouth have already taken a spot in League One, with the final spot being up for grabs in a one-off game at England’s largest football ground.

Northampton and Exeter have only took part in two matches, with the rest of the League Two season being cancelled due to COVID-19. Both clubs split games against Cheltenham and Colchester, respectively.

Northampton vs Exeter Odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Northampton pk (-121) +145 Over 2, 2 ½ (-103)
Exeter pk (+101) +174 Under 2, 2 ½ (-117)
Draw N/A +205 N/A

Odds taken on 6/27/2020

With the game being played behind closed doors, it could make the match a little less nervy than a usual final at Wembley, with 90,000 local fans screaming their clubs anthems. Nonetheless, the game is a spectacle, and with everything on the line, truly anything can happen.

Will Ryan Bowman Lead Exeter to Glory?

Northampton and Exeter are two fairly even football sides. They have traded wins their last few matchups against each other, and only once was the victor able to win by more than one goal. But, everything goes out the window in a final.

Finals are where big players create even bigger moments, out of nothing. Ryan Bowman and Randell Williams can do that for Exeter on Monday. Bowman has been electric with 14 goals during the campaign, and with Williams’ fizzing balls, he has been able to provide the same number of assists.

YouTube video

After a 1-0 defeat to Colchester away from home, Exeter was able to bounce back on June 22 in the home leg, winning 3-1. Bowman’s goal in the 111th minute of the match was enough for Exeter to move on to Wembley, and another big game goal might not be a bad prop bet for this game.

Northampton vs Exeter Statistics

Northampton
VS
Exeter
7th (58 Points) Standing in League Two 5th (65 Points)
1.5 Goals per game 1.4
13 Shots per game 12.9
47.8% Average Possession % 51%

Can Northampton Go From Seven to Heaven?

Currently in seventh place, Northampton were surely not expected to reach the final of the promotional playoff. Similar to Exeter, they won their semifinal on the second leg, by a mere goal. History says Northampton has gotten the better of this matchup over time, but do not be too swayed by past results. Before the restart, Keith Curle’s side lost four out of six and looked to be spiraling out of even a chance at promotion.

While Northampton will be spurred on offense by Nicky Adams, Sam Hoskins and Andy Williams, will it be enough to outweigh Exeter? Better yet, can they become one of the first teams to reach promotion having been in seventh place?

Best Bet

The best bet for this match is the Exeter moneyline with odds of +174. The value of this bet is very substantial, and will also be very much worth it. Exeter has the seasoned veterans who will not be afraid of the Wembley spotlight.

They also had a little better form before the restart and realistically should be the favorites for this match come Monday night. History might not agree, but expect Exeter to come out of this came with a spot next year in League One competition.

Pick: Exeter Moneyline (+174)

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