Portugal Primeira Liga Matchday 33 Odds & Picks: Last Stand

• Porto clinched the league title on Wednesday via a 2-0 win over Sporting, but plenty of intrigue remains as Braga chase Sporting for 3rd and Rio Ave duke it out with Famalicao for the 5th and final European place
• The relegation race is red-hot, with surging Portimonense level on 30 points with Tondela and Setubal — two sides definitively in an ‘arrow down’ trend
• Get all the odds and best bets for Matchday 33 in Portugal below

With their title confirmed, Porto face mid-table Moreirense on Monday; much of the intrigue lies in the race for third and the relegation battle.

Liga NOS Matchday 33 Odds

All odds taken July 18

Pick 1: Pacos Ferreira vs Portimonense

Few teams have seen starker shifts in fortune post-COVID than Pacos Ferreira (10-5-17) and Portimonense (6-12-14), who have both picked up a string of solid results to give themselves a shot — a near-certainty, in the case of Pacos — at survival in Portugal’s top flight.

With three wins in their last five matches, Portimonense are positively buzzing.

While odds lines were not available at time of publishing, take Portimonense — even though they are on the road — to earn a result: They’ve beaten the teams they should have to get to this point of having a possibility of surviving, and should be good again on Matchday 33.

Pick: Portimonense pk, +0.5 (N/A)

Pick 2: Porto vs Moreirense

Portugal’s new champions (25-4-3) host 8th-place Moreirense (10-13-9) on Monday at the Estadio do Dragao.

While it remains to be seen what sort of squad Porto field — and what shape they’re in, following title celebrations — one thing is for sure: Moreirense will try to stifle the game.

It’s what Ricardo Soares’ squad has done since the return to play: In seven matches featuring Monday’s visitors, zero have seen more than two goals scored and their last four have seen an average of 1.0 total goals.

Pick: Under 3 (-128)

Pick 3: Sporting vs Vit. Setubal

Just two points ahead of a resurgent Braga, Ruben Amorim’s Sporting (18-5-9) have plenty to play for as they face a desperate and heavily-slumping Vitoria Setubal (6-12-14).

A 2-nil defeat at Porto on Wednesday aside, it’s been a steady return to play for the Leoes and the club boasts more than enough firepower to see off Setubal, who’ve suffered six-straight losses, a fired coach and a TikTok scandal with a loanee from Roma. It’s been a rough month.

With Sporting still competing for something, it’s unlikely Setubal will be able to stick with their high-octane hosts.

Pick: Over 2.5 (+102)