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Premier League Week 18 Odds; Best EPL Picks for New Year’s Weekend

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Dec 30, 2022 · 7:36 AM PST

Joelinton EFL Cup Picks. Newcastle vs Leicester
Newcastle's Joelinton, right, duels for the ball with Manchester United's Jadon Sancho during the English Premier League soccer match between Newcastle United and Manchester United at St. James' Park in Newcastle, England, Monday, Dec. 27, 2021. (AP Photo/Jon Super)
  • It is Matchday 18 of the 2022-23 EPL over the New Year’s weekend
  • Arsenal still leads the EPL but Man City are Newcastle are both waiting for them to slip up
  • We list the odds for all ten games and preview three, offering our best picks

The English Premier League Matchday 18 takes place over the New Year’s weekend, with games on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Below we offer some EPL picks for bettors to consider.

Arsenal still sit atop the Premier League with a five-point lead but are being chased down by Manchester City and Newcastle, who are both on excellent runs of form. At the other end of the table, Southampton are currently bottom.

We list below the odds for the ten games and preview three that could offer some potential value.

Premier League Odds Matchday 18

Matchup Home Draw Away
West Ham United vs Brentford -105 +265 +280
Liverpool vs Leicester City -360 +500 +950
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United +320 +260 -110
Manchester City vs Everton -750 +800 +1900
Newcastle United vs Leeds United -225 +390 +600
Fulham vs Southampton +100 +255 +280
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace +195 +225 +155
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal +255 +250 +110
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa -150 +320 +400
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea +450 +295 -155

Odds as of Dec 30 at Draftkings Sportsbook. Use this Draftkings Sportsbook promo code to bet on EPL and other leagues.

Man City, as ever, start the program with the shortest odds – on this occasion -750 to beat Everton at home. A  $10 wager pays out just $11.30 (including the winning stake). On the flip side, the Toffees are a massive +1900 to win that game, which for the same $10 stake wins $200.

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West Ham vs Brentford EPL Pick

It’s been a tough campaign for West Ham who currently sit in 16th place, just a point clear of the drop zone. Their current form is also very poor and they come into this off the back of four straight EPL defeats, the latest coming at the weekend when they were beaten 3-1 by Arsenal.

For Brentford, it’s been a much more pleasing campaign, with their 4-8-4 record taking them up to 10th place. At the weekend, Thomas Frank’s men led Tottenham 2-0 before eventually drawing 2-2. In stark contrast to the Hammers, the Bees are unbeaten in four.

While Brentford will come into this full of confidence, there is enough quality in this West Ham squad for it to steer clear of the relegation dogfight. With the home win at -105, the value is right there.

Premier League Pick: West Ham to win (-105).

Newcastle vs Leeds EPL Pick

The Saudi-led revolution on Tyneside is well and truly underway with Newcastle’s big-spending starting to pay dividends. The Toon are third in the table, have lost just once all season, and have won their last six EPL games. Manager Eddie Howe is playing down the prospect of a title challenge, but not so the Toon Army.

Leeds, meanwhile, have failed to build on last season’s last-day heroics and still find themselves hovering around the EPL’s drop zone. With just four wins all season and seven defeats in their last ten games, Jesse Marsch’s men look set for another relegation battle and one away win so far makes this trip to St James’ look very tricky indeed.

The Toon appears unstoppable right now, so even at -225, there looks to be value in the home win. Easy money.

Premier League Pick: Newcastle to win (-225).

Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction

Graham Potter’s decision to leave Brighton for Chelsea made for a difficult couple of months for the Seagulls, but with the Roberto De Zerbi era now well underway, the good results have started to flow again. Three wins in the last four have maintained their challenge for a top-six place, and they currently lie seventh.

For Arsenal, this has so far been the season of dreams. Mikel Arteta’s young team has lost just once, drawn just once, and won every other game while playing irresistible soccer. While everyone waits for their title charge to falter, it shows no sign of doing so.

With the Gunners in plus money, there is value in betting on the away win but given that Arsenal are due a slip-up and Brighton are a good team, especially at home, the draw at +245 look equally tempting.

Premier League Pick: Brighton and Arsenal to draw (+250).

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