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Red Bull Leipzig 1 Point Back of Leaders Bayern Munich, Odds Shorten to 9-1 to Win Bundesliga

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 3:29 PM PDT

Timo Werner celbrates another goal for Red Bull Leipzig
German international striker Timo Werner has scored five times in the Bundesliga as second-placed Red Bull Leipzig attempt to hunt down leaders and reigning champions Bayern Munich. Photo from @Red Bull Leipzig Official(Twitter).
  • RBL chase Bundesliga title in fourth season in top-flight
  • Bavarian giants showed renewed power in 7-2 UCL thrashing of Tottenham
  • Leaders have less intense October fixture schedule

Red Bull Leipzig are the team that powered its way towards the top level of German football without the history or tradition of its rivals.

Now, a decade after they were founded in 2009 and headed this season by new coach Julian Nagelsmann, they are hunting their first Bundesliga title while challenging the dominance of Bayern Munich.

Currently in second place just a point behind reigning champions Bayern, Leipzig’s average price for winning the prize has moved in from +1500 in August to +1000. Elsewhere, it’s +900.

Bundesliga 2019-20 Odds

Team Current Points Odds
Bayern Munich 14 -500
Borussia Dortmund 11 +500
Red Bull Leipzig 13 -+900
Bayer Leverkusen 13 +5000
Eintracht Frankfurt 10 +10,000
Vfl Wolfsburg 12 +15,000
Schalke 04 13 +20,000
Hoffenheim 5 +20,000
Werder Bremen 7 +25,000
Borussia Moenchengladbach 13 +30,000

*Odds taken at 2019/10/03

However, Bayern have just shown that they are entering a powerful new era with an historic 7-2 thrashing of Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League.

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Champions in Seven Straight Seasons

They have been champions in Germany for the past seven seasons and their average odds for an eighth straight success have shortened from -400 to -490, with quoting -500.

On current form, they will not be usurped. However, the Bundesliga odds on Red Bull offer better and more interesting outside value.

With striker Robert Lewandowski in a devastating mood after scoring 14 times in his last 10 games, Bayern appear unaffected by the departure of Robben, Ribery, Hummels and Rodriguez.

The stunning result in London has sent a wave of fresh confidence surging through Bayern.

With striker Robert Lewandowski in a devastating mood after scoring 14 times in his last 10 games, Bayern appears unaffected by the departure of stalwart players Arjen Robben, Franck Ribery, Mats Hummels and long-term loanee James Rodriguez.

It makes Red Bull’s task of overhauling the Bavarian giants a daunting one following their third-place finish last season.

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Last season’s runners-up Borussia Dortmund have slipped from an average +410 to +530 although oddsmakers still rate them second favorites at +500.

Chance to Pull Clear

Bayern have a less demanding fixture schedule in Germany than Red Bull for the remainder of October so may extend their lead at the top.

Munich coach Niko Kovacs has also praised the form of new arrival Phillipe Coutinho who is on loan from Barcelona.

Meanwhile, Serge Gnabry scored four against Tottenham.

Bayern were undefeated in the Bundesliga after six fixtures with four wins and two draws.

Bayern were undefeated in the Bundesliga after six fixtures with four wins and two draws. They have scored some notable wins including a 4-0 victory against FC Koln, a 6-1 thrashing of Mainz and a 3-0 win away at Schalke 04.

They drew 1-1 away at Leipzig on September 14.

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Red Bull had also won four times. But along with the draw against Bayern, they lost their most recent Bundesliga fixture 3-1 at home against Schalke on September 28. That cost them top spot after they had led for three rounds of fixtures.

Three Wins on Road

They had impressively scored three away wins at FC Union Berlin, Borussia Moenchengladbach and Werder Bremen as well as defeating Eintracht Frankfurt at home.

Their leading goalscorer Timo Werner had hit five Bundesliga goals.

Bayern’s next three domestic fixtures are at home against 12th-placed Hoffenheim (October 5), away at 13th-placed Augsburg (October 19) and at home against 15th-placed Bundesliga newcomers Union Berlin (October 26).

So they are likely to maintain their drive in first place deeper into the campaign.

Leipzig are away at sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen (October 5) then meet seventh-placed Wolfsburg at home (October 19) and third-placed SC Freiburg away (October 26).

It is a more challenging schedule and Red Bull may not keep pace. Though given the very short odds on Bayern, RBL could be worth a small stake at longer odds.

Pick: Red Bull Leipzig +900

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