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Barbora Krejčíková vs Karolína Plíšková Odds & Prediction – WTA Finals Round Robin

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Nov 15, 2021 · 7:24 PM PST

Karolina Pliskova returns, WTA
Karolina Pliskova, of the Czech Republic, returns to Beatriz Haddad Maia, of Brazil, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Monday, Oct. 11, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Barbora Krejčíková vs Karolína Plíšková are still in it as they enter their final pool match at the WTA Finals
  • Plíšková controls her own fate; Krejčíková needs major help, but also can affects the ultimate outcome
  • Read on for a breakdown of the Sunday’s match (3 pm ET), what’s at stake, and our predictions

The beauty of a well-scheduled round-robin format is that even if you lose the first two matches, there’s usually at least a small chance that you are still alive to qualify for the semifinals.

That’s the scenario as countrywomen Barbora Krejčíková and Karolína Plíšková take the court at the WTA Finals in Guadalajara Sunday afternoon (3 pm ET)

Plíšková holds her fate somewhat in her own hands. Krejčíková needs…a lot of things to happen.

Barbora Krejčíková vs Karolína Plíšková Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
{2] Barbora Krejčíková (CZE) +2.5 (-130) +115 O 22.5 (-105)
{3} Karolína Plíšková (CZE) -2.5 (-110) -120 U 22.5 (-135)

Odds as of Nov. 13 at DraftKings

Winless Krejčíková looking to salvage honor

The 2021 French Open champion didn’t come into Guadalajara for her first WTA Finals with much gas in the tank. And her pool contained the only two players who had previous Finals experience.

She had to run into the red-hot Anett Kontaveit right off the bat. And her second match was a rematch of a rather contentious US Open showdown with Garbiñe Muguruza that had a lot of undercurrents.

YouTube video

Her final match is against a countrywoman who’s a former No. 1, nearly five years older – a player she likely couldn’t imagine even a year ago that she would outrank.

The only way Krejčíková can move on is if she beats Plíšková in two sets. And then, Sunday night, Kontaveit beats Muguruza in two sets.

If she wins in three (and Kontaveit wins in two), it would come down to percentage of games won between herself, Muguruza and Plíšková.

So it’s a small shot. But it’s still a shot. And even salvaging one win is a lot better than going home winless in singles, although she’s still in the doubles.

Barbora Krejčíková vs Karolína Plíšková Head-to-Head

Barbora Krejčíková
VS
Karolina Pliskova
25 (Dec. 18, 1995) Age 29 (March 30, 1992)
Brno, Czech Republic Birthplace Louny, Czech Republic
5-10 Height 6-1
3 Career WTA Singles Titles 16
1 Career Grand Slam Titles 0
No. 3 (Nov. 1, 2021) Career High Ranking No. 1 (July 16, 2017)
No. 3 Current Ranking No. 4
$6,327,132 Career Prize Money $22,940,299
45-17 2021 Won/Loss record 36-19
0 Career Head to Head 2

Plíšková’s Fate in Her Own Hands

With her opening win over Garbiñe Muguruza, Plíšková has more control over her own fate.

But her performance against Konteveit in the second match was feeble.

YouTube video

Plíšková can advance to the semi-finals if any of the following scenarios occur:

  • She beats Krejčíková (in two or three sets) and Kontaveit defeats Muguruza Sunday night (in two or three sets)
  • Plíšková wins in two sets, and Muguruza beats Kontaveit in three sets
  • She loses in three sets (while Kontaveit wins in two sets). But she beats out the others on “games-won percentage”.

In short, she has to start with winning.

Beware of Certain Scenarios

Most of the players, despite themselves, go on court knowing what they have to do.

And there are certain scenarios that lead to tricky situations on the wagering side.

For example, if Plíšková wins her match in two sets, Muguruza can’t qualify even if she beats Kontaveit in three sets. So if she loses the first set in that scenario, she will already know this even if it goes three.

Check the scenarios graphic above for all the possibilities. It’s a “bettor beware” kind of tennis day.

Barbora Krejčíková vs Karolína Plíšková

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2018 French Open (R128) Outdoor Clay 7-6 (6), 6-4 Plíšková
2011 Bratislava (ITF 25K – R32) Indoor Hard 6-1, 6-3 Plíšková

Familiar to Each Other, but not on Tour

When Plíšková won their first-round match at the French Open three years ago, Krejčíková was a qualifier ranked No. 235.

The first time they met, Krejčíková was a 15-year-old newbie and Plíšková a 19-year-old already ranked No. 150.

Plíšková’s best is better on a fast court than Krejčíková’s best. But she’s been very up and down this week.

Krejčíková also has a lot less pressure, because her fate is barely in her own hands. She can just swing away.

Pick Krejčíková to play spoiler here and muddy all the waters.

Best Bet: Krejčíková in Two Sets (+215)

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